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Seton Hall University

Predicting New Jersey High School Proficiency Test Results in Mathematics and Language Arts Using Community Demographic Data

Abstract

dc:description.abstract

<p>This study examined the relationship between the 2013 New Jersey High School Proficiency Assessment (HSPA) Language Arts and Mathematics scores and school level data related to family human capital and community social capital found in the extant literature to influence student achievement on high-stakes standardized assessments. School level data included percentage of families in poverty for 12 months, percentage of lone-parent households (total), and percentage of population with some college. Final analysis utilized hierarchical linear regression and the application of a mathematical algorithm found in extant literature. The study incorporated New Jersey high schools that (a) tested more than 25 students in the 11<sup>th</sup> grade, (b) had valid 2013 NJ HSPA results in the Language Arts and Mathematics sections, and (c) complete census data existed for the communities they served. The final sample size included 168 towns in the state of New Jersey. The final Language Arts model was able to accurately predict 125 of the 168 (74%) passing rates within 4 percentage points, factoring for the model’s standard error of the estimate. The final Mathematics model was able to accurately predict 131 of the 168 (78%) passing rates within 8 percentage points, factoring for the model’s standard error of the estimate.</p>

Degree

thesis:*
Name thesis:degree_name
PhD Higher Education Leadership, Management, Policy
Level thesis:degree_level
Dissertation
Discipline thesis:degree_discipline
Education Leadership, Management and Policy
Year dc:date.available
2015

Author and committee

dc:creator, dc:contributor.*
Author dc:creator
  • Lynch, Christopher D.
Contributors dc:contributor
  • Christopher H. Tienken, Ed.D.
  • Gerard Babo, Ed.D.
  • Eunyoung Kim, Ph.D.

Subjects

dc:subject × 9

Identifiers

dc:identifier.*
Repository record dc:identifier
https://scholarship.shu.edu/dissertations/2121
OAI identifier oai:identifier
oai:scholarship.shu.edu:dissertations-3172

Chain of custody

source
Harvested from
Seton Hall University
Base URL
scholarship.shu.edu/do/oai/
Last updated
2026-07-24
Source record
OAI-PMH GetRecord
citation

Lynch, Christopher D.. Predicting New Jersey High School Proficiency Test Results in Mathematics and Language Arts Using Community Demographic Data. Dissertation thesis, 2015. https://scholarship.shu.edu/dissertations/2121