{"id":{"repo_id":"greece","oai_identifier":"oai:10442/0710"},"canonical_url":"https://search.dev.ndltd.org/etd/greece/oai:10442/0710","repository":{"repo_id":"greece","name":"Greek National Archive of PhD Theses","base_url":"https://phdtheses.ekt.gr/eadd_oai/request"},"display":{"title":"ΑΝΑΛΥΣΗ ΤΙΜΩΝ ΞΥΛΟΥ ΜΕ ΤΗ ΧΡΗΣΗ ΜΟΝΟΜΕΤΑΒΛΗΤΩΝ ΜΕΘΟΔΩΝ (ΧΡΟΝΙΚΕΣ ΥΣΤΕΡΗΣΕΙΣ ΚΑΙΜΕΘΟΔΟΥΣ BOX-JENKINS)","abstract":"THE TARGET OF THIS THESIS WAS THE ANSWER TO THE QUESTION: CAN THE TWO METHODOGIES (TIME LAGS AND BOX-JENKINS METHODOLOGY) GIVE A SATISFACTORY APPROACH TO THE PROBLEM OF DEFINING THE STARTING PRICES OF THE TIMBER BEING SOLD IN THE PUBLIC AUCTIONS. IN TOTAL WE HAVE EXAMINED 31 MODELS (11 OF TIME LAGS AND 20 OF THE BOX- JENKINS METHODOLOGY). THE MODELS TESTING HAS BEEN BASED ON THEIR ABILITY TO FORECAST WITH SUFFICIENT ACCURACY. THE CRITERIA EMPLOYED TO TEST THIS ABILITY WERE: THE U-THEIL COEFFICIENT AND THE F-ANAVA TEST. THE RESULTS OF THE ANALYSIS PROVED THAT A NUMBER OF TESTED MODE GIVE FORECASTS OF THE STARTING PRICES IN THE FUTURE WITH SATISFACTORY ACCURACY.","abstract_html":"THE TARGET OF THIS THESIS WAS THE ANSWER TO THE QUESTION: CAN THE TWO METHODOGIES (TIME LAGS AND BOX-JENKINS METHODOLOGY) GIVE A SATISFACTORY APPROACH TO THE PROBLEM OF DEFINING THE STARTING PRICES OF THE TIMBER BEING SOLD IN THE PUBLIC AUCTIONS. IN TOTAL WE HAVE EXAMINED 31 MODELS (11 OF TIME LAGS AND 20 OF THE BOX- JENKINS METHODOLOGY). THE MODELS TESTING HAS BEEN BASED ON THEIR ABILITY TO FORECAST WITH SUFFICIENT ACCURACY. THE CRITERIA EMPLOYED TO TEST THIS ABILITY WERE: THE U-THEIL COEFFICIENT AND THE F-ANAVA TEST. THE RESULTS OF THE ANALYSIS PROVED THAT A NUMBER OF TESTED MODE GIVE FORECASTS OF THE STARTING PRICES IN THE FUTURE WITH SATISFACTORY ACCURACY.","abstract_has_math":false,"creators":["Ανάγνος, Νικόλαος"],"institution":"Αριστοτέλειο