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Claremont Graduate University

Conjecture and Evidence: Discovering the Costs of Contemporary American Political Ideals

Abstract

dc:description.abstract

<p>This dissertation offers an adaptation of the relative political capacity (RPC) research framework to domestic American politics, enabling a quantitative examination of the relative performance of state governments during the COVID-19 pandemic. Theoretically, I examine the notion that more politically capable states will be more effective in their efforts to mitigate mortality rates, and hypothesize that, in the United States, such a relationship is conditional upon the party identification of state leadership. The premise is tested by applying a series of multiplicative interaction models to a unique dataset spanning the first two years of the pandemic. Results confirm that measures of states’ structural capacity outweigh public policy, wealth, and population controls in their ability to mitigate pandemic mortality, and that the impact of political capacity grows as the pandemic progresses, eventually becoming a primary contributor to successful immunization efforts. However, the presence of a Republican majority in the state legislature significantly compromises the magnitude of this effect. Results are discussed in context of the principal ideological divide in American politics and an argument is made against the laissez-faire conception of the state. Lawmakers that seek to protect constituents from emerging crises must invest in the development of their institutional capabilities, with particular respect to political extraction and regulatory reach.</p>

Degree

thesis:*
Name thesis:degree_name
Political Science, PhD
Level thesis:degree_level
Open Access Dissertation
Discipline thesis:degree_discipline
School of Social Science, Politics, and Evaluation
Year dc:date.available
2022

Author and committee

dc:creator, dc:contributor.*
Author dc:creator
  • Immormino, Joseph C.
Contributors dc:contributor
  • Jacek Kugler
  • Yi Feng

Subjects

dc:subject × 7

Identifiers

dc:identifier.*
Repository record dc:identifier
https://scholarship.claremont.edu/cgu_etd/390
OAI identifier oai:identifier
oai:scholarship.claremont.edu:cgu_etd-1429

Chain of custody

source
Harvested from
Claremont Graduate University
Base URL
scholarship.claremont.edu/do/oai/
Last updated
2026-07-24
Source record
OAI-PMH GetRecord
citation

Immormino, Joseph C.. Conjecture and Evidence: Discovering the Costs of Contemporary American Political Ideals. Open Access Dissertation thesis, 2022. https://scholarship.claremont.edu/cgu_etd/390