{"id":{"repo_id":"reykjavik","oai_identifier":"oai:skemman.is:1946/33463"},"canonical_url":"https://search.dev.ndltd.org/etd/reykjavik/oai:skemman.is:1946/33463","repository":{"repo_id":"reykjavik","name":"Reykjavík University","base_url":"https://skemman.is/oai/request"},"display":{"title":"Tariffs and stock returns : the effect of U.S. tariffs and Canadian, Chinese and European retaliatory tariffs in 2018","abstract":"In this study, the effect of the ongoing trade war, which started in 2018 between the United States on the one hand and the European Union, China and Canada on the other, on stock returns of publicly traded companies, is analysed. The major events of the trade war in 2018 are included in the study. The study was formalised into two hypotheses. Firstly, that the announcement of tariffs in one market would lead to average abnormal returns, either positive or negative, for companies in that market. Secondly, that the announcement of tariffs in one market would lead to average abnormal returns, either positive or negative, for companies in a foreign market targeted by the tariffs. The results of the study show a statistically significant evidence supporting the hypotheses. The study also shows that stock market reactions cannot only be expected in the markets directly involved in the events but also in other markets. In the study, there are examples of market behaviour both consistent and inconsistent with the efficient market hypothesis, and examples of where a backwards drift in returns follows a market overreaction. Keywords: Corporate finance, Fama and French three-factor model, abnormal returns, tariffs, trade war.","abstract_html":"In this study, the effect of the ongoing trade war, which started in 2018 between the United States on the one hand and the European Union, China and Canada on the other, on stock returns of publicly traded companies, is analysed. The major events of the trade war in 2018 are included in the study. The study was formalised into two hypotheses. Firstly, that the announcement of tariffs in one market would lead to average abnormal returns, either positive or negative, for companies in that market. Secondly, that the announcement of tariffs in one market would lead to average abnormal returns, either positive or negative, for companies in a foreign market targeted by the tariffs. The results of the study show a statistically significant evidence supporting the hypotheses. The study also shows that stock market reactions cannot only be expected in the markets directly involved in the events but also in other markets. In the study, there are examples of market behaviour both consistent and inconsistent with the efficient market hypothesis, and examples of where a backwards drift in returns follows a market overreaction. Keywords: Corporate finance, Fama and French three-factor model, abnormal returns, tariffs, trade war.","abstract_has_math":false,"creators":["Ólafur Freyr Frímannsson 1983-"],"institution":null,"degree_name":null,"degree_level":null,"degree_discipline":null,"degree_department":null,"school":null,"contributors":["Háskólinn í Reykjavík"],"advisors":[],"committee_chairs":[],"committee_members":[],"year":2019,"date_issued":"2019-06-04T11:58:18Z","date_published":"2019-06-04T11:58:18Z","updated_at":"2026-07-27T20:43:09Z","subjects":["Fjármál fyrirtækja","Meistaraprófsritgerðir","Tollar","Alþjóðaviðskipti","Corporate finance","Tariff","International business"],"languages":["en"],"rights":[],"rights_urls":[],"identifier_entries":[]},"links":{"outbound_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/1946/33463","outbound_label":"Handle","outbound_source":"dc:identifier.uri"},"metadata_groups":[{"id":"people","label":"People","entries":[{"key":"dc:contributor","label":"Contributor","values":["Háskólinn í Reykjavík"]},{"key":"dc:creator","label":"Author","values":["Ólafur Freyr Frímannsson 1983-"]}]},{"id":"academic_context","label":"Academic Context","entries":[{"key":"dc:date.accessioned","label":"Dc Date Accessioned","values":["2019-06-04T11:58:17Z"]},{"key":"dc:date.available","label":"Dc Date Available","values":["2019-06-04T11:58:17Z"]},{"key":"dc:date.issued","label":"Date","values":["2019-06-04T11:58:18Z"]},{"key":"dc:type","label":"Dc Type","values":["Thesis"]}]},{"id":"subjects_keywords","label":"Subjects and Keywords","entries":[{"key":"dc:subject","label":"Dc Subject","values":["Fjármál fyrirtækja","Meistaraprófsritgerðir","Tollar","Alþjóðaviðskipti","Corporate finance","Tariff","International business"]}]},{"id":"language_rights","label":"Language and Rights","entries":[{"key":"dc:language.iso","label":"Language (ISO)","values":["en"]}]},{"id":"identifiers","label":"Identifiers","entries":[{"key":"dc:identifier.uri","label":"Identifier URI","values":["http://hdl.handle.net/1946/33463"]}]},{"id":"additional","label":"Additional Metadata","entries":[{"key":"dc:description.abstract","label":"Abstract","values":["In this study, the effect of the ongoing trade war, which started in 2018 between the United States on the one hand and the European Union, China and Canada on the other, on stock returns of publicly traded companies, is analysed. The major events of the trade war in 2018 are included in the study. The study was formalised into two hypotheses. Firstly, that the announcement of tariffs in one market would lead to average abnormal returns, either positive or negative, for companies in that market. Secondly, that the announcement of tariffs in one market would lead to average abnormal returns, either positive or negative, for companies in a foreign market targeted by the tariffs. The results of the study show a statistically significant evidence supporting the hypotheses. The study also shows that stock market reactions cannot only be expected in the markets directly involved in the events but also in other markets. In the study, there are examples of market behaviour both consistent and inconsistent with the efficient market hypothesis, and examples of where a backwards drift in returns follows a market overreaction. Keywords: Corporate finance, Fama and French three-factor model, abnormal returns, tariffs, trade war."]},{"key":"dc:title","label":"Title","values":["Tariffs and stock returns : the effect of U.S. tariffs and Canadian, Chinese and European retaliatory tariffs in 2018"]}]}],"canonical_facts":{"dc:contributor":["Háskólinn í Reykjavík"],"dc:creator":["Ólafur Freyr Frímannsson 1983-"],"dc:date.accessioned":["2019-06-04T11:58:17Z"],"dc:date.available":["2019-06-04T11:58:17Z"],"dc:date.issued":["2019-06-04T11:58:18Z"],"dc:description.abstract":["In this study, the effect of the ongoing trade war, which started in 2018 between the United States on the one hand and the European Union, China and Canada on the other, on stock returns of publicly traded companies, is analysed. The major events of the trade war in 2018 are included in the study. The study was formalised into two hypotheses. Firstly, that the announcement of tariffs in one market would lead to average abnormal returns, either positive or negative, for companies in that market. Secondly, that the announcement of tariffs in one market would lead to average abnormal returns, either positive or negative, for companies in a foreign market targeted by the tariffs. The results of the study show a statistically significant evidence supporting the hypotheses. The study also shows that stock market reactions cannot only be expected in the markets directly involved in the events but also in other markets. In the study, there are examples of market behaviour both consistent and inconsistent with the efficient market hypothesis, and examples of where a backwards drift in returns follows a market overreaction. Keywords: Corporate finance, Fama and French three-factor model, abnormal returns, tariffs, trade war."],"dc:identifier.uri":["http://hdl.handle.net/1946/33463"],"dc:language.iso":["en"],"dc:subject":["Fjármál fyrirtækja","Meistaraprófsritgerðir","Tollar","Alþjóðaviðskipti","Corporate finance","Tariff","International business"],"dc:title":["Tariffs and stock returns : the effect of U.S. tariffs and Canadian, Chinese and European retaliatory tariffs in 2018"],"dc:type":["Thesis"]},"updated_at":"2026-07-27T20:43:09Z"}