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University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

A Time Series Approach to the Prediction of Oil Discoveries

Abstract

dc:description

This research develops a time series methodology for the prediction of oil discoveries at the level of the petroleum play. The study develops a Bayesian, multi-state (outlier/no-outlier), time varying coefficients, nonlinear time series forecasting model and applies the model to the problem of predicting oil discoveries in the North Sea and in the region of the Niger Delta.

Degree

thesis:*
Name thesis:degree_name
Ph.D.
Level thesis:degree_level
Dissertation
Discipline thesis:degree_discipline
Economics
Grantor
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Year dc:date
2014

Author and committee

dc:creator, dc:contributor.*
Author dc:creator
  • Cartwright, Phillip A.

Subjects

dc:subject × 1

Identifiers

dc:identifier.*
Identifier
(UMI)AAI8302821
OAI identifier oai:identifier
oai:www.ideals.illinois.edu:2142/70730

Chain of custody

source
Harvested from
University of Illinois - Urbana-Champaign
Base URL
www.ideals.illinois.edu/oai-pmh
Last updated
2026-07-22
Source record
OAI-PMH GetRecord
citation

Cartwright, Phillip A.. A Time Series Approach to the Prediction of Oil Discoveries. Dissertation thesis, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 2014. http://hdl.handle.net/2142/70730