Essays in asset pricing and market imperfections

The first part of the thesis studies the impact of liquidity crashes on asset prices. In financial markets, liquidity could have large downward jumps. The thesis proposes a dynamic model where investors face the risk of potential liquidity crises. We find that investors choose optimal portfolios not only to hedge the risk of asset fundamentals, but also to hedge the risk of potential liquidity crashes. The potentially illiquid assets tend to have a lower price, a higher volatility, and a lower volume turn-over. Liquidity hedging could induce high return premium and asset returns could have excess volatility over the fundamentals. The risk of potential liquidity crises will also generate rich patterns in return dynamics and the expected asset returns could be driven by risks that are not systematic. The second part of the thesis analyzes the effect of illiquidity on the extreme risk of hedge funds. Hedge funds' returns often exhibit positive autocorrelations, which suggests illiquidity in their asset holdings. In this part, using a data set containing monthly returns of over 5,600 hedge funds, I study how illiquidity affects the extreme risk of hedge funds. I use MA(q) processes to model hedge funds' returns and use smoothing coefficients as proxies for liquidity. The tail risks are estimated using the extreme value theory and the generalized Pareto distribution. We find that illiquidity in general has a negative impact on the tail risk of hedge funds' returns. In particular, the true Value-at-Risk (VaR) of hedge funds could be much higher when illiquidity is taken into consideration.

Department dc:contributor.department

Sloan School of Management.

Grantor dc:publisher

Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Year dc:date.issued

2010

Author dc:creator

• Qiu, Weiyang, Ph. D. Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Advisor dc:contributor.advisor

• Jiang Wang.

• Sloan School of Management.

Statement dc:rights

• M.I.T. theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission.

Licence dc:rights.uri

• http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582

Language dc:language.iso

eng

Handle dc:identifier.uri

http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/57872

OAI identifier oai:identifier

oai:dspace.mit.edu:1721.1/57872