{"id":{"repo_id":"soton","oai_identifier":"oai:eprints.soton.ac.uk:79448"},"canonical_url":"https://search.dev.ndltd.org/etd/soton/oai:eprints.soton.ac.uk:79448","repository":{"repo_id":"soton","name":"University of Southampton","base_url":"https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/cgi/oai2"},"display":{"title":"Wave energy resource assessment","abstract":"The use of satellite altimeter data for spatial mapping of the wave resource is examined.<br/>A new algorithm for estimating wave period from altimeter data is developed and<br/>validated, which enables estimates of wave energy converter (WEC) power to be<br/>derived. Maps of the long-term mean WEC power from altimeter data are of a higher<br/>spatial resolution than is available from global wave model data. They can be used for<br/>identifying promising wave energy locations along particular stretches of coastline,<br/>before a detailed study using nearshore models is undertaken.<br/><br/>The accuracy of estimates of WEC power from wave model data is considered. Without<br/>calibration estimates of the mean WEC power from model data can be biased of the<br/>order of 10-20%. The calibration of wave model data is complicated by non-linear<br/>dependence of model parameters on multiple factors, and seasonal and interannual<br/>changes in biases. After calibration the accuracy in the estimate of the historic power<br/>production at a site is of the order of 5%, but the changing biases make it difficult to<br/>specify the accuracy more precisely.<br/><br/>The accuracy of predictions of the future energy yield from a WEC is limited by the<br/>accuracy of the historic data and the variability in the resource. The variability in 5, 10<br/>and 20 year mean power levels is studied for an area in the north of Scotland, and<br/>shown to be greater than if annual power anomalies were uncorrelated noise. The<br/>sensitivity of WEC power production to climate change is also examined, and it is<br/>shown that the change in wave climate over the life time of a wave farm is likely to be<br/>small in comparison to the natural level of variability. It is shown that despite the<br/>uncertainty related to variability in the wave climate, improvements in the accuracy of<br/>historic data will improve the accuracy of predictions of future WEC yield.<br/><br/>The topic of extreme wave analysis is also considered. A comparison of estimators for<br/>the generalised Pareto distribution (GPD) is presented. It is recommended that the<br/>Likelihood-Moment estimator should be used in preference to other estimators for the<br/>GPD. The use of seasonal models for extremes is also considered. In contrast to<br/>assertions made in previous studies, it is demonstrated that non-seasonal models have a<br/>lower bias and variance than models which analyse the data in separate seasons.","abstract_html":"The use of satellite altimeter data for spatial mapping of the wave resource is examined.&lt;br/&gt;A new algorithm for estimating wave period from altimeter data is developed and&lt;br/&gt;validated, which enables estimates of wave energy converter (WEC) power to be&lt;br/&gt;derived. Maps of the long-term mean WEC power from altimeter data are of a higher&lt;br/&gt;spatial resolution than is available from global wave model data. They can be used for&lt;br/&gt;identifying promising wave energy locations along particular stretches of coastline,&lt;br/&gt;before a detailed study using nearshore models is undertaken.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;The accuracy of estimates of WEC power from wave model data is considered. Without&lt;br/&gt;calibration estimates of the mean WEC power from model data can be biased of the&lt;br/&gt;order of 10-20%. The calibration of wave model data is complicated by non-linear&lt;br/&gt;dependence of model parameters on multiple factors, and seasonal and interannual&lt;br/&gt;changes in biases. After calibration the accuracy in the estimate of the historic power&lt;br/&gt;production at a site is of the order of 5%, but the changing biases make it difficult to&lt;br/&gt;specify the accuracy more precisely.