Test of change point versus long-range dependence in functional time series

In scalar time series analysis, a long-range dependent (LRD) series cannot be easily distinguished from certain non-stationary models, such as the change in mean model with short-range dependent (SRD) errors. To be specific, realizations of LRD series usually have a characteristic of changing local mean if the time span taken into account is long enough, which resembles the behavior of change in mean models. Test procedure for distinguishing between these two types of model has been investigated a lot in scalar case, see e.g. Berkes et al. (2006) and Baek and Pipiras (2012) and references therein. However, no analogous test for functional observations has been developed yet, partly because of omitted methods and theory for analyzing functional time series with long-range dependence. My dissertation establishes a procedure for testing change in mean models with SRD errors against LRD processes in functional case, which is an extension of the method of Baek and Pipiras (2012). The test builds on the local Whittle (LW) (or Gaussian semiparametric) estimation of the self-similarity parameter, which is based on the estimated level 1 scores of a suitable functional residual process. Remarkably, unlike other parametric methods such as Whittle estimation, whose asymptotic properties heavily depend on validity of the underlying spectral density on the full frequency range (−π, π], LW estimation imposes mild restrictions on the spectral density only near the origin and is thus more robust to model misspecification. We shall prove that the test statistic based on LW estimation is asymptotically normally distributed under the null hypothesis and it diverges to infinity under the LRD alternative.

Name thesis:degree_name

Doctor of Philosophy (Ph.D.)

Level thesis:degree_level

Doctoral

Discipline thesis:degree_discipline

Statistics

Grantor dc:publisher

Colorado State University. Libraries

Year dc:date.issued

2024

Authors dc:creator

• Meng, Xiangdong, author
• Kokoszka, Piotr S., advisor
• Cooley, Dan, committee member
• Wang, Haonan, committee member
• Miao, Hong, committee member

• functional time series
• change point
• long-range dependence

Statement dc:rights

• Copyright and other restrictions may apply. User is responsible for compliance with all applicable laws. For information about copyright law, please see https://libguides.colostate.edu/copyright.

Language dc:language.iso

eng, English

Identifier URI

https://doi.org/10.25675/3.02341

OAI identifier oai:identifier

oai:mountainscholar.org:10217/238456