{"id":{"repo_id":"uiuc","oai_identifier":"oai:www.ideals.illinois.edu:2142/23369"},"canonical_url":"https://search.dev.ndltd.org/etd/uiuc/oai:www.ideals.illinois.edu:2142/23369","repository":{"repo_id":"uiuc","name":"University of Illinois - Urbana-Champaign","base_url":"https://www.ideals.illinois.edu/oai-pmh"},"display":{"title":"Pension plan for China: Application of dynamic modeling","abstract":"This study assesses the adequacy of China's current pension system in light of alternative assumptions regarding the growth of population and the growth of real economic activity.","abstract_html":"This study assesses the adequacy of China&#x27;s current pension system in light of alternative assumptions regarding the growth of population and the growth of real economic activity.","abstract_has_math":false,"creators":["Lu, Weili"],"institution":"University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign","degree_name":"Ph.D.","degree_level":"Dissertation","degree_discipline":"Finance","degree_department":null,"school":null,"contributors":["Bryan, William R."],"advisors":[],"committee_chairs":[],"committee_members":[],"year":2011,"date_issued":"2011-05-07T14:11:44Z","date_published":"2011-05-07T14:11:44Z","updated_at":"2026-07-22T22:25:21Z","subjects":["History, Asia, Australia and Oceania","Economics, Finance","Sociology, Public and Social Welfare"],"languages":["eng"],"rights":["Copyright 1996 Lu, Weili"],"rights_urls":[],"identifier_entries":[{"key":"dc:identifier","label":"Identifier","values":["9780591199284","AAI9712363","(UMI)AAI9712363"],"render_values":[{"text":"9780591199284","href":null,"code":true},{"text":"AAI9712363","href":null,"code":true},{"text":"(UMI)AAI9712363","href":null,"code":true}]}]},"links":{"outbound_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/2142/23369","outbound_label":"Handle","outbound_source":"dc:identifier"},"metadata_groups":[{"id":"people","label":"People","entries":[{"key":"dc:contributor","label":"Contributor","values":["Bryan, William R."]},{"key":"dc:creator","label":"Author","values":["Lu, Weili"]}]},{"id":"academic_context","label":"Academic Context","entries":[{"key":"dc:date","label":"Dc Date","values":["2011-05-07T14:11:44Z","10000-01-01","1996"]},{"key":"dc:type","label":"Dc Type","values":["text"]},{"key":"thesis:degree_discipline","label":"Discipline","values":["Finance"]},{"key":"thesis:degree_level","label":"Degree Level","values":["Dissertation"]},{"key":"thesis:degree_name","label":"Degree Name","values":["Ph.D."]},{"key":"thesis:institution_name","label":"Thesis Institution Name","values":["University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign"]}]},{"id":"subjects_keywords","label":"Subjects and Keywords","entries":[{"key":"dc:subject","label":"Dc Subject","values":["History, Asia, Australia and Oceania","Economics, Finance","Sociology, Public and Social Welfare"]}]},{"id":"language_rights","label":"Language and Rights","entries":[{"key":"dc:language","label":"Dc Language","values":["eng"]},{"key":"dc:rights","label":"Dc Rights","values":["Copyright 1996 Lu, Weili"]}]},{"id":"identifiers","label":"Identifiers","entries":[{"key":"dc:identifier","label":"Identifier","values":["9780591199284","AAI9712363","(UMI)AAI9712363","http://hdl.handle.net/2142/23369"]}]},{"id":"additional","label":"Additional Metadata","entries":[{"key":"dc:description","label":"Description","values":["This study assesses the adequacy of China's current pension system in light of alternative assumptions regarding the growth of population and the growth of real economic activity.","First, the demographics of the Chinese population and the existing pension system are introduced. Three major problems of the current pension system are discussed. Then, a population projection with three different fertility rates is presented and analyzed. The projection shows that under the one child policy, an imminent decrease in the working population and a dramatic increase in the elderly population presage the critical need for the pension system reform. Further, the current Chinese pension system is assessed in terms of its adequacy. The findings signal a warning for the pay-as-you-go system in the next ten years. Finally, some important suggestions are provided. Although raising the current retirement age may postpone the funding problem in the short-term, establishment of the proposed multi-tier pension system based on projected economic growth is shown to be the most feasible solution in the long-term.","In conclusion, the pension supply and demand problem caused by an aging population and the shrinking of the workforce can be adjusted properly provided that economic growth in China is maintained at a reasonable and stable level.","Made available in DSpace on 2011-05-07T14:11:44Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 license.txt: 4922 bytes, checksum: 910b249b4beec47e7ab768910c8f966f (MD5) 9712363.pdf: 6188684 bytes, checksum: 9d86536fe704561e8d34f5a549fddc8d (MD5) Previous issue date: 1996","Item marked as restricted to the 'UIUC Users [automated]' Group (id=2) by Howard Ding (hding2@illinois.edu) on 2011-05-07T15:04:00Z Item is restricted indefinitely.","Restriction data tranferred 2014-07-01T11:30:33-05:00 Original Data Group with Access UIUC Users [automated] Release Date: none Reason: ETDs are only available to UIUC Users without author permission","ETDs are only available to UIUC Users without author permission","U of I Only"]},{"key":"dc:title","label":"Title","values":["Pension plan for China: Application of dynamic modeling"]}]}],"canonical_facts":{"dc:contributor":["Bryan, William R."],"dc:creator":["Lu, Weili"],"dc:date":["2011-05-07T14:11:44Z","10000-01-01","1996"],"dc:description":["This study assesses the adequacy of China's current pension system in light of alternative assumptions regarding the growth of population and the growth of real economic activity.","First, the demographics of the Chinese population and the existing pension system are introduced. Three major problems of the current pension system are discussed. Then, a population projection with three different fertility rates is presented and analyzed. The projection shows that under the one child policy, an imminent decrease in the working population and a dramatic increase in the elderly population presage the critical need for the pension system reform. Further, the current Chinese pension system is assessed in terms of its adequacy. The findings signal a warning for the pay-as-you-go system in the next ten years. Finally, some important suggestions are provided. Although raising the current retirement age may postpone the funding problem in the short-term, establishment of the proposed multi-tier pension system based on projected economic growth is shown to be the most feasible solution in the long-term.","In conclusion, the pension supply and demand problem caused by an aging population and the shrinking of the workforce can be adjusted properly provided that economic growth in China is maintained at a reasonable and stable level.","Made available in DSpace on 2011-05-07T14:11:44Z (GMT). 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