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West Virginia University

Analysis of Production Data from Horizontal Shale Wells Using Decline Curves

Abstract

dc:description.abstract

Recent interest in the exploitation of Marcellus shale play, using horizontal drilling and multistage hydraulic fracturing, has increased the demand for reliable estimation of recoverable reserves from ultra-low permeability shale gas formations. Due to the limited field experience, the production performances of Marcellus shale gas reservoirs as well as the key parameters that affect the long-term production of the horizontal wells have not been well-established.;Among all the prediction methods, only the Decline Curve Analysis (DCA) technique has proved successful in forecasting production data rapidly and to a high degree of accuracy. Several DCA models including conventional Arps, PLE, and Duong have been utilized in this study to determine the most appropriate method for production data from horizontal Marcellus shale wells. Fekete (Fast Evolution) simulator has been used to generate the thirty year production data from 3000 feet of horizontal lateral. The two base scenarios include seven and thirteen hydraulic fracture stages. The gas adsorbed to shale is also considered. The applicability of several DCA models to shale gas production history was examined using the simulated production profiles. The impact of the permeability, fracture half length, and matrix porosity on DCA models constants were also investigated. Finally, the proposed ratio methodology was applied to the limited production profile (3.5 years of production history) from a well in Upshur County, WV to estimate the DCA constants, and predict the long-term production performance. The prediction results from DCA models then compared to the history-matched simulation model predictions for confirmation.

Degree

thesis:*
Name thesis:degree_name
MS
Level thesis:degree_level
Thesis
Discipline thesis:degree_discipline
Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering
Year dc:date.available
2014

Author and committee

dc:creator, dc:contributor.*
Author dc:creator
  • Mashayekhi, Atoosa
Contributors dc:contributor
  • Kashy Aminian
  • Samuel Ameri
  • Alan W. Brannon

Subjects

dc:subject × 1

Identifiers

dc:identifier.*
OAI identifier oai:identifier
oai:researchrepository.wvu.edu:etd-1121

Chain of custody

source
Harvested from
West Virginia University
Base URL
researchrepository.wvu.edu/do/oai/
Last updated
2026-07-24
Source record
OAI-PMH GetRecord
citation

Mashayekhi, Atoosa. Analysis of Production Data from Horizontal Shale Wells Using Decline Curves. Thesis thesis, 2014. https://doi.org/10.33915/etd.118