{"id":{"repo_id":"cape-town","oai_identifier":"oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/36504"},"canonical_url":"https://search.dev.ndltd.org/etd/cape-town/oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/36504","repository":{"repo_id":"cape-town","name":"University of Cape Town","base_url":"https://open.uct.ac.za/oai/request"},"display":{"title":"Prevalence, Risk Factors and Predictors of Adverse Outcomes of Febrile Neutropenia in Oncology Patients on Chemotherapy at the Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital: A Three Year Retrospective Study","abstract":"Background: Febrile neutropenia (FN) is the commonest fatal acute complication of cancer treatment in children. The need for regional clinical decision rules allowing for home-based care in those at low risk for adverse outcomes has been identified. Aims: To evaluate the prevalence and potential risk factors for FN, identify adverse outcomes and validate a tool to identify risk for adverse outcomes in a cohort of children treated for cancer at the Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital, Cape-Town, South Africa. Methodology: A retrospective cohort study from 1st January 2017 to 31st December 2019. Results: In all, 179 patients had chemotherapy and 267 FN episodes occurred. Independent predictors of FN were AML (p = 0.039), ALL (p = 0.020) and intensive chemotherapy (p = < 0.001). Mucositis (p = 0.001), CVAD (p = 0.004, haematologic malignancies (p = 0.040), blood transfusion during FN episode (p = 0.001) and severe neutropenia (white cell counts< 0.3 x 109 cells/L) (p = < 0.001) were risk factors for adverse outcomes. The mortality rate from FN was 3.57%. Independent predictors of adverse outcomes were AML (p = 0.001), CVAD in-situ (p = 0.019) and severe neutropenia (p = 0.005). Validation of risk stratification for adverse outcomes using the Swiss Paediatric Oncology Group (SPOG) index with a cut-off value of nine demonstrated a sensitivity and specificity of 52.3% and 62.0%, respectively. Positive and negative predictive values were 56.3% and 58.2%, respectively, with an overall accuracy of 57.4%. In our cohort, coordinates of the curve are best able to predict adverse outcomes with a cut-off value of 7.5. Conclusion: Adverse outcomes from treatment are likely in children with AML, severe neutropenia and those with CVADs in-situ. A lower cut-off of 7.5 using the SPOG FN risk index best predicted adverse outcomes in our cohort.","abstract_html":"Background: Febrile neutropenia (FN) is the commonest fatal acute complication of cancer treatment in children. The need for regional clinical decision rules allowing for home-based care in those at low risk for adverse outcomes has been identified. Aims: To evaluate the prevalence and potential risk factors for FN, identify adverse outcomes and validate a tool to identify risk for adverse outcomes in a cohort of children treated for cancer at the Red Cross War Memorial Children&#x27;s Hospital, Cape-Town, South Africa. Methodology: A retrospective cohort study from 1st January 2017 to 31st December 2019. Results: In all, 179 patients had chemotherapy and 267 FN episodes occurred. Independent predictors of FN were AML (p = 0.039), ALL (p = 0.020) and intensive chemotherapy (p = &lt; 0.001). Mucositis (p = 0.001), CVAD (p = 0.004, haematologic malignancies (p = 0.040), blood transfusion during FN episode (p = 0.001) and severe neutropenia (white cell counts&lt; 0.3 x 109 cells/L) (p = &lt; 0.001) were risk factors for adverse outcomes. The mortality rate from FN was 3.57%. Independent predictors of adverse outcomes were AML (p = 0.001), CVAD in-situ (p = 0.019) and severe neutropenia (p = 0.005). Validation of risk stratification for adverse outcomes using the Swiss Paediatric Oncology Group (SPOG) index with a cut-off value of nine demonstrated a sensitivity and specificity of 52.3% and 62.0%, respectively. Positive and negative predictive values were 56.3% and 58.2%, respectively, with an overall accuracy of 57.4%. In our cohort, coordinates of the curve are best able to predict adverse outcomes with a cut-off value of 7.5. Conclusion: Adverse outcomes from treatment are likely in children with AML, severe neutropenia and those with CVADs in-situ. A lower cut-off of 7.5 using the SPOG FN risk index best predicted adverse outcomes in our cohort.","abstract_has_math":false,"creators":["Adekunle, Motunrayo"],"institution":"Department of Paediatrics and Child Health","degree_name":null,"degree_level":null,"degree_discipline":null,"degree_department":null,"school":null,"contributors":[],"advisors":["Hendricks, Marc","Davidson, Alan"],"committee_chairs":[],"committee_members":[],"year":2022,"date_issued":"2022","date_published":"2022","updated_at":"2026-07-22T22:23:35Z","subjects":["Haematology-Oncology"],"languages":[],"rights":[],"rights_urls":[],"identifier_entries":[]},"links":{"outbound_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/11427/36504","outbound_label":"Handle","outbound_source":"dc:identifier.uri"},"metadata_groups":[{"id":"people","label":"People","entries":[{"key":"dc:contributor.advisor","label":"Advisor","values":["Hendricks, Marc","Davidson, Alan"]},{"key":"dc:creator","label":"Author","values":["Adekunle, Motunrayo"]}]},{"id":"academic_context","label":"Academic Context","entries":[{"key":"dc:date.accessioned","label":"Dc Date Accessioned","values":["2022-06-22T13:48:36Z"]},{"key":"dc:date.available","label":"Dc Date