Driving Demands of a Successful Protest: A Comparative Analysis of Drivers That Leads To a Successful Outcome of Protest

<p>The 2020 Global Peace Index found that there has been a drastic increase of civil unrest incidents worldwide since 2011. According to the Index, there were 282% more riot cases and 821% more general strikes across the world, with Europe having the most riots, protests, and strikes. Extant literature suggests that protest is a web of interconnected demands that sends a weak signal to policymakers or the intended target. I examine some of the drivers of protest that are likely to impact the chances of protesters demands being met either in part or in full. I further analyze how each of those variables produce the same or similar outcomes in Africa and across the world in general. Using the Global Protest Tracker dataset, I hand code nine variables of 435 individual protest incidents from 132 countries. Using the probit regression model to analyze the data, I find that the duration of protest is significant in determining the success or failure of protesters demands being met both in Africa and the world at large. Other variables, such as violent government response or corruption motivated, protest is significant in determining the outcome of protests in Africa and the world at large. A rather unexpected finding of my study is that the number of participants during a protest insignificantly affects the outcome of the protest.</p>

Name thesis:degree_name

Master of Arts (MA)

Level thesis:degree_level

Masters Thesis

Year dc:date.available

2023

Author dc:creator

• Tetteh, Prince

Contributors dc:contributor

• Dr. Joseph Weinberg
• Dr. Iliyan Iliev
• Dr. Marek Steedman

• Protest
• Outcome of Protest
• Duration
• Government Response
• Africa

Repository record dc:identifier

https://aquila.usm.edu/masters_theses/963

OAI identifier oai:identifier

oai:aquila.usm.edu:masters_theses-2037