The economic impact of domestic military installations on regional economies

This research determined that a model could be developed to predict the impact of changes in spending by a military installation on a regional economy. Such impacts are required to be estimated to implement the National Environmental Protection Act. The research examined the theoretical basis for impact determination especially economic base theory. This theory applies multipliers to changes in basic activity to predict economic impact. Techniques for developing multipliers were explored with emphasis on shift share analysis and location quotients. These techniques were applied to a comprehensive survey of the Monterey County economy. An Army developed model using location quotients was analyzed, and alternate techniques based on shift share analysis were proposed. Finally the impacts on Monterey County predicted by the two methods were compared using hypothetical changes in the Fort Ord force level. Recommendations for calculating impacts and improving predictive techniques are presented.

Grantor dc:publisher

Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School

Year dc:date.issued

1979

Author dc:creator

• Young, Charles K.

Advisor dc:contributor.advisor

• Thomas, George W.

Statement dc:rights

• This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. Copyright protection is not available for this work in the United States.

Handle dc:identifier.uri

https://hdl.handle.net/10945/41064

OAI identifier oai:identifier

oai:calhoun.nps.edu:10945/41064