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West Virginia University

Three Essays on Forecasting in Nonlinear Models

Abstract

dc:description.abstract

Nonlinear models have many applications in the economic and financial fields. The following works focus on their use for forecasting. Neural networks, in conjunction with an Affine Term Structure Model, are used to discover possible yield curve arbitrage opportunities. A G/ARCH model is employed to test and forecast the conditional variance of state-level employment growth. A Space-Time Autoregressive (STAR) model is applied to state employment growth to ensure that any measure of volatility in the series is not misdirected as employment movements between neighboring states.

Degree

thesis:*
Name thesis:degree_name
PhD
Level thesis:degree_level
Dissertation
Discipline thesis:degree_discipline
Economics
Year dc:date.available
2013

Author and committee

dc:creator, dc:contributor.*
Author dc:creator
  • Murdoch, Scott T.
Contributors dc:contributor
  • Stratford Douglas
  • Arabinda Basistha
  • Naomi Boyd
  • George Hammond
  • Feng Yao

Subjects

dc:subject × 1

Identifiers

dc:identifier.*
OAI identifier oai:identifier
oai:researchrepository.wvu.edu:etd-1534

Chain of custody

source
Harvested from
West Virginia University
Base URL
researchrepository.wvu.edu/do/oai/
Last updated
2026-07-24
Source record
OAI-PMH GetRecord
related terms
citation

Murdoch, Scott T.. Three Essays on Forecasting in Nonlinear Models. Dissertation thesis, 2013. https://doi.org/10.33915/etd.531