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;The accuracy of predictions of the future energy yield from a WEC is limited by the&lt;br/&gt;accuracy of the historic data and the variability in the resource. The variability in 5, 10&lt;br/&gt;and 20 year mean power levels is studied for an area in the north of Scotland, and&lt;br/&gt;shown to be greater than if annual power anomalies were uncorrelated noise. The&lt;br/&gt;sensitivity of WEC power production to climate change is also examined, and it is&lt;br/&gt;shown that the change in wave climate over the life time of a wave farm is likely to be&lt;br/&gt;small in comparison to the natural level of variability. It is shown that despite the&lt;br/&gt;uncertainty related to variability in the wave climate, improvements in the accuracy of&lt;br/&gt;historic data will improve the accuracy of predictions of future WEC yield.&lt;br/&gt;&lt;br/&gt;The topic of extreme wave analysis is also considered. A comparison of estimators for&lt;br/&gt;the generalised Pareto distribution (GPD) is presented. It is recommended that the&lt;br/&gt;Likelihood-Moment estimator should be used in preference to other estimators for the&lt;br/&gt;GPD. The use of seasonal models for extremes is also considered. In contrast to&lt;br/&gt;assertions made in previous studies, it is demonstrated that non-seasonal models have a&lt;br/&gt;lower bias and variance than models which analyse the data in separate seasons.","abstract_has_math":false,"creators":["Mackay, Edward B.L."],"institution":"University of Southampton","degree_name":"Ph.D.","degree_level":"doctoral","degree_discipline":null,"degree_department":null,"school":null,"contributors":[],"advisors":["Bahaj, A.S."],"committee_chairs":[],"committee_members":[],"year":2009,"date_issued":"2009-06","date_published":"2009-06","updated_at":"2026-07-24T04:36:10Z","subjects":[],"languages":[],"rights":[],"rights_urls":[],"identifier_entries":[]},"links":{"outbound_url":null,"outbound_label":null,"outbound_source":null},"metadata_groups":[{"id":"people","label":"People","entries":[{"key":"dc:contributor.advisor","label":"Advisor","values":["Bahaj, A.S."]},{"key":"dc:creator","label":"Author","values":["Mackay, Edward B.L."]}]},{"id":"academic_context","label":"Academic Context","entries":[{"key":"dc:date","label":"Dc Date","values":["2009-06"]},{"key":"dc:date.issued","label":"Date","values":["2009-06"]},{"key":"dc:publisher.department","label":"Dc Publisher Department","values":["Civil Engineering & the Environment (pre 2011 reorg)","School of Civil Engineering and the Environment"]},{"key":"dc:publisher.institution","label":"Dc Publisher Institution","values":["University of Southampton"]},{"key":"dc:relation.isreferencedby","label":"Dc Relation Isreferencedby","values":["https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/79448/"]},{"key":"dc:type","label":"Dc Type","values":["Thesis"]},{"key":"dc:type.qualificationlevel","label":"Dc Type Qualificationlevel","values":["doctoral"]},{"key":"dc:type.qualificationname","label":"Dc Type Qualificationname","values":["Ph.D."]}]},{"id":"identifiers","label":"Identifiers","entries":[{"key":"dc:identifier.uri","label":"Identifier URI","values":["https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/79448/1/EMACKAY_Thesis.pdf"]}]},{"id":"additional","label":"Additional Metadata","entries":[{"key":"dc:description.abstract","label":"Abstract","values":["The use of satellite altimeter data for spatial mapping of the wave resource is examined.<br/>A new algorithm for estimating wave period from altimeter data is developed and<br/>validated, which enables estimates of wave energy converter (WEC) power to be<br/>derived. Maps of the long-term mean WEC power from altimeter data are of a higher<br/>spatial resolution than is available from global wave model data. They can be used for<br/>identifying promising wave energy locations along particular stretches of coastline,<br/>before a detailed study using nearshore models is undertaken.<br/><br/>The accuracy of estimates of WEC power from wave model data is considered. Without<br/>calibration estimates of the mean WEC power from model data can be biased of the<br/>order of 10-20%. The calibration of wave model data is complicated by non-linear<br/>dependence of model parameters on multiple factors, and seasonal and interannual<br/>changes in biases. After calibration the accuracy in the estimate of the historic power<br/>production at a site is of the order of 5%, but the changing biases make it difficult to<br/>specify the accuracy more precisely.