{"id":{"repo_id":"uiuc","oai_identifier":"oai:www.ideals.illinois.edu:2142/113951"},"canonical_url":"https://search.dev.ndltd.org/etd/uiuc/oai:www.ideals.illinois.edu:2142/113951","repository":{"repo_id":"uiuc","name":"University of Illinois - Urbana-Champaign","base_url":"https://www.ideals.illinois.edu/oai-pmh"},"display":{"title":"Three essays on economic development in sub-Saharan Africa","abstract":"Submission published under a 24 month embargo labeled 'U of I Access', the embargo will last until 2023-12-01","abstract_html":"Submission published under a 24 month embargo labeled 'U of I Access', the embargo will last until 2023-12-01","abstract_has_math":false,"creators":["Anderson, Patrese"],"institution":"University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign","degree_name":"Ph.D.","degree_level":"Dissertation","degree_discipline":"Agricultural & Applied Econ","degree_department":null,"school":null,"contributors":["Baylis, Kathy","Michelson, Hope","Hutchins, Jared","Evans , Tom"],"advisors":[],"committee_chairs":[],"committee_members":[],"year":2022,"date_issued":"2022-04-29T21:42:53Z","date_published":"2022-04-29T21:42:53Z","updated_at":"2026-07-22T22:24:53Z","subjects":["Agriculture"],"languages":["en","eng"],"rights":["Copyright 2021 Patrese Anderson"],"rights_urls":[],"identifier_entries":[]},"links":{"outbound_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/2142/113951","outbound_label":"Handle","outbound_source":"dc:identifier"},"metadata_groups":[{"id":"people","label":"People","entries":[{"key":"dc:contributor","label":"Contributor","values":["Baylis, Kathy","Michelson, Hope","Hutchins, Jared","Evans , Tom"]},{"key":"dc:creator","label":"Author","values":["Anderson, Patrese"]}]},{"id":"academic_context","label":"Academic Context","entries":[{"key":"dc:date","label":"Dc Date","values":["2022-04-29T21:42:53Z","2024-04-29T21:47:53Z","2021-12","2021-09-15"]},{"key":"dc:type","label":"Dc Type","values":["text","Thesis"]},{"key":"thesis:degree_discipline","label":"Discipline","values":["Agricultural & Applied Econ"]},{"key":"thesis:degree_level","label":"Degree Level","values":["Dissertation"]},{"key":"thesis:degree_name","label":"Degree Name","values":["Ph.D."]},{"key":"thesis:institution_name","label":"Thesis Institution Name","values":["University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign"]}]},{"id":"subjects_keywords","label":"Subjects and Keywords","entries":[{"key":"dc:subject","label":"Dc Subject","values":["Agriculture"]}]},{"id":"language_rights","label":"Language and Rights","entries":[{"key":"dc:language","label":"Dc Language","values":["en","eng"]},{"key":"dc:rights","label":"Dc Rights","values":["Copyright 2021 Patrese Anderson"]}]},{"id":"identifiers","label":"Identifiers","entries":[{"key":"dc:identifier","label":"Identifier","values":["http://hdl.handle.net/2142/113951"]}]},{"id":"additional","label":"Additional Metadata","entries":[{"key":"dc:description","label":"Description","values":["Submission published under a 24 month embargo labeled 'U of I Access', the embargo will last until 2023-12-01","The student, Patrese Anderson, accepted the attached license on 2021-09-13 at 12:06.","The student, Patrese Anderson, submitted this Dissertation for approval on 2021-09-13 at 12:14.","This Dissertation was approved for publication on 2021-09-15 at 09:41.","DSpace SAF Submission Ingestion Package generated from Vireo submission #17129 on 2022-04-06 at 17:16:35","Made available in DSpace on 2022-04-29T21:42:53Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 ANDERSON-DISSERTATION-2021.pdf: 7806724 bytes, checksum: 8dd97313cfecdbc7b0513d16a65136ea (MD5) LICENSE.txt: 4213 bytes, checksum: 8def1fde61d621e45da1d04e42704ea3 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2021-09-15","Embargo set by: Seth Robbins for item 123313 Lift date: 2024-04-29T21:43:01Z Reason: Author requested U of Illinois access only (OA after 2yrs) in Vireo ETD system","Embargo set by: Seth Robbins for item 123313 Lift date: 2024-04-29T21:44:44Z Reason: Author requested U of Illinois access only (OA after 2yrs) in Vireo ETD system","Embargo set by: Seth Robbins for item 123313 Lift date: 2024-04-29T21:46:25Z Reason: Author requested U of Illinois access only (OA after 2yrs) in Vireo ETD system","Embargo set by: Seth Robbins for item 123313 Lift date: 2024-04-29T21:47:53Z Reason: Author requested U of Illinois access only (OA after 2yrs) in Vireo ETD system","Author requested U of Illinois access only (OA after 2yrs) in Vireo ETD system","U of I Only","The frequency and severity of droughts, floods, and abnormal temperatures is increasing throughout sub-Saharan Africa, where agricultural crop production is primarily rainfed. An extensive body of research links climate shocks to decreases in staple crop production. As most households throughout sub-Saharan Africa are dependent on staple crops for both income and consumption, these shocks are often detrimental to household welfare. In theory, by facilitating the movement of agricultural commodities from surplus to deficit areas, well-functioning markets should mitigate such detrimental effects and prohibit food shortfalls caused by climate shocks. However, in developing countries, due