Drought assessment and forecasting using a nonlinear aggregated drought index

This study developed an objective drought assessment tool through a Drought Index (DI), and then developed a drought forecasting tool using the developed DI to forecast future drought conditions. These tools can be used to assist water managers to assess droughts effectively and forecast future drought conditions, which will allow them to plan ahead the water management activities during droughts. The Yarra River catchment in Australia was considered as the case study catchment, since the management of water resources in this catchment has great importance to majority of Victorians. To achieve the objectives of this study, an evaluation of existing DIs was first conducted in terms of their suitability for the assessment of drought conditions in the study catchment. Based on the findings of the evaluation study, a new Nonlinear Aggregated Drought Index (NADI) was developed and evaluated for the Yarra River catchment.

Name dc:type.qualificationname

phd

Level dc:type.qualificationlevel

doctoral

Grantor dc:publisher.institution

Victoria University

Year dc:date.issued

2010

Author dc:creator

• Barua, Shishutosh

• 0401 Atmospheric Sciences
• School of Engineering and Science

Language dc:language

en