Available","values":["2022-06-22T13:48:36Z"]},{"key":"dc:date.issued","label":"Date","values":["2022"]},{"key":"dc:publisher.department","label":"Dc Publisher Department","values":["Department of Paediatrics and Child Health"]},{"key":"dc:type","label":"Dc Type","values":["Master Thesis"]},{"key":"dc:type.qualificationlevel","label":"Dc Type Qualificationlevel","values":["Masters","MPhil"]}]},{"id":"subjects_keywords","label":"Subjects and Keywords","entries":[{"key":"dc:subject","label":"Dc Subject","values":["Haematology-Oncology"]}]},{"id":"identifiers","label":"Identifiers","entries":[{"key":"dc:identifier.uri","label":"Identifier URI","values":["http://hdl.handle.net/11427/36504"]}]},{"id":"additional","label":"Additional Metadata","entries":[{"key":"dc:description.abstract","label":"Abstract","values":["Background: Febrile neutropenia (FN) is the commonest fatal acute complication of cancer treatment in children. The need for regional clinical decision rules allowing for home-based care in those at low risk for adverse outcomes has been identified. Aims: To evaluate the prevalence and potential risk factors for FN, identify adverse outcomes and validate a tool to identify risk for adverse outcomes in a cohort of children treated for cancer at the Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital, Cape-Town, South Africa. Methodology: A retrospective cohort study from 1st January 2017 to 31st December 2019. Results: In all, 179 patients had chemotherapy and 267 FN episodes occurred. Independent predictors of FN were AML (p = 0.039), ALL (p = 0.020) and intensive chemotherapy (p = < 0.001). Mucositis (p = 0.001), CVAD (p = 0.004, haematologic malignancies (p = 0.040), blood transfusion during FN episode (p = 0.001) and severe neutropenia (white cell counts< 0.3 x 109 cells/L) (p = < 0.001) were risk factors for adverse outcomes. The mortality rate from FN was 3.57%. Independent predictors of adverse outcomes were AML (p = 0.001), CVAD in-situ (p = 0.019) and severe neutropenia (p = 0.005). Validation of risk stratification for adverse outcomes using the Swiss Paediatric Oncology Group (SPOG) index with a cut-off value of nine demonstrated a sensitivity and specificity of 52.3% and 62.0%, respectively. Positive and negative predictive values were 56.3% and 58.2%, respectively, with an overall accuracy of 57.4%. In our cohort, coordinates of the curve are best able to predict adverse outcomes with a cut-off value of 7.5. Conclusion: Adverse outcomes from treatment are likely in children with AML, severe neutropenia and those with CVADs in-situ. A lower cut-off of 7.5 using the SPOG FN risk index best predicted adverse outcomes in our cohort."]},{"key":"dc:title","label":"Title","values":["Prevalence, Risk Factors and Predictors of Adverse Outcomes of Febrile Neutropenia in Oncology Patients on Chemotherapy at the Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital: A Three Year Retrospective Study"]}]}],"canonical_facts":{"dc:contributor.advisor":["Hendricks, Marc","Davidson, Alan"],"dc:creator":["Adekunle, Motunrayo"],"dc:date.accessioned":["2022-06-22T13:48:36Z"],"dc:date.available":["2022-06-22T13:48:36Z"],"dc:date.issued":["2022"],"dc:description.abstract":["Background: Febrile neutropenia (FN) is the commonest fatal acute complication of cancer treatment in children. The need for regional clinical decision rules allowing for home-based care in those at low risk for adverse outcomes has been identified. Aims: To evaluate the prevalence and potential risk factors for FN, identify adverse outcomes and validate a tool to identify risk for adverse outcomes in a cohort of children treated for cancer at the Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital, Cape-Town, South Africa. Methodology: A retrospective cohort study from 1st January 2017 to 31st December 2019. Results: In all, 179 patients had chemotherapy and 267 FN episodes occurred. Independent predictors of FN were AML (p = 0.039), ALL (p = 0.020) and intensive chemotherapy (p = < 0.001). Mucositis (p = 0.001), CVAD (p = 0.004, haematologic malignancies (p = 0.040), blood transfusion during FN episode (p = 0.001) and severe neutropenia (white cell counts< 0.3 x 109 cells/L) (p = < 0.001) were risk factors for adverse outcomes. The mortality rate from FN was 3.57%. Independent predictors of adverse outcomes were AML (p = 0.001), CVAD in-situ (p = 0.019) and severe neutropenia (p = 0.005). Validation of risk stratification for adverse outcomes using the Swiss Paediatric Oncology Group (SPOG) index with a cut-off value of nine demonstrated a sensitivity and specificity of 52.3% and 62.0%, respectively. Positive and negative predictive values were 56.3% and 58.2%, respectively, with an overall accuracy of 57.4%. In our cohort, coordinates of the curve are best able to predict adverse outcomes with a cut-off value of 7.5. Conclusion: Adverse outcomes from treatment are likely in children with AML, severe neutropenia and those with CVADs in-situ. A lower cut-off of 7.5 using the SPOG FN risk index best predicted adverse outcomes in our cohort."],"dc:identifier.uri":["http://hdl.handle.net/11427/36504"],"dc:publisher.department":["Department of Paediatrics and Child Health"],"dc:subject":["Haematology-Oncology"],"dc:title":["Prevalence, Risk Factors and Predictors of Adverse Outcomes of Febrile Neutropenia in Oncology Patients on Chemotherapy at the Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital: A Three Year Retrospective Study"],"dc:type":["Master Thesis"],"dc:type.qualificationlevel":["Masters","MPhil"]},"updated_at":"2026-07-22T22:23:35Z"}