to lack of market integration, price volatility, and other market failures, this does not often happen. This dissertation contains three papers on the interactions between markets and rural households in sub-Saharan Africa. Specifically, the focus is on factors that contribute to food access and availability for rural households, staple food price transmission occurring between both urban and rural markets, and mechanisms through which rural households cope with the long-term effects of climate change. Food markets play a critical role in facilitating access to well-balanced and nutritious food options year-round. Yet, their role in mitigating household food insecurity is understudied in rural developing areas. Rural food markets are heterogeneous across different dimensions; some are small and informal with a few traders, and others are large and highly formalized by rules and governing entities. Due to heterogeneity over multiple dimensions, it is not clear which characteristics of markets matter most for supporting household food security. In the first paper of this dissertation, I use primary data from Zambia to construct a taxonomy of rural market characteristics on four dimensions: formality, competition, access, and product sourcing. To understand the associations that different market types have with surrounding households, the results from the taxonomy are incorporated into several fixed effects specifications. The empirical analysis provides evidence that rural households support a substantial proportion of their dietary diversity through the consumption of foods purchased from local markets. Specifically, I find statistically significant and positive associations occurring between a household’s proximity to large and highly formalized markets and several household food security measures. This result holds for households located both near and far from tarmac roads, which suggests that markets play a vital role in household food security in remote areas and areas with better accessibility to district towns and urban centers. Food security includes both physical and economic access to food. For many households, in both rural and urban areas, affordability is a pivotal factor in determining food access. In the second paper, I use machine learning and traditional econometric methods to construct predictive models of weekly maize prices across 28 markets located in both urban and rural areas of Malawi. I use the errors from the predictive models to make an inference on the degree of price transmission occurring within Malawian maize markets. In this paper the power and potential benefits for using machine learning models to predict maize prices in developing countries is demonstrated. These benefits include the ability to accommodate many covariates while still maintaining high predictive accuracy. Additionally, this paper provides evidence that, contrary to theory, both rural and urban markets play a key role in explaining price transmission occurring between markets. The third paper of this dissertation focuses on the links between rainfall variability and migration. Using data from the Malawi Longitudinal Study of Families and Health (MLSFH) and its supplementary Migration and Health in Malawi (MHM) survey, a dataset of migration histories linking rainfall at the destination and origin to each migrant move was constructed. This data set is used in several linear probability models. These models provide evidence that the probability of an individual’s decision to migrate is positively affected by favorable weather conditions at both the destination and the origin."]},{"key":"dc:format","label":"Dc Format","values":["application/pdf"]},{"key":"dc:title","label":"Title","values":["Three essays on economic development in sub-Saharan Africa"]}]}],"canonical_facts":{"dc:contributor":["Baylis, Kathy","Michelson, Hope","Hutchins, Jared","Evans , Tom"],"dc:creator":["Anderson, Patrese"],"dc:date":["2022-04-29T21:42:53Z","2024-04-29T21:47:53Z","2021-12","2021-09-15"],"dc:description":["Submission published under a 24 month embargo labeled 'U of I Access', the embargo will last until 2023-12-01","The student, Patrese Anderson, accepted the attached license on 2021-09-13 at 12:06.","The student, Patrese Anderson, submitted this Dissertation for approval on 2021-09-13 at 12:14.","This Dissertation was approved for publication on 2021-09-15 at 09:41.","DSpace SAF Submission Ingestion Package generated from Vireo submission #17129 on 2022-04-06 at 17:16:35","Made available in DSpace on 2022-04-29T21:42:53Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 ANDERSON-DISSERTATION-2021.pdf: 7806724 bytes, checksum: 8dd97313cfecdbc7b0513d16a65136ea (MD5) LICENSE.txt: 4213 bytes, checksum: 8def1fde61d621e45da1d04e42704ea3 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2021-09-15","Embargo set by: Seth Robbins for item 123313 Lift date: 2024-04-29T21:43:01Z Reason: Author requested U of Illinois access only (OA after 2yrs) in Vireo ETD system","Embargo set by: Seth Robbins for item 123313 Lift date: 2024-04-29T21:44:44Z Reason: Author requested U of Illinois access only (OA after 2yrs) in Vireo ETD system","Embargo set by: Seth Robbins for item 123313 Lift date: 