ΥΠΟΔΕΙΓΜΑ ΕΥΑΙΣΘΗΣΙΑΣ ΚΑΙ ΠΡΟΓΝΩΣΕΩΣ ΤΟΥ ΣΥΣΤΗΜΑΤΟΣ ΤΗΣ ΕΛΛΗΝΙΚΗΣ ΚΤΗΝΟΤΡΟΦΙΑΣ

IN THIS RESEARCH, A COMPLETE ANALYSIS OF THE STRUCTURAL RELATIONSHIPS OF THE GREEK LIVESTOCK SYSTEM HAS BEEN PRESENTED AND THE FORECASTING ABILITY OF THE FUTURE PATH OF THE VARIOUS VARIABLES OF THE SYSTEM AND ITS SENSITIVITY TO THE VARIOUS ECONOMIC POLICIES HAS BEEN INVESTIGATED. THE ANALYSIS OF THE STRUCTURALRELATIONSHIPS HAS BEEN PERFORMED WITH THE CONSTRUCTION OF AN ECONOMETRIC MODEL, WHICH HAS 46 STOCHASTIC EQUATIONS AND 31 IDENTITIES AND INCLUDES ALL THE BASIC LIVESTOCK PRODUCTS (MILK-FROM COWS, SHEEP, GOATS, BUFFALOES, MEAT-FROM BEEF, MUTTON, GOATS, PORK, POULTRY AND EGGS) IN ALL STEPS OF THE ECONOMIC CYCLE (PROGRAMMING, PRODUCTION, FORMING OF PRICES, IMPORTS, CONSUMPTION). THE ESTIMATION OF THE MODEL WAS BASED ON THE METHODS OF OLS/AR1 AND 2SLS/AR1 2SLS AND THE DATA USED WERE THOSE REPORTED BY N.S.S.G. FOR THE PERIOD 1961-1979. THE FORECASTING ABILITY OF THE SYSTEM WAS EXAMINED USING THE METHOD OF THE DYNAMIC SIMULATION AND ITS SENSITIVITY WAS EXAMINED WITH THE INVESTIGATION OF THE DYNAMIC MULTIPLIERS WHICH WERE DUE TO DISTURBANCES TO VARIOUS EXOGENOUS ECONOMIC VARIABLES (INDEX OF PRICES PAID BY THE PRODUCERS, DIRECT AND INDIRECT TAXES) AND PARAMETERS OF MODEL (CHANGE OF THE COEFFICIENTS OF THE TECHNOLOGICAL PROGRESS IN THE PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS). (SHORTENED)

Grantor dc:publisher

Aristotle University Of Thessaloniki (AUTH)

Year dc:date

1986

Authors dc:creator

• Batzios, Christos
• Μπάτζιος, Χρήστος

• ΔΙΑΡΘΡΩΤΙΚΕΣ ΣΧΕΣΕΙΣ
• ΕΛΛΗΝΙΚΗ ΚΤΗΝΟΤΡΟΦΙΑ
• Εξωτερικό εμπόριο
• Κατανάλωση
• ΟΙΚΟΝΟΜΕΤΡΙΚΟ ΥΠΟΔΕΙΓΜΑ
• Παραγωγή
• Προγραμματισμός
• ΠΡΟΣΟΜΟΙΩΣΗ ΥΠΟΔΕΙΓΜΑΤΟΣ
• ΤΙΜΕΣ ΠΑΡΑΓΩΓΩΝ {ΠΟΥ ΑΠΟΛΑΜΒΑΝΟΥΝ}
• Consumption
• Econometric models
• External trade
• GREEK LIVESTOCK
• PRICES RECEIVED BY FARMERS
• Production
• Programming
• SIMULATION OF MODEL
• STRUCTURAL RELATIONSHIPS
• Γεωπονικές Επιστήμες και Κτηνιατρική
• Κτηνιατρική
• Agricultural and Veterinary Sciences
• Veterinary Science

Language dc:language

gre

Identifier

10.12681/eadd/0070

OAI identifier oai:identifier

oai:10442/0070