<br/><br/>The accuracy of predictions of the future energy yield from a WEC is limited by the<br/>accuracy of the historic data and the variability in the resource. The variability in 5, 10<br/>and 20 year mean power levels is studied for an area in the north of Scotland, and<br/>shown to be greater than if annual power anomalies were uncorrelated noise. The<br/>sensitivity of WEC power production to climate change is also examined, and it is<br/>shown that the change in wave climate over the life time of a wave farm is likely to be<br/>small in comparison to the natural level of variability. It is shown that despite the<br/>uncertainty related to variability in the wave climate, improvements in the accuracy of<br/>historic data will improve the accuracy of predictions of future WEC yield.<br/><br/>The topic of extreme wave analysis is also considered. A comparison of estimators for<br/>the generalised Pareto distribution (GPD) is presented. It is recommended that the<br/>Likelihood-Moment estimator should be used in preference to other estimators for the<br/>GPD. The use of seasonal models for extremes is also considered. In contrast to<br/>assertions made in previous studies, it is demonstrated that non-seasonal models have a<br/>lower bias and variance than models which analyse the data in separate seasons."]},{"key":"dc:format","label":"Dc Format","values":["text"]},{"key":"dc:title","label":"Title","values":["Wave energy resource assessment"]}]}],"canonical_facts":{"dc:contributor.advisor":["Bahaj, A.S."],"dc:creator":["Mackay, Edward B.L."],"dc:date":["2009-06"],"dc:date.issued":["2009-06"],"dc:description.abstract":["The use of satellite altimeter data for spatial mapping of the wave resource is examined.<br/>A new algorithm for estimating wave period from altimeter data is developed and<br/>validated, which enables estimates of wave energy converter (WEC) power to be<br/>derived. Maps of the long-term mean WEC power from altimeter data are of a higher<br/>spatial resolution than is available from global wave model data. They can be used for<br/>identifying promising wave energy locations along particular stretches of coastline,<br/>before a detailed study using nearshore models is undertaken.<br/><br/>The accuracy of estimates of WEC power from wave model data is considered. Without<br/>calibration estimates of the mean WEC power from model data can be biased of the<br/>order of 10-20%. The calibration of wave model data is complicated by non-linear<br/>dependence of model parameters on multiple factors, and seasonal and interannual<br/>changes in biases. After calibration the accuracy in the estimate of the historic power<br/>production at a site is of the order of 5%, but the changing biases make it difficult to<br/>specify the accuracy more precisely.<br/><br/>The accuracy of predictions of the future energy yield from a WEC is limited by the<br/>accuracy of the historic data and the variability in the resource. The variability in 5, 10<br/>and 20 year mean power levels is studied for an area in the north of Scotland, and<br/>shown to be greater than if annual power anomalies were uncorrelated noise. The<br/>sensitivity of WEC power production to climate change is also examined, and it is<br/>shown that the change in wave climate over the life time of a wave farm is likely to be<br/>small in comparison to the natural level of variability. It is shown that despite the<br/>uncertainty related to variability in the wave climate, improvements in the accuracy of<br/>historic data will improve the accuracy of predictions of future WEC yield.<br/><br/>The topic of extreme wave analysis is also considered. A comparison of estimators for<br/>the generalised Pareto distribution (GPD) is presented. It is recommended that the<br/>Likelihood-Moment estimator should be used in preference to other estimators for the<br/>GPD. The use of seasonal models for extremes is also considered. In contrast to<br/>assertions made in previous studies, it is demonstrated that non-seasonal models have a<br/>lower bias and variance than models which analyse the data in separate seasons."],"dc:format":["text"],"dc:identifier.uri":["https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/79448/1/EMACKAY_Thesis.pdf"],"dc:publisher.department":["Civil Engineering & the Environment (pre 2011 reorg)","School of Civil Engineering and the Environment"],"dc:publisher.institution":["University of Southampton"],"dc:relation.isreferencedby":["https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/79448/"],"dc:title":["Wave energy resource assessment"],"dc:type":["Thesis"],"dc:type.qualificationlevel":["doctoral"],"dc:type.qualificationname":["Ph.D."]},"updated_at":"2026-07-24T04:36:10Z"}