Modeling aviation's global emissions, uncertainty analysis, and applications to policy

(cont.) fuel burn results below 3000 ft. For emissions, the emissions indices were the most influential uncertainties for the variance in model outputs. By employing the model, this thesis examined three policy options for mitigating aviation emissions. More stringent engine certification standards, continuous descent approach procedures, and derated take-off procedures were analyzed. Uncertainties of the model were carefully accounted for in the fuel burn and emissions scenarios of the policy options. The considered policy options achieved roughly 10-30% reductions in NOx emissions. However, HC and CO emissions rather increased due to higher emissions production rate for the CDA and derated take-off. In addition, the NOx emissions reductions in some cases were not statistically significant given the uncertainty in the modeling tool.

Department dc:contributor.department

Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Dept. of Aeronautics and Astronautics.

Grantor dc:publisher

Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Year dc:date.issued

2005

Author dc:creator

• Lee, Joosung Joseph, 1974-

Advisor dc:contributor.advisor

• Ian A. Waitz.

• Aeronautics and Astronautics.

Statement dc:rights

• M.I.T. theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. See provided URL for inquiries about permission.

Licence dc:rights.uri

• http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582

Language dc:language.iso

en_US

Handle dc:identifier.uri

http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/28917

OAI identifier oai:identifier

oai:dspace.mit.edu:1721.1/28917