{"id":{"repo_id":"uiuc","oai_identifier":"oai:www.ideals.illinois.edu:2142/115738"},"canonical_url":"https://search.dev.ndltd.org/etd/uiuc/oai:www.ideals.illinois.edu:2142/115738","repository":{"repo_id":"uiuc","name":"University of Illinois - Urbana-Champaign","base_url":"https://www.ideals.illinois.edu/oai-pmh"},"display":{"title":"Future growth in global meat consumption: three income scenarios","abstract":"Submission published under a 24 month embargo labeled 'Closed Access', the embargo will last until 2024-05-01","abstract_html":"Submission published under a 24 month embargo labeled 'Closed Access', the embargo will last until 2024-05-01","abstract_has_math":false,"creators":["Kuck, Gretchen"],"institution":"University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign","degree_name":"M.S.","degree_level":"Thesis","degree_discipline":"Agricultural & Applied Econ","degree_department":null,"school":null,"contributors":["Schnitkey, Gary D","Goldsmith, Peter","Paulson, Nick"],"advisors":[],"committee_chairs":[],"committee_members":[],"year":2022,"date_issued":"2022-05","date_published":"2022-05","updated_at":"2026-07-22T22:24:55Z","subjects":["consumption projections","meat demand"],"languages":["en","eng"],"rights":["Copyright 2022 Gretchen Kuck"],"rights_urls":[],"identifier_entries":[]},"links":{"outbound_url":"https://hdl.handle.net/2142/115738","outbound_label":"Handle","outbound_source":"dc:identifier"},"metadata_groups":[{"id":"people","label":"People","entries":[{"key":"dc:contributor","label":"Contributor","values":["Schnitkey, Gary D","Goldsmith, Peter","Paulson, Nick"]},{"key":"dc:creator","label":"Author","values":["Kuck, Gretchen"]}]},{"id":"academic_context","label":"Academic Context","entries":[{"key":"dc:date","label":"Dc Date","values":["2022-05","2022-04-27"]},{"key":"dc:type","label":"Dc Type","values":["text","Thesis"]},{"key":"thesis:degree_discipline","label":"Discipline","values":["Agricultural & Applied Econ"]},{"key":"thesis:degree_level","label":"Degree Level","values":["Thesis"]},{"key":"thesis:degree_name","label":"Degree Name","values":["M.S."]},{"key":"thesis:institution_name","label":"Thesis Institution Name","values":["University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign"]}]},{"id":"subjects_keywords","label":"Subjects and Keywords","entries":[{"key":"dc:subject","label":"Dc Subject","values":["consumption projections","meat demand"]}]},{"id":"language_rights","label":"Language and Rights","entries":[{"key":"dc:language","label":"Dc Language","values":["en","eng"]},{"key":"dc:rights","label":"Dc Rights","values":["Copyright 2022 Gretchen Kuck"]}]},{"id":"identifiers","label":"Identifiers","entries":[{"key":"dc:identifier","label":"Identifier","values":["https://hdl.handle.net/2142/115738"]}]},{"id":"additional","label":"Additional Metadata","entries":[{"key":"dc:description","label":"Description","values":["Submission published under a 24 month embargo labeled 'Closed Access', the embargo will last until 2024-05-01","The student, Gretchen Kuck, accepted the attached license on 2022-04-21 at 08:45.","The student, Gretchen Kuck, submitted this Thesis for approval on 2022-04-21 at 08:50.","This Thesis was approved for publication on 2022-04-27 at 16:54.","DSpace SAF Submission Ingestion Package generated from Vireo submission #17873 on 2022-11-11 at 12:57:59","Meat has played an increasingly important role in both the human diet and the agricultural economy over time. As it stands the global population is currently eating more beef, pork, and chicken than ever, which begs the question: can (will) consumption go up from here? This thesis models the impacts of different plausible income scenarios on future meat consumption at the global scale in context of the idea that income drives increased meat consumption until a point of saturation. Several far-reaching economic events have occurred in the past two decades, necessitating an updated understanding of the relationship between income and consumption growth. The analysis is concerned with several questions that will impact stakeholders over the next period of consumption: how much meat will be consumed by the global system, the division of the three different meat types among this total volume, and the geographical distribution and implications of expected future growth. To answer these questions, income elasticities for beef, pork, and chicken are estimated using historical price, income, and consumption data for a set of 26 countries. Applying several different hypothetical income scenarios to the model, the resulting meat consumption projections increase understanding of the role that economic forces play in shaping global meat demand in a modern, globalized food system. The testing of different scenarios confirms that while the majority of meat consumption by volume occurs in large higher-income countries, most future consumption growth will come from middle-income countries. However, because the model finds that meat consumption income elasticities are higher at lower incomes (particularly for chicken and beef), the scenario testing is clear that negative economic events will have a larger downward effect on global meat consumption than future increases in income will have a positive effect."]},{"key":"dc:format","label":"Dc Format","values":["application/pdf"]},{"key":"dc:title","label":"Title","values":["Future growth in global meat consumption: three income scenarios"]}]}],"canonical_facts":{"dc:contributor":["Schnitkey, Gary D","Goldsmith, Peter","Paulson, Nick"],"dc:creator":["Kuck, Gretchen"],"dc:date":["2022-05","2022-04-27"],"dc:description":["Submission published under a 24 month embargo labeled 'Closed Access', the embargo will last until 2024-05-01","The student, Gretchen Kuck, accepted the attached license on 2022-04-21 at 08:45.","The student, Gretchen Kuck, submitted this Thesis for approval on 2022-04-21 at 08:50.","This Thesis was approved for publication on 2022-04-27 at 16:54.","DSpace SAF Submission Ingestion Package generated from Vireo submission #17873 on 2022-11-11 at 12:57:59","Meat has played an increasingly important role in both the human diet and the agricultural economy over time. As it stands the global population is currently eating more beef, pork, and chicken than ever, which begs the question: can (will) consumption go up from here? This thesis models the impacts of different plausible income scenarios on future meat consumption at the global scale in context of the idea that income drives increased meat consumption until a point of saturation. Several far-reaching economic events have occurred in the past two decades, necessitating an updated understanding of the relationship between income and consumption growth. The analysis is concerned with several questions that will impact stakeholders over the next period of consumption: how much meat will be consumed by the global system, the division of the three different meat types among this total volume, and the geographical distribution and implications of expected future growth. To answer these questions, income elasticities for beef, pork, and chicken are estimated using historical price, income, and consumption data for a set of 26 countries. Applying several different hypothetical income scenarios to the model, the resulting meat consumption projections increase understanding of the role that economic forces play in shaping global meat demand in a modern, globalized food system. The testing of different scenarios confirms that while the majority of meat consumption by volume occurs in large higher-income countries, most future consumption growth will come from middle-income countries. However, because the model finds that meat consumption income elasticities are higher at lower incomes (particularly for chicken and beef), the scenario testing is clear that negative economic events will have a larger downward effect on global meat consumption than future increases in income will have a positive effect."],"dc:format":["application/pdf"],"dc:identifier":["https://hdl.handle.net/2142/115738"],"dc:language":["en","eng"],"dc:rights":["Copyright 2022 Gretchen Kuck"],"dc:subject":["consumption projections","meat demand"],"dc:title":["Future growth in global meat consumption: three income scenarios"],"dc:type":["text","Thesis"],"thesis:degree_discipline":["Agricultural & Applied Econ"],"thesis:degree_level":["Thesis"],"thesis:degree_name":["M.S."],"thesis:institution_name":["University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign"]},"updated_at":"2026-07-22T22:24:55Z"}