A program risk assessment method for aviation technology transitions

This work presents a method for assessing the potential impacts of program risks on aviation technology transitions. It first establishes a framework that provides a methodology to complete the assessment of those risks. Next, the framework is applied to a technology transition to data link and reduced separation procedures in the North Atlantic airspace for commercial and business aircraft. This transition is facilitated by the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) and supported by the Air Navigation Service Providers (ANSPs) and other state authorities within the North Atlantic airspace. The assessment identified the most influential risks for each stakeholder impact category, mitigation difficulty, and highlighted the ways each risk influenced other risks. In total, 24 risks were identified. The assessment found that the risks were highly connected and influenced several stakeholder impact categories simultaneously. Out of the five risks with the highest aggregate stakeholder impact, only one also had a high likelihood of occurrence.

Department dc:contributor.department

Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Dept. of Aeronautics and Astronautics.

Grantor dc:publisher

Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Year dc:date.issued

2011

Author dc:creator

• Gibbs, Jonathan Marcus

Advisor dc:contributor.advisor

• Annalisa Weigel.

• Aeronautics and Astronautics.

Statement dc:rights

• M.I.T. theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission.

Licence dc:rights.uri

• http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582

Language dc:language.iso

eng

Handle dc:identifier.uri

http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/67184

OAI identifier oai:identifier

oai:dspace.mit.edu:1721.1/67184