{"id":{"repo_id":"vt","oai_identifier":"oai:vtechworks.lib.vt.edu:10919/43952"},"canonical_url":"https://search.dev.ndltd.org/etd/vt/oai:vtechworks.lib.vt.edu:10919/43952","repository":{"repo_id":"vt","name":"Virginia Tech","base_url":"https://vtechworks.lib.vt.edu/oai/request"},"display":{"title":"One, two and three quarter forecasting models for broiler price","abstract":"The purpose of this study was to develop easy to use price forecasting models to predict broiler price one, two and three quarters in advance. A system of five equations was developed for the two and three quarter lag models and a system of four equations was developed for the one quarter lag model. All coefficients in the equations were estimated using data published by the U.S. Department of Agriculture. The models presented are true forecasting models which predict outside the data base. The models are user oriented. Examples were presented and the data base supplied so that anyone interested in using the models can easily duplicate the results. The models were analyzed for predictive ability and were compared with the ability of the futures market to forecast broiler price. Results showed all three models predicted better than no-change extrapolation. The models predicting broiler price two and three quarters in advance predicted better than the futures market.","abstract_html":"The purpose of this study was to develop easy to use price forecasting models to predict broiler price one, two and three quarters in advance. A system of five equations was developed for the two and three quarter lag models and a system of four equations was developed for the one quarter lag model. All coefficients in the equations were estimated using data published by the U.S. Department of Agriculture. The models presented are true forecasting models which predict outside the data base. The models are user oriented. Examples were presented and the data base supplied so that anyone interested in using the models can easily duplicate the results. The models were analyzed for predictive ability and were compared with the ability of the futures market to forecast broiler price. Results showed all three models predicted better than no-change extrapolation. The models predicting broiler price two and three quarters in advance predicted better than the futures market.","abstract_has_math":false,"creators":["Haynes, Stephen Leland"],"institution":"Virginia Tech","degree_name":"Master of Science","degree_level":"masters","degree_discipline":"Agricultural Economics","degree_department":"Agricultural Economics","school":null,"contributors":[],"advisors":[],"committee_chairs":["Kenyon, David E."],"committee_members":["Buccola, Steven T.","Wilson, Ewen M."],"year":1977,"date_issued":"1977-08-05","date_published":"1977-08-05","updated_at":"2026-07-22T22:19:51Z","subjects":["user oriented forecasting models"],"languages":["en"],"rights":["In Copyright"],"rights_urls":["http://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/"],"identifier_entries":[{"key":"dc:identifier.other","label":"Dc Identifier Other","values":["etd-07282010-020251"],"render_values":[{"text":"etd-07282010-020251","href":null,"code":true}]}]},"links":{"outbound_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/10919/43952","outbound_label":"Handle","outbound_source":"dc:identifier.uri"},"metadata_groups":[{"id":"people","label":"People","entries":[{"key":"dc:contributor.committeechair","label":"Committee Chair","values":["Kenyon, David E."]},{"key":"dc:contributor.committeemember","label":"Committee Member","values":["Buccola, Steven T.","Wilson, Ewen M."]},{"key":"dc:contributor.department","label":"Department","values":["Agricultural Economics"]},{"key":"dc:creator","label":"Author","values":["Haynes, Stephen Leland"]}]},{"id":"academic_context","label":"Academic Context","entries":[{"key":"dc:date.accessioned","label":"Dc Date Accessioned","values":["2014-03-14T21:41:26Z"]},{"key":"dc:date.available","label":"Dc Date Available","values":["2014-03-14T21:41:26Z","2010-07-28"]},{"key":"dc:date.issued","label":"Date","values":["1977-08-05"]},{"key":"dc:publisher","label":"Institution","values":["Virginia Tech"]},{"key":"dc:type","label":"Dc Type","values":["Thesis"]},{"key":"dc:type.dcmitype","label":"Dc Type Dcmitype","values":["Text"]},{"key":"thesis:degree_discipline","label":"Discipline","values":["Agricultural Economics"]},{"key":"thesis:degree_level","label":"Degree Level","values":["masters"]},{"key":"thesis:degree_name","label":"Degree Name","values":["Master of