Πανεπιστήμιο Θεσσαλονίκης (ΑΠΘ)","degree_name":null,"degree_level":null,"degree_discipline":null,"degree_department":null,"school":null,"contributors":[],"advisors":[],"committee_chairs":[],"committee_members":[],"year":1988,"date_issued":"1988","date_published":"1988","updated_at":"2026-07-24T02:25:24Z","subjects":["AUTOAGRESSIVE TERMS","AUTOREGRESSIVE TERMS","BOX-JENKINS METHODOLOGY","Box-Jenkins models","MOVING AVERAGE TERMS","PRICES FORECASTS","TIMBER PRICES","TIME LAGS","TIME LAGS MODELS","TIME-SERIES ANALYSIS","ΑΝΑΛΥΣΗ ΧΡΟΝΙΚΩΝ ΣΕΙΡΩΝ","ΑΥΤΟΠΑΛΙΝΔΡΟΜΙΚΟΙ ΟΡΟΙ","ΜΕΘΟΔΟΣ BOX-JENKINS","ΜΟΝΤΕΛΑ BOX-JENKINS","ΜΟΝΤΕΛΑ ΧΡΟΝΙΚΩΝ ΥΣΤΕΡΗΣΕΩΝ","ΟΡΟΙ ΚΙΝΗΤΟΥ ΜΕΣΟΥ","ΠΡΟΒΛΕΨΕΙΣ ΤΙΜΩΝ","ΤΙΜΕΣ ΞΥΛΟΥ","ΧΡΟΝΙΚΕΣ ΥΣΤΕΡΗΣΕΙΣ","Γεωπονικές Επιστήμες και Κτηνιατρική","Agricultural and Veterinary Sciences","Γεωπονία, Δασολογία και Αλιεία","Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries"],"languages":["gre"],"rights":[],"rights_urls":[],"identifier_entries":[{"key":"dc:identifier","label":"Identifier","values":["10.12681/eadd/0710"],"render_values":[{"text":"10.12681/eadd/0710","href":"https://doi.org/10.12681/eadd/0710","code":true}]}]},"links":{"outbound_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/10442/hedi/0710","outbound_label":"Handle","outbound_source":"dc:identifier"},"metadata_groups":[{"id":"people","label":"People","entries":[{"key":"dc:creator","label":"Author","values":["Ανάγνος, Νικόλαος"]}]},{"id":"academic_context","label":"Academic Context","entries":[{"key":"dc:date","label":"Dc Date","values":["1988"]},{"key":"dc:publisher","label":"Institution","values":["Αριστοτέλειο Πανεπιστήμιο Θεσσαλονίκης (ΑΠΘ)","Aristotle University Of Thessaloniki (AUTH)"]},{"key":"dc:type","label":"Dc Type","values":["PhD