{"id":{"repo_id":"mit","oai_identifier":"oai:dspace.mit.edu:1721.1/57972"},"canonical_url":"https://search.dev.ndltd.org/etd/mit/oai:dspace.mit.edu:1721.1/57972","repository":{"repo_id":"mit","name":"MIT","base_url":"https://dspace.mit.edu/oai/request"},"display":{"title":"The use of the logistic curve in forecasting mineral production","abstract":"Introduction: The most apparent characteristic of the modern world economy is change, various in type, frequent in occurrence, and often striking. It is to be expected that economists have tried to approach these changes analytically and determine their causes, and their nature, and in so doing have achieved a certain measure of success. As Kuznets (20) remarked in 1930, *Economists know a good deal about cyclical fluctuations and seasonal changes. They know little of the nature of random variations. On the subject of secular or long-time movements, what is said rests upon a small volume of vague knowledge combined with fervent beliefs.\"","abstract_html":"Introduction: The most apparent characteristic of the modern world economy is change, various in type, frequent in occurrence, and often striking. It is to be expected that economists have tried to approach these changes analytically and determine their causes, and their nature, and in so doing have achieved a certain measure of success. As Kuznets (20) remarked in 1930, *Economists know a good deal about cyclical fluctuations and seasonal changes. They know little of the nature of random variations. On the subject of secular or long-time movements, what is said rests upon a small volume of vague knowledge combined with fervent beliefs.&quot;","abstract_has_math":false,"creators":["White, James Anthony Lawrence"],"institution":"Massachusetts Institute of Technology","degree_name":null,"degree_level":null,"degree_discipline":null,"degree_department":"Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Geology and Geophysics","school":null,"contributors":[],"advisors":["Roland D. Parks."],"committee_chairs":[],"committee_members":[],"year":1958,"date_issued":"1958","date_published":"1958","updated_at":"2026-07-22T22:22:00Z","subjects":["Geology and Geophysics"],"languages":["eng"],"rights":["M.I.T. theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission."],"rights_urls":["http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582"],"identifier_entries":[]},"links":{"outbound_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/57972","outbound_label":"Handle","outbound_source":"dc:identifier.uri"},"metadata_groups":[{"id":"people","label":"People","entries":[{"key":"dc:contributor.advisor","label":"Advisor","values":["Roland D. Parks."]},{"key":"dc:contributor.department","label":"Department","values":["Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Geology and Geophysics","Massachusetts Institute of Technology. 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It is to be expected that economists have tried to approach these changes analytically and determine their causes, and their nature, and in so doing have achieved a certain measure of success. As Kuznets (20) remarked in 1930, *Economists know a good deal about cyclical fluctuations and seasonal changes. They know little of the nature of random variations. On the subject of secular or long-time movements, what is said rests upon a small volume of vague knowledge combined with fervent beliefs.\""]},{"key":"dc:description.degree","label":"Dc Description Degree","values":["M.S."]},{"key":"dc:title","label":"Title","values":["The use of the logistic curve in forecasting mineral production"]}]}],"canonical_facts":{"dc:contributor.advisor":["Roland D. Parks."],"dc:contributor.department":["Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Geology and Geophysics","Massachusetts Institute of Technology. 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