An Application of Differential Mathematical Modeling Techniques to Study the Ongoing Rabies Epizootic in China

<p>Rabies remains a global public health issue with a wide variety of neurological symptoms such as confusion, slight paralysis, hypersalivation, and hydrophobia. Rabies is usually fatal once symptoms appear. Many species are reservoirs for rabies, such as foxes, racoons, and wild dogs, which in turn can transmit the disease to humans, leading to complex transmission chains. There is a long latent period of rabies, between 1 to 3 months after infection, which further complicates control efforts. Mathematical modeling is a valuable tool in the study of infectious disease outbreaks and there have been many models applied to rabies outbreaks. However, these focus on localized outbreaks that usually involve a single lineage and there have been fewer studies that attempt to model a rabies outbreak at the national level. In this work, we will investigate the surveillance data collected by the Chinese Center for Disease Control for the current Rabies epizootic in China that involves a displacement of one rabies lineage with another. This paper will investigate the suitability of different models for capturing the observed case data at the provincial level.</p>

Name thesis:degree_name

Master of Science in Natural Science

Level thesis:degree_level

Thesis

Discipline thesis:degree_discipline

College of Science and Mathematics

Year dc:date.available

2022

Author dc:creator

• Turner, Christopher

Contributors dc:contributor

• James Adams
• Simon Rayner
• Matthew Beauregard

• SIR
• Rabies
• Mathematical Modeling
• China
• Applied Mathematics
• Disease Modeling
• Population Biology

Repository record dc:identifier

https://scholarworks.sfasu.edu/etds/454

OAI identifier oai:identifier

oai:scholarworks.sfasu.edu:etds-1482