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Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Inventory modeling for active pharmaceutical ingredient supply chains

Abstract

dc:description.abstract

Pharmaceutical companies traditionally manufactured drugs in-house, and have only recently been increasingly outsourcing production to contract manufacturing organizations (CMOs). In this work, we use inventory modeling to explore the trade-off between the attractive purchase price and the hidden costs of outsourcing for two active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) supply chains at AstraZeneca (AZ). We assess the inventory levels recommended by a base stock policy with deterministic purchase order lead times at each contracted stage of the supply chains. The single-echelon calculations reveal that safety stock levels are not systematically inflated at individual stages. The current inventory costs and service levels vary widely across products studied, as performance is hard to track over long periods of time and different inventory types. However, we demonstrate with a multi-echelon inventory optimization that a fully integrated API supply chain would yield savings compared to a purely external chain. Today, AZ's organizational processes allow it to partially coordinate with CMOs and capture up to 60 % of the value left on the table by not being able to optimize the full chain due to outsourcing. We propose using cost premium frontiers to prioritize further improvements at strategic outsourced nodes and align incentives. Partnering with CMOs to shorten lead times and increase flexibility is set to become a key advantage in a changing pharmaceutical environment with exacerbated volatility.

Degree

thesis:*
Name thesis:degree_name
Master
Department dc:contributor.department
Sloan School of Management
Grantor dc:publisher
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Year dc:date.issued
2020

Author and committee

dc:creator, dc:contributor.*
Author dc:creator
  • Bazerghi, Audrey.
Advisor dc:contributor.advisor
  • Thomas Roemer and David Simchi-Levi.

Subjects

dc:subject × 3

Rights

dc:rights
Statement dc:rights
  • MIT theses may be protected by copyright. Please reuse MIT thesis content according to the MIT Libraries Permissions Policy, which is available through the URL provided.
Language dc:language.iso
eng

Identifiers

dc:identifier.*
Handle dc:identifier.uri
https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/126946
OAI identifier oai:identifier
oai:dspace.mit.edu:1721.1/126946

Chain of custody

source
Harvested from
MIT
Base URL
dspace.mit.edu/oai/request
Last updated
2026-07-22
Source record
OAI-PMH GetRecord
citation

Bazerghi, Audrey.. Inventory modeling for active pharmaceutical ingredient supply chains. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2020. https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/126946