Remote Sensing of 21st Century Water Stress for Hazard Monitoring in California

California has experienced an unusually dry past two decades punctuated by three intense multi-year droughts from 2007-2010, 2012-2015, and 2020-2022. A portion of the water lost during these two decades is due to intense groundwater overdraft of the Central Valley Aquifer. This groundwater overdraft has led to poroelastic compaction of the aquifer system and subsidence of the land surface. Water mass loss also causes elastic deformation of the solid Earth, an opposite and smaller amplitude response than the poroelastic deformation of aquifer systems. These mass changes can disturb the regional stress field, which may influence earthquake activity. Both the elastic and poroelastic deformation responses can be observed using satellite-based geodetic tools including Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) station displacements and Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR). In this dissertation, I model aquifer-system compaction at depth using InSAR-based vertical land motion during the 2007-2010 drought and evaluate hazards related to Earth fissures, tensional cracks that form at the edges of subsidence zones. Next, I forward-calculate the predicted elastic deformation response to groundwater mass loss over the same period and calculate crustal stress change to evaluate what, if any, impact this has on seismicity in California. In addition to modeling deformation caused by water storage change, I also introduce a new method to jointly invert elastic vertical displacements at GNSS stations with water storage anomalies from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) to solve for water storage changes from 2003-2016 over California. Finally, I expand on this joint inversion framework to include poroelastic deformation measured using InSAR over the Central Valley aquifer-system to solve for a change in water storage and groundwater storage over water years 2020-2021, the most recent drought period in California.

Name thesis:degree_name

Doctor of Philosophy

Level thesis:degree_level

doctoral

Discipline thesis:degree_discipline

Geosciences

Department dc:contributor.department

Geosciences

Grantor dc:publisher

Virginia Tech

Year dc:date.issued

2023

Author dc:creator

• Carlson, Grace Anne

Chair dc:contributor.committeechair

• Shirzaei, Manoochehr

Committee members dc:contributor.committeemember

• Burbey, Thomas J.
• Stamps, D. Sarah
• Werth, Susanna
• Hole, John Andrew

• Hydrogeodesy
• groundwater
• loading
• drought
• GRACE
• GNSS
• InSAR

Statement dc:rights

• Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

Licence dc:rights.uri

• http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Language dc:language.iso

en

Dc Identifier Other

vt_gsexam:36286

OAI identifier oai:identifier

oai:vtechworks.lib.vt.edu:10919/113647