2024-04-29T21:46:25Z Reason: Author requested U of Illinois access only (OA after 2yrs) in Vireo ETD system","Embargo set by: Seth Robbins for item 123313 Lift date: 2024-04-29T21:47:53Z Reason: Author requested U of Illinois access only (OA after 2yrs) in Vireo ETD system","Author requested U of Illinois access only (OA after 2yrs) in Vireo ETD system","U of I Only","The frequency and severity of droughts, floods, and abnormal temperatures is increasing throughout sub-Saharan Africa, where agricultural crop production is primarily rainfed. An extensive body of research links climate shocks to decreases in staple crop production. As most households throughout sub-Saharan Africa are dependent on staple crops for both income and consumption, these shocks are often detrimental to household welfare. In theory, by facilitating the movement of agricultural commodities from surplus to deficit areas, well-functioning markets should mitigate such detrimental effects and prohibit food shortfalls caused by climate shocks. However, in developing countries, due to lack of market integration, price volatility, and other market failures, this does not often happen. This dissertation contains three papers on the interactions between markets and rural households in sub-Saharan Africa. Specifically, the focus is on factors that contribute to food access and availability for rural households, staple food price transmission occurring between both urban and rural markets, and mechanisms through which rural households cope with the long-term effects of climate change. Food markets play a critical role in facilitating access to well-balanced and nutritious food options year-round. Yet, their role in mitigating household food insecurity is understudied in rural developing areas. Rural food markets are heterogeneous across different dimensions; some are small and informal with a few traders, and others are large and highly formalized by rules and governing entities. Due to heterogeneity over multiple dimensions, it is not clear which characteristics of markets matter most for supporting household food security. In the first paper of this dissertation, I use primary data from Zambia to construct a taxonomy of rural market characteristics on four dimensions: formality, competition, access, and product sourcing. To understand the associations that different market types have with surrounding households, the results from the taxonomy are incorporated into several fixed effects specifications. The empirical analysis provides evidence that rural households support a substantial proportion of their dietary diversity through the consumption of foods purchased from local markets. Specifically, I find statistically significant and positive associations occurring between a household’s proximity to large and highly formalized markets and several household food security measures. This result holds for households located both near and far from tarmac roads, which suggests that markets play a vital role in household food security in remote areas and areas with better accessibility to district towns and urban centers. Food security includes both physical and economic access to food. For many households, in both rural and urban areas, affordability is a pivotal factor in determining food access. In the second paper, I use machine learning and traditional econometric methods to construct predictive models of weekly maize prices across 28 markets located in both urban and rural areas of Malawi. I use the errors from the predictive models to make an inference on the degree of price transmission occurring within Malawian maize markets. In this paper the power and potential benefits for using machine learning models to predict maize prices in developing countries is demonstrated. These benefits include the ability to accommodate many covariates while still maintaining high predictive accuracy. Additionally, this paper provides evidence that, contrary to theory, both rural and urban markets play a key role in explaining price transmission occurring between markets. The third paper of this dissertation focuses on the links between rainfall variability and migration. Using data from the Malawi Longitudinal Study of Families and Health (MLSFH) and its supplementary Migration and Health in Malawi (MHM) survey, a dataset of migration histories linking rainfall at the destination and origin to each migrant move was constructed. This data set is used in several linear probability models. These models provide evidence that the probability of an individual’s decision to migrate is positively affected by favorable weather conditions at both the destination and the origin."],"dc:format":["application/pdf"],"dc:identifier":["http://hdl.handle.net/2142/113951"],"dc:language":["en","eng"],"dc:rights":["Copyright 2021 Patrese Anderson"],"dc:subject":["Agriculture"],"dc:title":["Three essays on economic development in sub-Saharan Africa"],"dc:type":["text","Thesis"],"thesis:degree_discipline":["Agricultural & Applied Econ"],"thesis:degree_level":["Dissertation"],"thesis:degree_name":["Ph.D."],"thesis:institution_name":["University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign"]},"updated_at":"2026-07-22T22:24:53Z"}