Science"]},{"key":"thesis:institution_name","label":"Thesis Institution Name","values":["Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University"]}]},{"id":"subjects_keywords","label":"Subjects and Keywords","entries":[{"key":"dc:subject","label":"Dc Subject","values":["user oriented forecasting models"]}]},{"id":"language_rights","label":"Language and Rights","entries":[{"key":"dc:language.iso","label":"Language (ISO)","values":["en"]},{"key":"dc:rights","label":"Dc Rights","values":["In Copyright"]},{"key":"dc:rights.uri","label":"Rights URI","values":["http://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/"]}]},{"id":"identifiers","label":"Identifiers","entries":[{"key":"dc:identifier.other","label":"Dc Identifier Other","values":["etd-07282010-020251"]},{"key":"dc:identifier.uri","label":"Identifier URI","values":["http://hdl.handle.net/10919/43952"]}]},{"id":"additional","label":"Additional Metadata","entries":[{"key":"dc:description.abstract","label":"Abstract","values":["The purpose of this study was to develop easy to use price forecasting models to predict broiler price one, two and three quarters in advance. A system of five equations was developed for the two and three quarter lag models and a system of four equations was developed for the one quarter lag model. All coefficients in the equations were estimated using data published by the U.S. Department of Agriculture. The models presented are true forecasting models which predict outside the data base. The models are user oriented. Examples were presented and the data base supplied so that anyone interested in using the models can easily duplicate the results. The models were analyzed for predictive ability and were compared with the ability of the futures market to forecast broiler price. Results showed all three models predicted better than no-change extrapolation. The models predicting broiler price two and three quarters in advance predicted better than the futures market."]},{"key":"dc:description.degree","label":"Dc Description Degree","values":["Master of Science"]},{"key":"dc:format.medium","label":"Dc Format Medium","values":["BTD"]},{"key":"dc:format.mimetype","label":"Dc Format Mimetype","values":["application/pdf"]},{"key":"dc:title","label":"Title","values":["One, two and three quarter forecasting models for broiler price"]}]}],"canonical_facts":{"dc:contributor.committeechair":["Kenyon, David E."],"dc:contributor.committeemember":["Buccola, Steven T.","Wilson, Ewen M."],"dc:contributor.department":["Agricultural Economics"],"dc:creator":["Haynes, Stephen Leland"],"dc:date.accessioned":["2014-03-14T21:41:26Z"],"dc:date.available":["2014-03-14T21:41:26Z","2010-07-28"],"dc:date.issued":["1977-08-05"],"dc:description.abstract":["The purpose of this study was to develop easy to use price forecasting models to predict broiler price one, two and three quarters in advance. A system of five equations was developed for the two and three quarter lag models and a system of four equations was developed for the one quarter lag model. All coefficients in the equations were estimated using data published by the U.S. Department of Agriculture. The models presented are true forecasting models which predict outside the data base. The models are user oriented. Examples were presented and the data base supplied so that anyone interested in using the models can easily duplicate the results. The models were analyzed for predictive ability and were compared with the ability of the futures market to forecast broiler price. Results showed all three models predicted better than no-change extrapolation. The models predicting broiler price two and three quarters in advance predicted better than the futures market."],"dc:description.degree":["Master of Science"],"dc:format.medium":["BTD"],"dc:format.mimetype":["application/pdf"],"dc:identifier.other":["etd-07282010-020251"],"dc:identifier.uri":["http://hdl.handle.net/10919/43952"],"dc:language.iso":["en"],"dc:publisher":["Virginia Tech"],"dc:rights":["In Copyright"],"dc:rights.uri":["http://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/"],"dc:subject":["user oriented forecasting models"],"dc:title":["One, two and three quarter forecasting models for broiler price"],"dc:type":["Thesis"],"dc:type.dcmitype":["Text"],"thesis:degree_discipline":["Agricultural Economics"],"thesis:degree_level":["masters"],"thesis:degree_name":["Master of Science"],"thesis:institution_name":["Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University"]},"updated_at":"2026-07-22T22:19:51Z"}