Gaussian Processes for Power System Monitoring, Optimization, and Planning

The proliferation of renewables, electric vehicles, and power electronic devices calls for innovative approaches to learn, optimize, and plan the power system. The uncertain and volatile nature of the integrated components necessitates using swift and probabilistic solutions. Gaussian process regression is a machine learning paradigm that provides closed-form predictions with quantified uncertainties. The key property of Gaussian processes is the natural ability to integrate the sensitivity of the labels with respect to features, yielding improved accuracy. This dissertation tailors Gaussian process regression for three applications in power systems. First, a physics-informed approach is introduced to infer the grid dynamics using synchrophasor data with minimal network information. The suggested method is useful for a wide range of applications, including prediction, extrapolation, and anomaly detection. Further, the proposed framework accommodates heterogeneous noisy measurements with missing entries. Second, a learn-to-optimize scheme is presented using Gaussian process regression that predicts the optimal power flow minimizers given grid conditions. The main contribution is leveraging sensitivities to expedite learning and achieve data efficiency without compromising computational efficiency. Third, Bayesian optimization is applied to solve a bi-level minimization used for strategic investment in electricity markets. This method relies on modeling the cost of the outer problem as a Gaussian process and is applicable to non-convex and hard-to-evaluate objective functions. The designed algorithm shows significant improvement in speed while attaining a lower cost than existing methods.

Name thesis:degree_name

Doctor of Philosophy

Level thesis:degree_level

doctoral

Discipline thesis:degree_discipline

Electrical Engineering

Department dc:contributor.department

Electrical Engineering

Grantor dc:publisher

Virginia Tech

Year dc:date.issued

2022

Author dc:creator

• Jalali, Mana

Chair dc:contributor.committeechair

• Kekatos, Vasileios

Committee members dc:contributor.committeemember

• Embree, Mark P.
• Centeno, Virgilio A.
• Huang, Jia-Bin
• Liu, Chen-Ching

• Gaussian process regression
• Bayesian optimization
• random features

Statement dc:rights

• Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

Licence dc:rights.uri

• http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Language dc:language.iso

en

Dc Identifier Other

vt_gsexam:35307

OAI identifier oai:identifier

oai:vtechworks.lib.vt.edu:10919/111378