Two investigations into the causal link between child mortality and subsequent fertility using DHS data from Kenya, Lesotho, Malawi, Tanzania and Zimbabwe

This research performs two investigations into the causal link between childhood mortality and fertility using Demographic and Health Survey data from Kenya, Lesotho, Malawi, Tanzania and Zimbabwe, countries which are at different stages of the demographic transition. The first investigation assesses the effect of the death of a child on the timing of the birth of the next child. Piecewise log-rate models were used to investigate women who had experienced the loss of a child and in all the countries under study these women were found to have shorter birth intervals. The magnitude of the effect was strongest in Lesotho and Zimbabwe. The second investigation assesses the effect of the death of at least one child on insuring against future mortality. Logistic regression models showed that women aged 35-49 years old who had experienced at least one child death were likely to insure against future child mortality. This effect was most pronounced in Malawi.

Grantor dc:publisher.institution

Centre for Actuarial Research (CARE)

Year dc:date.issued

2013

Author dc:creator

• Bungu, Manyara Lillian

Advisor dc:contributor.advisor

• Moultrie, Tom

Language dc:language.iso

eng

Handle dc:identifier.uri

http://hdl.handle.net/11427/5897

OAI identifier oai:identifier

oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/5897