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Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Time-to-contact statistics as a proxy for accident probabilities

Abstract

dc:description.abstract

Accidents are relatively rare, and this makes it difficult to study the impact of traffic system changes or vehicle control changes on accident rates. One potential solution to this problem is the use of time-to-contact (TTC) statistics as a proxy for accident probabilities. Low TTC can be used as a measure of potential danger. Simulations were performed to explore whether inverse TTC can serve as a good proxy of accident probability. The resulting data was then analyzed to investigate how inverse TTC varies with the mixture of vehicles with bilateral control as opposed to car-following control. Previously, it was found that a relatively high mixture ratio is needed to prevent phantom traffic jams. The results in this paper show that there is a benefit to mixing bilateral control cars into general traffic, even at relatively low mixture ratios. Simulations were also performed to see how acceleration and jerk vary with the mixture of vehicles with bilateral control so that passenger comfort could be quantified. The results show that bilateral control improves passenger comfort.

Degree

thesis:*
Name thesis:degree_name
Master
Department dc:contributor.department
Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science
Grantor dc:publisher
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Year dc:date.issued
2019

Author and committee

dc:creator, dc:contributor.*
Author dc:creator
  • Haulcy, R'mani(R'mani Symon)
Advisor dc:contributor.advisor
  • Berthold K.P. Horn.

Subjects

dc:subject × 1

Rights

dc:rights
Statement dc:rights
  • MIT theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed, downloaded, or printed from this source but further reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission.
Language dc:language.iso
eng

Identifiers

dc:identifier.*
Handle dc:identifier.uri
https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/122699
OAI identifier oai:identifier
oai:dspace.mit.edu:1721.1/122699

Chain of custody

source
Harvested from
MIT
Base URL
dspace.mit.edu/oai/request
Last updated
2026-07-22
Source record
OAI-PMH GetRecord
citation

Haulcy, R'mani(R'mani Symon). Time-to-contact statistics as a proxy for accident probabilities. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2019. https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/122699