Improving aircraft departure time predictability

In this thesis, a forecasting model is described that improves departure predictions over those of Collaborative Decision Making (CDM), reducing error by up to 30% for a given day. This model propagates delay from incoming flights to outgoing flights by using minimum turn times calculated from Airline Service Quality Performance (ASQP) data. The model was run on data covering every day of March, April, and May of 1999, and produced departure predictions 6 hours, 4 hours, 2 hours, and 1 hour in advance of departure time. The greatest improvement on CDM predictions was achieved in the 4-hour predictions.

Department dc:contributor.department

Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Dept. of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science.

Grantor dc:publisher

Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Year dc:date.issued

2000

Author dc:creator

• Vanderson, William W. (William Walter), 1977-

Advisor dc:contributor.advisor

• William D. Hall and John-Paul Clarke.

• Electrical Engineering and Computer Science.

Statement dc:rights

• M.I.T. theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission.

Licence dc:rights.uri

• http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582

Language dc:language.iso

eng

Handle dc:identifier.uri

http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/36102

OAI identifier oai:identifier

oai:dspace.mit.edu:1721.1/36102