{"id":{"repo_id":"nps","oai_identifier":"oai:calhoun.nps.edu:10945/20761"},"canonical_url":"https://search.dev.ndltd.org/etd/nps/oai:calhoun.nps.edu:10945/20761","repository":{"repo_id":"nps","name":"Naval Postgraduate School","base_url":"https://calhoun.nps.edu/server/oai/request"},"display":{"title":"An approach to the estimation of life cycle costs of a fiber-optic application in military aircraft","abstract":"As significant technological advances in fiber optics and optical data transmission methods are being made, it is necessary to develop appropriate methods for estimating life cycle costs for alternative coaxial/twisted pair wire and optical fiber avionics. Measures of effectiveness are suggested for each alternative system. An approach, which structures the technological and demand uncertainties of fiber optics, is developed through scenarios as a means of relating cost and effectiveness. It is suggested that Delphi and experience curve techniques be used in conjunction with ordered scenarios as a technological forecasting technique for estimation of life cycle costs of fiber optics. In addition, a review of the historical and technological background of fiber optics and their application to the Naval Electronics Laboratory Center (NELC) A-7 Airborne Light Optical Fiber Technology (ALOFT) Program is included.","abstract_html":"As significant technological advances in fiber optics and optical data transmission methods are being made, it is necessary to develop appropriate methods for estimating life cycle costs for alternative coaxial/twisted pair wire and optical fiber avionics. Measures of effectiveness are suggested for each alternative system. An approach, which structures the technological and demand uncertainties of fiber optics, is developed through scenarios as a means of relating cost and effectiveness. It is suggested that Delphi and experience curve techniques be used in conjunction with ordered scenarios as a technological forecasting technique for estimation of life cycle costs of fiber optics. In addition, a review of the historical and technological background of fiber optics and their application to the Naval Electronics Laboratory Center (NELC) A-7 Airborne Light Optical Fiber Technology (ALOFT) Program is included.","abstract_has_math":false,"creators":["McGrath, John Michael","Michna, Kenneth Ralph"],"institution":"Monterey, California. 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Measures of effectiveness are suggested for each alternative system. An approach, which structures the technological and demand uncertainties of fiber optics, is developed through scenarios as a means of relating cost and effectiveness. It is suggested that Delphi and experience curve techniques be used in conjunction with ordered scenarios as a technological forecasting technique for estimation of life cycle costs of fiber optics. 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Measures of effectiveness are suggested for each alternative system. An approach, which structures the technological and demand uncertainties of fiber optics, is developed through scenarios as a means of relating cost and effectiveness. It is suggested that Delphi and experience curve techniques be used in conjunction with ordered scenarios as a technological forecasting technique for estimation of life cycle costs of fiber optics. In addition, a review of the historical and technological background of fiber optics and their application to the Naval Electronics Laboratory Center (NELC) A-7 Airborne Light Optical Fiber Technology (ALOFT) Program is included."],"dc:identifier.uri":["https://hdl.handle.net/10945/20761"],"dc:language.iso":["en_US"],"dc:publisher":["Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School"],"dc:rights":["This publication is a work of the U.S. Government as defined in Title 17, United States Code, Section 101. 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