Global ETD Search
Search theses and dissertations gathered from participating repositories worldwide. Every result links back to the library that holds it. No account is needed.
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Showing 1 to 20 of 23 for “"synthetic control method"”.
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Causal inference with time-series cross-sectional data : with applications to positive political economy
… the average treated counterfactual and average control outcome do not follow parallel paths. The first chapter of this dissertation introduces the generalized synthetic control method that addresses this challenge. It imputes counterfactuals for each treated unit using control group information …
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Evaluating the Impact of Economic Sanctions on South Africa: A Synthetic Control Approach
This research paper applies the synthetic control method to measure the economic cost of sanctions imposed on South Africa between 1985 and 1994. The economic sanctions imposed on South Africa between 1985 and 1994 by the United Nations, the United States of America, and the European Community …
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Robust synthetic control
… we present a robust generalization of the synthetic control method. A distinguishing feature of our algorithm is that of de-noising the data matrix via singular value thresholding, which renders our approach robust in multiple facets: it automatically identifies a good subset of donors, …
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Essays in policy evaluation and labor economics
… The first chapter evaluates the effect of a gun control act in California. State legislators in the U.S. are striving to curb gun violence. A common approach is to extend the existing firearms ban list. This paper examines the effect of legislation restricting sales of selected firearms in …
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Essays on Econometrics and Policy Evaluation
… that study the statistical properties of synthetic control methods and their application to public policy evaluation and the digital economy. The first chapter, co-written with Ahmet Gulek, proposes a Synthetic Instrumental Variables (SIV) estimator for panel data that combines the …
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The impact of assisted dying on suicidality: a synthetic control analysis of population suicide rates
… after assisted dying was introduced in 2002. The synthetic control method was chosen for the analysis, and additional European nations were included as placebos. The results show no change in suicide rates following the assisted dying policy change. A comparison of MSPE ratios with placebo …
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The Economics of Crime: Exploring the Impact of Psychedelics, Gun Liability Insurance, and Zero-Bail Policies on Crime
… policymaking by leveraging quasi-experimental methods to identify the causal impact of each intervention. A growing number of U.S. jurisdictions have decriminalized psychedelic substances, and there are attendant theoretical expectations that such reforms could promote desistance from crime …
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Essays on complexity and causality in political science research
… on the use of computational and causal inference methods in political science research. The first essay examines the validity of the synthetic control method under complex analytical settings. The synthetic control method is increasingly being used to estimate the effect of an intervention when …
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Congestion Pricing: Moving from Equity Analysis to Transportation Justice
… by proposing a new framework, inspired by the method of scenario planning, to evaluate congestion pricing. This framework will be used to examine the case of a potential congestion pricing scheme in the Boston Metropolitan Region. This study combines best practices from the field of scenario …
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Sequential data inference via matrix estimation : causal inference, cricket and retail
… First, a robust variant of the popular "synthetic control" method used in observational studies to draw causal statistical inferences. Second, a score trajectory forecasting algorithm for the game of cricket using historical data. This leads to an unbiased target resetting algorithm for …
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Three Essays on Causal Inference With Model Averaging
… outcome between model averaging and other methods. The third essay is an empirical study evaluating the economic impact of Ukraine's 2013 conflict.</p><p>The first essay constructs a new average treatment effect estimator based on model averaging in a panel data setting. The estimator is …
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Essays on Paid Sick Leave in the United States
… – 2018 American Community Survey (ACS), and the Synthetic Control method, I show that following the implementation of paid sick leave mandates in Connecticut, Washington DC and Seattle, there is a similar pattern: fertility rate sharply declines in the first few years, and then bounces back. …
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Essays in Empirical International Economics
… not implemented or reversed. I apply the Synthetic Control Method to a plausibly exogenous shock to government stability during the adjustment carried out by the Macri government in Argentina (2015-19). The results show that the shock caused a nominal exchange rate depreciation of 15% over …
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"Riots and Sociability : a case study of human interaction networks in Qatif Saudi Arabia"
… to communications analysis, applying the Synthetic Control Method to estimate the causal effect of riots on different characteristics of human interaction within Qatif, Saudi Arabia, after an exogenous shock triggered a surge in public demonstrations. The analysis reveals a strong, …
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Improving utilization of maternal health related services: the impact of a community health worker pilot programme in Neno Malawi
… catchment areas from March 2015 to June 2016. Methodology: We employed a retrospective quasi-experimental study design to evaluate the impact of CHWs on changes in the utilisation of ANC, facility based births, and PNC in Neno district, Malawi between March 2014 and June 2016 (pre-intervention …
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Improving utilisation of maternal health related services: the impact of a community health worker pilot programme in Neno Malawi
… catchment areas from March 2015 to June 2016. Methodology: We employed a retrospective quasi-experimental study design to evaluate the impact of CHWs on changes in the utilisation of ANC, facility based births, and PNC in Neno district, Malawi between March 2014 and June 2016 (pre-intervention …
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Three Essays in Economic Analyses of Carbon Taxes
… data, there are a limited number of control units to construct the counterfactual for the treated (taxed) units. To address this issue, Chapter 2, joint with Deven Azevedo and Hendrik Wolff, revisits Chapter 1 by developing a new approach to implement the synthetic control method …
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Three Essays on Development Economics: Social Capital, Cost of the Sanctions and Group-based Inequality in Iran
… it would have been without sanctions. Using the synthetic control method of analysis, I replicate Iran’s GDP without sanctions. I demonstrate that, while previous sanctions had a negligible impact, Iran’s GDP fell markedly following the financial sanctions of 2010.
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Designing Public Organizations and Institutions: Essays on Coordination and Incentives
… to 36 financially troubled municipalities. The synthetic control method is used to identify suitable comparison units for each of the 36 municipalities. The estimates of fixed effects regressions on the resulting sample indicate that for most of the admitted municipalities, costs seem to be …
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Carrots and Sticks in Green Moves: Assessing the Mobility, Environmental, Economic, and Social Impacts of Sustainable Mobility Solutions
… compromising its effectiveness. We employ a synthetic control method combined with difference-in-differences to quantify the policy leakage. Our results reveal that the leakage led to an additional 443,000 cars sold in neighboring cities (within 500 km of Beijing) from 2011-2013, constituting …
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