{"id":{"repo_id":"cape-town","oai_identifier":"oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/40853"},"canonical_url":"https://search.dev.ndltd.org/etd/cape-town/oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/40853","repository":{"repo_id":"cape-town","name":"University of Cape Town","base_url":"https://open.uct.ac.za/oai/request"},"display":{"title":"The 8-year incidence of obesity and type 2 diabetes in five African-origin populations","abstract":"Obesity and type 2 diabetes (T2D) have become worldwide pandemics, particularly in low middle-income countries and among African-origin populations. The Modeling of Epidemiological Transition Study (METS, 2009) enrolled 2,506 African-origin participants, aged 25-45, from five countries and its ancillary study; METS-Microbiome, continued yearly research visits in 2,085 participants (2018-2019). The countries represent the full epidemiological transition spectrum, represented by the Human Development Index: Ghana (low), South Africa and Jamaica, (middle), Seychelles (high) and the United States (US) (very high). Research visits included anthropometrics, body composition measurements, social history, socio-demographics and health questionnaires, physical activity by accelerometer and clinical measurements. Overall, 732 participants had complete measurements from both METS (baseline) and METS-Microbiome (follow-up). At baseline, the US participants had the highest obesity prevalence (61.0%) and Ghanaians the lowest (11.5%). However, the obesity prevalence increased significantly, most notably among the Ghanaians (125%; p<0.001), and Seychellois (60.7%; p<0.01). Significant obesity predictors included being females, waist circumference and fat mass (p<0.001). The interaction term for follow-up length and site was significant with higher odds of obesity compared to baseline; Ghana (OR 6.62, 95%CI 1.56-28.35), Jamaica (OR 4.57, 95%CI 1.06-8.88) and Seychelles (OR 4.31, 95%CI 1.12-16.57). The US participants had the highest T2D prevalence (10,0%) and Jamaicans (0%) at baseline. However, the Seychellois experienced a 600% increase in T2D prevalence (p<0.01) accompanied by the highest T2D and obesity incidence rate. The interaction term for follow up length and site was similarly significant with higher odds of T2D at follow-up; Seychellois (OR 10.00, 95%CI 1.83-54.52) and US (OR 2.33, 95%CI 1.17-4.66). Age (p=0.002) and waist circumference (p=0.016) were significant T2D predictors. In conclusion, the study underscores significant increases in obesity and T2D rates, not only in high-income countries but also in rapid transitioning settings, highlighting concerns about healthcare resources readiness for the growing global burden of non-communicable diseases.","abstract_html":"Obesity and type 2 diabetes (T2D) have become worldwide pandemics, particularly in low middle-income countries and among African-origin populations. The Modeling of Epidemiological Transition Study (METS, 2009) enrolled 2,506 African-origin participants, aged 25-45, from five countries and its ancillary study; METS-Microbiome, continued yearly research visits in 2,085 participants (2018-2019). The countries represent the full epidemiological transition spectrum, represented by the Human Development Index: Ghana (low), South Africa and Jamaica, (middle), Seychelles (high) and the United States (US) (very high). Research visits included anthropometrics, body composition measurements, social history, socio-demographics and health questionnaires, physical activity by accelerometer and clinical measurements. Overall, 732 participants had complete measurements from both METS (baseline) and METS-Microbiome (follow-up). At baseline, the US participants had the highest obesity prevalence (61.0%) and Ghanaians the lowest (11.5%). However, the obesity prevalence increased significantly, most notably among the Ghanaians (125%; p&lt;0.001), and Seychellois (60.7%; p&lt;0.01). Significant obesity predictors included being females, waist circumference and fat mass (p&lt;0.001). The interaction term for follow-up length and site was significant with higher odds of obesity compared to baseline; Ghana (OR 6.62, 95%CI 1.56-28.35), Jamaica (OR 4.57, 95%CI 1.06-8.88) and Seychelles (OR 4.31, 95%CI 1.12-16.57). The US participants had the highest T2D prevalence (10,0%) and Jamaicans (0%) at baseline. However, the Seychellois experienced a 600% increase in T2D prevalence (p&lt;0.01) accompanied by the highest T2D and obesity incidence rate. The interaction term for follow up length and site was similarly significant with higher odds of T2D at follow-up; Seychellois (OR 10.00, 95%CI 1.83-54.52) and US (OR 2.33, 95%CI 1.17-4.66). Age (p=0.002) and waist circumference (p=0.016) were significant T2D predictors. In conclusion, the study underscores significant increases in obesity and T2D rates, not only in high-income countries but also in rapid transitioning settings, highlighting concerns about healthcare resources readiness for the growing global burden of non-communicable diseases.","abstract_has_math":false,"creators":["Conradie, Catharina Beatrix"],"institution":"Department of Public Health and Family Medicine","degree_name":null,"degree_level":null,"degree_discipline":null,"degree_department":null,"school":null,"contributors":[],"advisors":["Dugas, Lara"],"committee_chairs":[],"committee_members":[],"year":2024,"date_issued":"2024","date_published":"2024","updated_at":"2026-07-22T22:23:00Z","subjects":["Obesity","type 2 diabetes","prevalence","incidence","African-origin populations"],"languages":[],"rights":[],"rights_urls":[],"identifier_entries":[]},"links":{"outbound_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/11427/40853","outbound_label":"Handle","outbound_source":"dc:identifier.uri"},"metadata_groups":[{"id":"people","label":"People","entries":[{"key":"dc:contributor.advisor","label":"Advisor","values":["Dugas, Lara"]},{"key":"dc:creator","label":"Author","values":["Conradie, Catharina Beatrix"]}]},{"id":"academic_context","label":"Academic Context","entries":[{"key":"dc:date.accessioned","label":"Dc Date Accessioned","values":["2025-01-30T14:25:04Z"]},{"key":"dc:date.available","label":"Dc Date Available","values":["2025-01-30T14:25:04Z"]},{"key":"dc:date.issued","label":"Date","values":["2024"]},{"key":"dc:publisher.department","label":"Dc Publisher Department","values":["Department of Public Health and Family Medicine"]},{"key":"dc:type","label":"Dc Type","values":["Thesis / Dissertation"]},{"key":"dc:type.qualificationlevel","label":"Dc Type Qualificationlevel","values":["Masters","MPH"]}]},{"id":"subjects_keywords","label":"Subjects and Keywords","entries":[{"key":"dc:subject","label":"Dc Subject","values":["Obesity","type 2 diabetes","prevalence","incidence","African-origin populations"]}]},{"id":"identifiers","label":"Identifiers","entries":[{"key":"dc:identifier.uri","label":"Identifier URI","values":["http://hdl.handle.net/11427/40853"]}]},{"id":"additional","label":"Additional Metadata","entries":[{"key":"dc:description.abstract","label":"Abstract","values":["Obesity and type 2 diabetes (T2D) have become worldwide pandemics, particularly in low middle-income countries and among African-origin populations. The Modeling of Epidemiological Transition Study (METS, 2009) enrolled 2,506 African-origin participants, aged 25-45, from five countries and its ancillary study; METS-Microbiome, continued yearly research visits in 2,085 participants (2018-2019). The countries represent the full epidemiological transition spectrum, represented by the Human Development Index: Ghana (low), South Africa and Jamaica, (middle), Seychelles (high) and the United States (US) (very high). Research visits included anthropometrics, body composition measurements, social history, socio-demographics and health questionnaires, physical activity by accelerometer and clinical measurements. Overall, 732 participants had complete measurements from both METS (baseline) and METS-Microbiome (follow-up). At baseline, the US participants had the highest obesity prevalence (61.0%) and Ghanaians the lowest (11.5%). However, the obesity prevalence increased significantly, most notably among the Ghanaians (125%; p<0.001), and Seychellois (60.7%; p<0.01). Significant obesity predictors included being females, waist