Exploring winter rainfall in western South Africa : connections, influences and the potential for statistical seasonal forecasting

The development and underlying physical connections of relationships between SWC rainfall and the Southern Annular Mode (SAM), South Atlantic sea surface temperature (SST), Antarctic sea ice concentration (SIC), and the EI Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) were explored using spatial and temporal correlations. Insight gained from the correlation analysis was used to develop statistical forecast models for SWC seasonal rainfall, which served as an initial assessment of the potential for statistical seasonal forecasting of SWC rainfall.

Grantor dc:publisher.institution

Department of Oceanography

Year dc:date.issued

2010

Author dc:creator

• Wolding, Brandon

Language dc:language.iso

eng

Handle dc:identifier.uri

http://hdl.handle.net/11427/11414

OAI identifier oai:identifier

oai:open.uct.ac.za:11427/11414