{"id":{"repo_id":"uiuc","oai_identifier":"oai:www.ideals.illinois.edu:2142/120178"},"canonical_url":"https://search.dev.ndltd.org/etd/uiuc/oai:www.ideals.illinois.edu:2142/120178","repository":{"repo_id":"uiuc","name":"University of Illinois - Urbana-Champaign","base_url":"https://www.ideals.illinois.edu/oai-pmh"},"display":{"title":"Influence of climate uncertainties on western U.S fire risk projections","abstract":"Submission original under an indefinite embargo labeled 'Open Access'. The submission was exported from vireo on 2023-09-01 without embargo terms","abstract_html":"Submission original under an indefinite embargo labeled 'Open Access'. The submission was exported from vireo on 2023-09-01 without embargo terms","abstract_has_math":false,"creators":["Samantula, Charumeghana"],"institution":"University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign","degree_name":"M.S.","degree_level":"Thesis","degree_discipline":"Civil Engineering","degree_department":null,"school":null,"contributors":["Sriver, Ryan L","Zhao, Lei"],"advisors":[],"committee_chairs":[],"committee_members":[],"year":2023,"date_issued":"2023-05","date_published":"2023-05","updated_at":"2026-07-22T22:24:56Z","subjects":["Fire Risk","Climate Data","Downscaled Climate Models, Wildfire Risk","Fire Weather Index"],"languages":["en","eng"],"rights":["Copyright 2023 Charumeghana Samantula"],"rights_urls":[],"identifier_entries":[]},"links":{"outbound_url":"https://hdl.handle.net/2142/120178","outbound_label":"Handle","outbound_source":"dc:identifier"},"metadata_groups":[{"id":"people","label":"People","entries":[{"key":"dc:contributor","label":"Contributor","values":["Sriver, Ryan L","Zhao, Lei"]},{"key":"dc:creator","label":"Author","values":["Samantula, Charumeghana"]}]},{"id":"academic_context","label":"Academic Context","entries":[{"key":"dc:date","label":"Dc Date","values":["2023-05","2023-05-05"]},{"key":"dc:type","label":"Dc Type","values":["text"]},{"key":"thesis:degree_discipline","label":"Discipline","values":["Civil Engineering"]},{"key":"thesis:degree_level","label":"Degree Level","values":["Thesis"]},{"key":"thesis:degree_name","label":"Degree Name","values":["M.S."]},{"key":"thesis:institution_name","label":"Thesis Institution Name","values":["University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign"]}]},{"id":"subjects_keywords","label":"Subjects and Keywords","entries":[{"key":"dc:subject","label":"Dc Subject","values":["Fire Risk","Climate Data","Downscaled Climate Models, Wildfire Risk","Fire Weather Index"]}]},{"id":"language_rights","label":"Language and Rights","entries":[{"key":"dc:language","label":"Dc Language","values":["en","eng"]},{"key":"dc:rights","label":"Dc Rights","values":["Copyright 2023 Charumeghana Samantula"]}]},{"id":"identifiers","label":"Identifiers","entries":[{"key":"dc:identifier","label":"Identifier","values":["https://hdl.handle.net/2142/120178"]}]},{"id":"additional","label":"Additional Metadata","entries":[{"key":"dc:description","label":"Description","values":["Submission original under an indefinite embargo labeled 'Open Access'. The submission was exported from vireo on 2023-09-01 without embargo terms","The student, Charumeghana Samantula, accepted the attached license on 2023-05-04 at 17:40.","The student, Charumeghana Samantula, submitted this Thesis for approval on 2023-05-04 at 17:47.","This Thesis was approved for publication on 2023-05-05 at 10:31.","DSpace SAF Submission Ingestion Package generated from Vireo submission #19342 on 2023-09-01 at 16:56:20","This study explores the impact of climate change on fire risk in the Western United States, with a focus on two regions in California - Southern and Northern California. In recent years, the region has experienced a significant increase in the frequency and severity of wildfires, with climate change being a primary driver of this trend. The study analyzes daily climate parameters and their effects on the Fire Weather Index (FWI) time series using two different downscaled model ensembles: MACA-CMIP5 and NEX-GDDP-CMIP6. We also capture the skill of model ensembles in capturing the observed trends in fire risk and project the fire risk for various future scenarios using FWI as the metric. Three metrics - Pearson's correlation coefficient, random forest feature importance, and linear regression coefficient - are used to explore the relationship between climate parameters and FWI values, and to gain insights into the relative importance of different climate parameters in predicting wildfire risk and their potential spatial and temporal variations. Existing literature has identified several key climate drivers of wildfire risk in the Western US, including warming temperatures, decreasing relative humidity, and changes in precipitation patterns. However, the exact nature and extent of these relationships, and how they may vary across different spatial regions and time periods, are still being investigated. By understanding these factors and developing strategies to address them, it may be possible to mitigate the impacts of climate change on fire risk and reduce the frequency and severity of wildfires in the western US."]},{"key":"dc:format","label":"Dc Format","values":["application/pdf"]},{"key":"dc:title","label":"Title","values":["Influence of climate uncertainties on western U.S fire risk projections"]}]}],"canonical_facts":{"dc:contributor":["Sriver, Ryan L","Zhao, Lei"],"dc:creator":["Samantula, Charumeghana"],"dc:date":["2023-05","2023-05-05"],"dc:description":["Submission original under an indefinite embargo labeled 'Open Access'. The submission was exported from vireo on 2023-09-01 without embargo terms","The student, Charumeghana Samantula, accepted the attached license on 2023-05-04 at 17:40.","The student, Charumeghana Samantula, submitted this Thesis for approval on 2023-05-04 at 17:47.","This Thesis was approved for publication on 2023-05-05 at 10:31.","DSpace SAF Submission Ingestion Package generated from Vireo submission #19342 on 2023-09-01 at 16:56:20","This study explores the impact of climate change on fire risk in the Western United States, with a focus on two regions in California - Southern and Northern California. In recent years, the region has experienced a significant increase in the frequency and severity of wildfires, with climate change being a primary driver of this trend. The study analyzes daily climate parameters and their effects on the Fire Weather Index (FWI) time series using two different downscaled model ensembles: MACA-CMIP5 and NEX-GDDP-CMIP6. We also capture the skill of model ensembles in capturing the observed trends in fire risk and project the fire risk for various future scenarios using FWI as the metric. Three metrics - Pearson's correlation coefficient, random forest feature importance, and linear regression coefficient - are used to explore the relationship between climate parameters and FWI values, and to gain insights into the relative importance of different climate parameters in predicting wildfire risk and their potential spatial and temporal variations. Existing literature has identified several key climate drivers of wildfire risk in the Western US, including warming temperatures, decreasing relative humidity, and changes in precipitation patterns. However, the exact nature and extent of these relationships, and how they may vary across different spatial regions and time periods, are still being investigated. By understanding these factors and developing strategies to address them, it may be possible to mitigate the impacts of climate change on fire risk and reduce the frequency and severity of wildfires in the western US."],"dc:format":["application/pdf"],"dc:identifier":["https://hdl.handle.net/2142/120178"],"dc:language":["en","eng"],"dc:rights":["Copyright 2023 Charumeghana Samantula"],"dc:subject":["Fire Risk","Climate Data","Downscaled Climate Models, Wildfire Risk","Fire Weather Index"],"dc:title":["Influence of climate uncertainties on western U.S fire risk projections"],"dc:type":["text"],"thesis:degree_discipline":["Civil Engineering"],"thesis:degree_level":["Thesis"],"thesis:degree_name":["M.S."],"thesis:institution_name":["University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign"]},"updated_at":"2026-07-22T22:24:56Z"}