ΑΝΑΛΥΣΗ ΤΙΜΩΝ ΞΥΛΟΥ ΜΕ ΤΗ ΧΡΗΣΗ ΜΟΝΟΜΕΤΑΒΛΗΤΩΝ ΜΕΘΟΔΩΝ (ΧΡΟΝΙΚΕΣ ΥΣΤΕΡΗΣΕΙΣ ΚΑΙΜΕΘΟΔΟΥΣ BOX-JENKINS)

THE TARGET OF THIS THESIS WAS THE ANSWER TO THE QUESTION: CAN THE TWO METHODOGIES (TIME LAGS AND BOX-JENKINS METHODOLOGY) GIVE A SATISFACTORY APPROACH TO THE PROBLEM OF DEFINING THE STARTING PRICES OF THE TIMBER BEING SOLD IN THE PUBLIC AUCTIONS. IN TOTAL WE HAVE EXAMINED 31 MODELS (11 OF TIME LAGS AND 20 OF THE BOX- JENKINS METHODOLOGY). THE MODELS TESTING HAS BEEN BASED ON THEIR ABILITY TO FORECAST WITH SUFFICIENT ACCURACY. THE CRITERIA EMPLOYED TO TEST THIS ABILITY WERE: THE U-THEIL COEFFICIENT AND THE F-ANAVA TEST. THE RESULTS OF THE ANALYSIS PROVED THAT A NUMBER OF TESTED MODE GIVE FORECASTS OF THE STARTING PRICES IN THE FUTURE WITH SATISFACTORY ACCURACY.

Grantor dc:publisher

Αριστοτέλειο Πανεπιστήμιο Θεσσαλονίκης (ΑΠΘ)

Year dc:date

1988

Author dc:creator

• Ανάγνος, Νικόλαος

• AUTOAGRESSIVE TERMS
• AUTOREGRESSIVE TERMS
• BOX-JENKINS METHODOLOGY
• Box-Jenkins models
• MOVING AVERAGE TERMS
• PRICES FORECASTS
• TIMBER PRICES
• TIME LAGS
• TIME LAGS MODELS
• TIME-SERIES ANALYSIS
• ΑΝΑΛΥΣΗ ΧΡΟΝΙΚΩΝ ΣΕΙΡΩΝ
• ΑΥΤΟΠΑΛΙΝΔΡΟΜΙΚΟΙ ΟΡΟΙ
• ΜΕΘΟΔΟΣ BOX-JENKINS
• ΜΟΝΤΕΛΑ BOX-JENKINS
• ΜΟΝΤΕΛΑ ΧΡΟΝΙΚΩΝ ΥΣΤΕΡΗΣΕΩΝ
• ΟΡΟΙ ΚΙΝΗΤΟΥ ΜΕΣΟΥ
• ΠΡΟΒΛΕΨΕΙΣ ΤΙΜΩΝ
• ΤΙΜΕΣ ΞΥΛΟΥ
• ΧΡΟΝΙΚΕΣ ΥΣΤΕΡΗΣΕΙΣ
• Γεωπονικές Επιστήμες και Κτηνιατρική
• Agricultural and Veterinary Sciences
• Γεωπονία, Δασολογία και Αλιεία
• Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries

Language dc:language

gre

Identifier

10.12681/eadd/0710

OAI identifier oai:identifier

oai:10442/0710