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University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Predicting College Graduation: Are Admissions Test Scores and High School Performance Measures Adequate

Abstract

dc:description

"Admission to most institutions of higher education is based primarily on test scores and high school performance. These measures should properly be used to predict first-year grades; however, their de facto use is in choosing who will most likely graduate. I found the best predictors of college graduation are the number of terms enrolled and the mean hours earned per term, not the grades earned, though cumulative grades are the third best predictor. The results varied somewhat by race/ethnic group. Also important to success are changing majors and the percentage of terms at a ""C"" grade or better. Not significant are sex, admissions test score, and beginning in a math or science curriculum. Two factors show a negative relationship to graduation: the first-term hours and high school rank. If grades are not the best predictors of success in college, then the admissions process should not rely solely on test score and high school rank."

Degree

thesis:*
Name thesis:degree_name
Ph.D.
Level thesis:degree_level
Dissertation
Discipline thesis:degree_discipline
Education
Grantor
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Year dc:date
2015

Author and committee

dc:creator, dc:contributor.*
Author dc:creator
  • Murphy, Marilyn M.
Contributors dc:contributor
  • Coombs, Fred,
  • Loeb, Jane

Subjects

dc:subject × 1

Rights

Language dc:language
eng

Identifiers

dc:identifier.*
Identifier
(MiAaPQ)AAI9944945
OAI identifier oai:identifier
oai:www.ideals.illinois.edu:2142/80338

Chain of custody

source
Harvested from
University of Illinois - Urbana-Champaign
Base URL
www.ideals.illinois.edu/oai-pmh
Last updated
2026-07-22
Source record
OAI-PMH GetRecord
citation

Murphy, Marilyn M.. Predicting College Graduation: Are Admissions Test Scores and High School Performance Measures Adequate. Dissertation thesis, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 2015. http://hdl.handle.net/2142/80338