circumference and fat mass (p<0.001). The interaction term for follow-up length and site was significant with higher odds of obesity compared to baseline; Ghana (OR 6.62, 95%CI 1.56-28.35), Jamaica (OR 4.57, 95%CI 1.06-8.88) and Seychelles (OR 4.31, 95%CI 1.12-16.57). The US participants had the highest T2D prevalence (10,0%) and Jamaicans (0%) at baseline. However, the Seychellois experienced a 600% increase in T2D prevalence (p<0.01) accompanied by the highest T2D and obesity incidence rate. The interaction term for follow up length and site was similarly significant with higher odds of T2D at follow-up; Seychellois (OR 10.00, 95%CI 1.83-54.52) and US (OR 2.33, 95%CI 1.17-4.66). Age (p=0.002) and waist circumference (p=0.016) were significant T2D predictors. In conclusion, the study underscores significant increases in obesity and T2D rates, not only in high-income countries but also in rapid transitioning settings, highlighting concerns about healthcare resources readiness for the growing global burden of non-communicable diseases."]},{"key":"dc:title","label":"Title","values":["The 8-year incidence of obesity and type 2 diabetes in five African-origin populations"]}]}],"canonical_facts":{"dc:contributor.advisor":["Dugas, Lara"],"dc:creator":["Conradie, Catharina Beatrix"],"dc:date.accessioned":["2025-01-30T14:25:04Z"],"dc:date.available":["2025-01-30T14:25:04Z"],"dc:date.issued":["2024"],"dc:description.abstract":["Obesity and type 2 diabetes (T2D) have become worldwide pandemics, particularly in low middle-income countries and among African-origin populations. The Modeling of Epidemiological Transition Study (METS, 2009) enrolled 2,506 African-origin participants, aged 25-45, from five countries and its ancillary study; METS-Microbiome, continued yearly research visits in 2,085 participants (2018-2019). The countries represent the full epidemiological transition spectrum, represented by the Human Development Index: Ghana (low), South Africa and Jamaica, (middle), Seychelles (high) and the United States (US) (very high). Research visits included anthropometrics, body composition measurements, social history, socio-demographics and health questionnaires, physical activity by accelerometer and clinical measurements. Overall, 732 participants had complete measurements from both METS (baseline) and METS-Microbiome (follow-up). At baseline, the US participants had the highest obesity prevalence (61.0%) and Ghanaians the lowest (11.5%). However, the obesity prevalence increased significantly, most notably among the Ghanaians (125%; p<0.001), and Seychellois (60.7%; p<0.01). Significant obesity predictors included being females, waist circumference and fat mass (p<0.001). The interaction term for follow-up length and site was significant with higher odds of obesity compared to baseline; Ghana (OR 6.62, 95%CI 1.56-28.35), Jamaica (OR 4.57, 95%CI 1.06-8.88) and Seychelles (OR 4.31, 95%CI 1.12-16.57). The US participants had the highest T2D prevalence (10,0%) and Jamaicans (0%) at baseline. However, the Seychellois experienced a 600% increase in T2D prevalence (p<0.01) accompanied by the highest T2D and obesity incidence rate. The interaction term for follow up length and site was similarly significant with higher odds of T2D at follow-up; Seychellois (OR 10.00, 95%CI 1.83-54.52) and US (OR 2.33, 95%CI 1.17-4.66). Age (p=0.002) and waist circumference (p=0.016) were significant T2D predictors. In conclusion, the study underscores significant increases in obesity and T2D rates, not only in high-income countries but also in rapid transitioning settings, highlighting concerns about healthcare resources readiness for the growing global burden of non-communicable diseases."],"dc:identifier.uri":["http://hdl.handle.net/11427/40853"],"dc:publisher.department":["Department of Public Health and Family Medicine"],"dc:subject":["Obesity","type 2 diabetes","prevalence","incidence","African-origin populations"],"dc:title":["The 8-year incidence of obesity and type 2 diabetes in five African-origin populations"],"dc:type":["Thesis / Dissertation"],"dc:type.qualificationlevel":["Masters","MPH"]},"updated_at":"2026-07-22T22:23:00Z"}