{"id":{"repo_id":"mit","oai_identifier":"oai:dspace.mit.edu:1721.1/43833"},"canonical_url":"https://search.dev.ndltd.org/etd/mit/oai:dspace.mit.edu:1721.1/43833","repository":{"repo_id":"mit","name":"MIT","base_url":"https://dspace.mit.edu/oai/request"},"display":{"title":"Demand forecasting for aircraft engine aftermarket","abstract":"In 2006, Pratt and Whitney launched the Global Material Solutions business model aiming to supply spare parts to non-OEM engines with minimum 95% on-time delivery and fill-rate. Lacking essential technical knowledge of the target engines, predictability and associated confidence of the parts demands are very limited. This thesis focuses on exploring alternative and innovative approaches to providing more accurate demand forecasts based on limited information. Approaches including application of fundamental sampling theorems, random walk simulations based on Markov Chain simplification, and sensitivity analysis on incremental scrap rates were introduced. 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The methodology could potentially be applicable to industries other than Aerospace.","abstract_has_math":false,"creators":["Ho, Kien K. (Kine Kit)"],"institution":"Massachusetts Institute of Technology","degree_name":null,"degree_level":null,"degree_discipline":null,"degree_department":"Leaders for Manufacturing Program at MIT","school":null,"contributors":[],"advisors":["David Simchi-Levi and Roy Welsch."],"committee_chairs":[],"committee_members":[],"year":2008,"date_issued":"2008","date_published":"2008","updated_at":"2026-07-22T22:21:54Z","subjects":["Sloan School of Management.","Civil and Environmental Engineering.","Leaders for Manufacturing Program."],"languages":["eng"],"rights":["M.I.T. theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. 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