Thesis"]}]},{"id":"subjects_keywords","label":"Subjects and Keywords","entries":[{"key":"dc:subject","label":"Dc Subject","values":["AUTOAGRESSIVE TERMS","AUTOREGRESSIVE TERMS","BOX-JENKINS METHODOLOGY","Box-Jenkins models","MOVING AVERAGE TERMS","PRICES FORECASTS","TIMBER PRICES","TIME LAGS","TIME LAGS MODELS","TIME-SERIES ANALYSIS","ΑΝΑΛΥΣΗ ΧΡΟΝΙΚΩΝ ΣΕΙΡΩΝ","ΑΥΤΟΠΑΛΙΝΔΡΟΜΙΚΟΙ ΟΡΟΙ","ΜΕΘΟΔΟΣ BOX-JENKINS","ΜΟΝΤΕΛΑ BOX-JENKINS","ΜΟΝΤΕΛΑ ΧΡΟΝΙΚΩΝ ΥΣΤΕΡΗΣΕΩΝ","ΟΡΟΙ ΚΙΝΗΤΟΥ ΜΕΣΟΥ","ΠΡΟΒΛΕΨΕΙΣ ΤΙΜΩΝ","ΤΙΜΕΣ ΞΥΛΟΥ","ΧΡΟΝΙΚΕΣ ΥΣΤΕΡΗΣΕΙΣ","Γεωπονικές Επιστήμες και Κτηνιατρική","Agricultural and Veterinary Sciences","Γεωπονία, Δασολογία και Αλιεία","Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries"]}]},{"id":"language_rights","label":"Language and Rights","entries":[{"key":"dc:language","label":"Dc Language","values":["gre"]}]},{"id":"identifiers","label":"Identifiers","entries":[{"key":"dc:identifier","label":"Identifier","values":["10.12681/eadd/0710","http://hdl.handle.net/10442/hedi/0710"]}]},{"id":"additional","label":"Additional Metadata","entries":[{"key":"dc:description","label":"Description","values":["THE TARGET OF THIS THESIS WAS THE ANSWER TO THE QUESTION: CAN THE TWO METHODOGIES (TIME LAGS AND BOX-JENKINS METHODOLOGY) GIVE A SATISFACTORY APPROACH TO THE PROBLEM OF DEFINING THE STARTING PRICES OF THE TIMBER BEING SOLD IN THE PUBLIC AUCTIONS. IN TOTAL WE HAVE EXAMINED 31 MODELS (11 OF TIME LAGS AND 20 OF THE BOX- JENKINS METHODOLOGY). THE MODELS TESTING HAS BEEN BASED ON THEIR ABILITY TO FORECAST WITH SUFFICIENT ACCURACY. THE CRITERIA EMPLOYED TO TEST THIS ABILITY WERE: THE U-THEIL COEFFICIENT AND THE F-ANAVA TEST. THE RESULTS OF THE ANALYSIS PROVED THAT A NUMBER OF TESTED MODE GIVE FORECASTS OF THE STARTING PRICES IN THE FUTURE WITH SATISFACTORY ACCURACY.","ΣΤΟΧΟΣ ΤΗΣ ΔΙΑΤΡΙΒΗΣ ΗΤΑΝ Η ΑΠΑΝΤΗΣΗ ΣΤΟ ΕΡΩΤΗΜΑ ΑΝ ΟΙ ΔΥΟ ΜΕΘΟΔΟΛΟΓΙΕΣ (ΧΡΟΝΙΚΕΣ ΥΣΤΕΡΗΣΕΙΣ ΚΑΙ ΜΕΘΟΔΟΣ ΤΩΝ BOX-JENKINS) ΜΠΟΡΟΥΝ ΝΑ ΔΩΣΟΥΝ ΙΚΑΝΟΠΟΙΗΤΙΚΗ ΛΥΣΗΣΤΟ ΠΡΟΒΛΗΜΑ ΤΟΥ ΠΡΟΣΔΙΟΡΙΣΜΟΥ ΤΩΝ ΤΙΜΩΝ ΕΚΚΙΝΗΣΗΣ ΤΟΥ ΞΥΛΟΥ ΠΟΥ ΔΙΑΤΙΘΕΤΑΙ ΣΤΟΥΣ ΔΗΜΟΣΙΟΥΣ ΠΛΕΙΟΔΟΤΙΚΟΥΣ ΔΙΑΓΩΝΙΣΜΟΥΣ. ΕΞΕΤΑΣΘΗΚΑΝ ΣΥΝΟΛΙΚΑ 31 ΜΟΝΤΕΛΑ (11 ΧΡΟΝΙΚΩΝ ΥΣΤΕΡΗΣΕΩΝ ΚΑΙ 20 ΤΗΣ ΜΕΘΟΔΟΛΟΓΙΑΣ BOX- JENKINS. Ο ΕΛΕΓΧΟΣ ΤΩΝ ΜΟΝΤΕΛΩΝΑΥΤΩΝ ΚΥΡΙΑ ΣΤΗΡΙΧΘΗΚΕ ΣΤΗΝ ΙΚΑΝΟΤΗΤΑ ΤΟΥΣ ΝΑ ΠΡΟΒΛΕΠΟΥΝ ΜΕ ΟΣΟ ΤΟ ΔΥΝΑΤΟ ΜΕΓΑΛΥΤΕΡΗ ΑΚΡΙΒΕΙΑ . ΤΑ ΚΡΙΤΗΡΙΑ ΠΟΥ ΧΡΗΣΙΜΟΠΟΙΗΘΗΚΑΝ ΗΤΑΝ Ο ΣΥΝΤΕΛΕΣΤΗΣ ΤΟΥ THEIL(U-THEIL COEFFICIENT) ΚΑΙ Ο F-ANOVA. ΑΠΟΔΕΙΧΘΗΚΕ ΑΠΟ ΤΑ ΑΠΟΤΕΛΕΣΜΑΤΑ ΤΗΣ ΑΝΑΛΥΣΗΣ, ΟΤΙ ΕΝΑΣ ΑΡΙΘΜΟΣ ΑΠΟ ΤΑ ΕΞΕΤΑΣΘΕΝΤΑ ΜΟΝΤΕΛΑ ΜΠΟΡΕΙ ΝΑ ΔΩΣΕΙ ΠΡΟΒΛΕΨΕΙΣ ΓΙΑΤΙΣ ΜΕΛΛΟΝΤΙΚΕΣ ΤΙΜΕΣ ΕΚΚΙΝΗΣΗΣ ΜΕ ΙΚΑΝΟΠΟΙΗΤΙΚΗ ΑΚΡΙΒΕΙΑ."]},{"key":"dc:title","label":"Title","values":["ΑΝΑΛΥΣΗ ΤΙΜΩΝ ΞΥΛΟΥ ΜΕ ΤΗ ΧΡΗΣΗ ΜΟΝΟΜΕΤΑΒΛΗΤΩΝ ΜΕΘΟΔΩΝ (ΧΡΟΝΙΚΕΣ ΥΣΤΕΡΗΣΕΙΣ ΚΑΙΜΕΘΟΔΟΥΣ BOX-JENKINS)","ANALYSIS OF TIMBER PRICES USING UNIVARIATE METHODS (TIME LAGS AND BOX-JENKINS METHODOLOGY)"]}]}],"canonical_facts":{"dc:creator":["Ανάγνος, Νικόλαος"],"dc:date":["1988"],"dc:description":["THE TARGET OF THIS THESIS WAS THE ANSWER TO THE QUESTION: CAN THE TWO METHODOGIES (TIME LAGS AND BOX-JENKINS METHODOLOGY) GIVE A SATISFACTORY APPROACH TO THE PROBLEM OF DEFINING THE STARTING PRICES OF THE TIMBER BEING SOLD IN THE PUBLIC AUCTIONS. IN TOTAL WE HAVE EXAMINED 31 MODELS (11 OF TIME LAGS AND 20 OF THE BOX- JENKINS METHODOLOGY). THE MODELS TESTING HAS BEEN BASED ON THEIR ABILITY TO FORECAST WITH SUFFICIENT ACCURACY. THE CRITERIA EMPLOYED TO TEST THIS ABILITY WERE: THE U-THEIL COEFFICIENT AND THE F-ANAVA TEST. THE RESULTS OF THE ANALYSIS PROVED THAT A NUMBER OF TESTED MODE GIVE FORECASTS OF THE STARTING PRICES IN THE FUTURE WITH SATISFACTORY ACCURACY.","ΣΤΟΧΟΣ ΤΗΣ ΔΙΑΤΡΙΒΗΣ ΗΤΑΝ Η ΑΠΑΝΤΗΣΗ ΣΤΟ ΕΡΩΤΗΜΑ ΑΝ ΟΙ ΔΥΟ ΜΕΘΟΔΟΛΟΓΙΕΣ (ΧΡΟΝΙΚΕΣ ΥΣΤΕΡΗΣΕΙΣ ΚΑΙ ΜΕΘΟΔΟΣ ΤΩΝ BOX-JENKINS) ΜΠΟΡΟΥΝ ΝΑ ΔΩΣΟΥΝ ΙΚΑΝΟΠΟΙΗΤΙΚΗ ΛΥΣΗΣΤΟ ΠΡΟΒΛΗΜΑ ΤΟΥ ΠΡΟΣΔΙΟΡΙΣΜΟΥ ΤΩΝ ΤΙΜΩΝ ΕΚΚΙΝΗΣΗΣ ΤΟΥ ΞΥΛΟΥ ΠΟΥ ΔΙΑΤΙΘΕΤΑΙ ΣΤΟΥΣ ΔΗΜΟΣΙΟΥΣ ΠΛΕΙΟΔΟΤΙΚΟΥΣ ΔΙΑΓΩΝΙΣΜΟΥΣ. ΕΞΕΤΑΣΘΗΚΑΝ ΣΥΝΟΛΙΚΑ 31 ΜΟΝΤΕΛΑ (11 ΧΡΟΝΙΚΩΝ ΥΣΤΕΡΗΣΕΩΝ ΚΑΙ 20 ΤΗΣ ΜΕΘΟΔΟΛΟΓΙΑΣ BOX- JENKINS. Ο ΕΛΕΓΧΟΣ ΤΩΝ ΜΟΝΤΕΛΩΝΑΥΤΩΝ ΚΥΡΙΑ ΣΤΗΡΙΧΘΗΚΕ ΣΤΗΝ ΙΚΑΝΟΤΗΤΑ ΤΟΥΣ ΝΑ ΠΡΟΒΛΕΠΟΥΝ ΜΕ ΟΣΟ ΤΟ ΔΥΝΑΤΟ ΜΕΓΑΛΥΤΕΡΗ ΑΚΡΙΒΕΙΑ . ΤΑ ΚΡΙΤΗΡΙΑ ΠΟΥ ΧΡΗΣΙΜΟΠΟΙΗΘΗΚΑΝ ΗΤΑΝ Ο ΣΥΝΤΕΛΕΣΤΗΣ ΤΟΥ THEIL(U-THEIL COEFFICIENT) ΚΑΙ Ο F-ANOVA. ΑΠΟΔΕΙΧΘΗΚΕ ΑΠΟ ΤΑ ΑΠΟΤΕΛΕΣΜΑΤΑ ΤΗΣ ΑΝΑΛΥΣΗΣ, ΟΤΙ ΕΝΑΣ ΑΡΙΘΜΟΣ ΑΠΟ ΤΑ ΕΞΕΤΑΣΘΕΝΤΑ ΜΟΝΤΕΛΑ ΜΠΟΡΕΙ ΝΑ ΔΩΣΕΙ ΠΡΟΒΛΕΨΕΙΣ ΓΙΑΤΙΣ ΜΕΛΛΟΝΤΙΚΕΣ ΤΙΜΕΣ ΕΚΚΙΝΗΣΗΣ ΜΕ ΙΚΑΝΟΠΟΙΗΤΙΚΗ ΑΚΡΙΒΕΙΑ."],"dc:identifier":["10.12681/eadd/0710","http://hdl.handle.net/10442/hedi/0710"],"dc:language":["gre"],"dc:publisher":["Αριστοτέλειο Πανεπιστήμιο Θεσσαλονίκης (ΑΠΘ)","Aristotle University Of Thessaloniki (AUTH)"],"dc:subject":["AUTOAGRESSIVE TERMS","AUTOREGRESSIVE TERMS","BOX-JENKINS METHODOLOGY","Box-Jenkins models","MOVING AVERAGE TERMS","PRICES FORECASTS","TIMBER PRICES","TIME LAGS","TIME LAGS MODELS","TIME-SERIES ANALYSIS","ΑΝΑΛΥΣΗ ΧΡΟΝΙΚΩΝ ΣΕΙΡΩΝ","ΑΥΤΟΠΑΛΙΝΔΡΟΜΙΚΟΙ ΟΡΟΙ","ΜΕΘΟΔΟΣ BOX-JENKINS","ΜΟΝΤΕΛΑ BOX-JENKINS","ΜΟΝΤΕΛΑ ΧΡΟΝΙΚΩΝ ΥΣΤΕΡΗΣΕΩΝ","ΟΡΟΙ ΚΙΝΗΤΟΥ ΜΕΣΟΥ","ΠΡΟΒΛΕΨΕΙΣ ΤΙΜΩΝ","ΤΙΜΕΣ ΞΥΛΟΥ","ΧΡΟΝΙΚΕΣ ΥΣΤΕΡΗΣΕΙΣ","Γεωπονικές Επιστήμες και Κτηνιατρική","Agricultural and Veterinary Sciences","Γεωπονία, Δασολογία και Αλιεία","Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries"],"dc:title":["ΑΝΑΛΥΣΗ ΤΙΜΩΝ ΞΥΛΟΥ ΜΕ ΤΗ ΧΡΗΣΗ ΜΟΝΟΜΕΤΑΒΛΗΤΩΝ ΜΕΘΟΔΩΝ (ΧΡΟΝΙΚΕΣ ΥΣΤΕΡΗΣΕΙΣ ΚΑΙΜΕΘΟΔΟΥΣ BOX-JENKINS)","ANALYSIS OF TIMBER PRICES USING UNIVARIATE METHODS (TIME LAGS AND BOX-JENKINS METHODOLOGY)"],"dc:type":["PhD Thesis"]},"updated_at":"2026-07-24T02:25:24Z"}