Prediction under uncertainty : from models for marine-terminating glaciers to Bayesian computation

The polar ice sheets have enormous potential impact on future global mean sea level rise. Recent observations suggest they are losing mass to the ocean at an accelerated rate. Skillful prediction of the ice sheets' future mass loss remains difficult, however; observations of key variables are insufficient and physical processes are poorly understood. Even when a relatively accurate dynamical model is available, computational limitations make it difficult to characterize uncertainties associated with the model's predictions. To address this prediction challenge, this thesis presents complementary developments in glaciology and in Bayesian computation.

Name thesis:degree_name

Doctoral

Department dc:contributor.department

Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics

Grantor dc:publisher

Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Year dc:date.issued

2018

Author dc:creator

• Davis, Andrew D.(Andrew Donaldson)

Advisor dc:contributor.advisor

• Youssef Marzouk and Patrick Heimbach.

• Aeronautics and Astronautics.

Statement dc:rights

• MIT theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed, downloaded, or printed from this source but further reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission.

Licence dc:rights.uri

• http://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/7582

Language dc:language.iso

eng

Handle dc:identifier.uri

https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/121812

OAI identifier oai:identifier

oai:dspace.mit.edu:1721.1/121812