Global ETD Search
Search theses and dissertations gathered from participating repositories worldwide. Every result links back to the library that holds it. No account is needed.
Results
Showing 1 to 20 of 91 for “"probability of success"”.
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Kelly Investing with Iteratively Updated Estimates of the Probability of Success
… that determines the appropriate fraction of fortune to invest in positive expectation opportunities in order to maximize growth. This thesis investigates the performance of Kelly-related strategies in binary outcome opportunities when the probability of success is unknown and is estimated …
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Fundamentals of public-private partnerships in the transportation sector : international methodologies of highway public-private partnerships and a framework to increase the probability of success and allocate risk
In 2009 the American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) gave the US infrastructure sector a grade D, based on the current and future needs of the nation's infrastructure and estimates that by year 2020, the US surface transportation deficit will reach $846 billion. Furthermore, in 2013 the US …
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DATA FUSION ARCHITECTURES FOR UNDERSEA WARFARE WITH AUTONOMOUS UNDERWATER VEHICLES
This capstone report examines the concept of combining mobile and stationary underwater sensors into a coherent, distributive network. This project presents a baseline architecture for a data fusion system that facilitates the near real-time exchange of information from disparate sources. This …
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A systems-engineering assessment of multiple CubeSat build approaches
… research conducts a broad systems-based analysis of CubeSat engineering, with a focus on testing, failures, and their relationship to program cost, in order to assess multiple build approaches with a goal of maintaining the advantages of CubeSat missions while increasing reliability. In this work, …
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Increasing proliferation resistance of sodium fast reactor fuel cycle through use of a nuclear resonance fluorescence detector
The proliferation resistance of a reprocessing facility can be improved by using a novel detection system that utilizes the nuclear resonance fluorescence (NRF) phenomenon to determine the isotopic composition of materials flowing through the plant. In an aqueous reprocessing facility, the waste …
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Credit-Output Interlinked Contracts: The Relationships Between Traders and Farmers
… repeated game framework, changes in the length of the review period, the farmer's probability of success, the reservation utilities of the parties, and their risk aversion are analyzed. In general, these changes affect the system of incentives designed to promote contract compliance, and …
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Problems of optimal choice on posets and generalizations of acyclic colourings
… This dissertation is in two parts, each of three chapters. In Part 1, I shall prove some results concerning variants of the `secretary problem'. In Part 2, I shall bound several generalizations of the acyclic chromatic number of a graph as functions of its maximum degree. I shall begin …
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A comparison of energy self-reliance and industrial development using an input-output model
This theses compares the benefits of energy self reliance strategies with the benefits of industrial development strategies to determine which strategies create greater benefits as a method of economic development. A critical factor, which is examined, is the probability of success for industrial …
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The effects of speech patterns on listening comprehension
… undertaken in an effort to determine the effect of compensatory education on achievement and the self concepts of students in inner city schools. The subjects for this study were chosen from the third, fourth, and fifth grades of the Lincoln, Longfellow, Blaine, and Garfield public elementary …
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Willingness to pay for industrial recruitment: A look at local decision-maker activity versus citizen preference
Academic research in the area of economic development policy is overwhelmingly critical of industrial recruitment, recommending instead that resources be directed towards strategies such as business retention and expansion, fostering local entrepreneurship, and amenity development. This research …
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Reducing Communication Delay Variability for a Group of Robots
… communication delay variability for a group of robots. This architecture relies on using three components: a microprocessor architecture that allows deterministic real-time tasks; an event-based communication protocol in which nodes transmit in a TDMA fashion, without the need of global clock …
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Adaptive methods for meteor burst communications
… various methods for making efficient use of the time-varying power received by radio reflection from meteor trails, including applications of variable-rate coding and variable-rate transmission. For variable-rate coding, the code rate is changed periodically during the life of the trail in …
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Shipping : is it a high risk low return business?
The purpose of this thesis is to investigate the risk and return characteristics of the shipping business. Shipping profitability and returns are evaluated and an analysis is performed to examine whether the returns are adequate to compensate the amount of risk the investor is bearing. Statistical …
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Optimal parameter sampling for aquifer remediation design under uncertainty
… design the remediation system, so that the probability of failure to restore the aquifer is small. Alternatively, one may sample the aquifer to determine parameter values so that a less conservative remediation design may be successful. In this thesis, a method is presented for optimal …
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Stochastic Motion Planning for Applications in Subsea Survey and Area Protection
… control for autonomous vehicles. The objective of our work is to closely and rigorously incorporate classication and detection performance into path planning algorithms, which is not addressed with typical approaches found in literature. We present novel path planning algorithms for two …
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Machine-learning models for predicting drug approvals and clinical-phase transitions
… to fully exploit the entire dataset, the largest of its kind. We achieve predictive measures of 0.74, 0.78, and 0.81 AUC for predicting transitions from phase 2 to phase 3, phase 2 to approval, and phase 3 to approval, respectively. Using five-year rolling windows, we document an increasing trend …
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Standardizing ICT for Development: Towards the Definition of a Standard Process and Maturity Model for ICTD Projects
The use of ICTs to stimulate socio-economic development has significantly grown in popularity in the recent years and has been boosted by the “mobile revolution” of the last decade. Despite the multi-year experience of academics, donor agencies and businesses, the failure rate of ICT for …
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Anaerobic co-digestion of municipal solid waste and sewage sludge.
As a solution to the problems of municipal solid waste management, anaerobic digestion possesses the optimal combination of volume reduction, probability of success and potential for both energy and resource recovery. An innovative application of anaerobic processes is the co-digestion of sewage …
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Risk arbitrage : analysis and trading systems
… positive risk-adjusted returns. We use a sample of 895 stock swap mergers, cash mergers, and cash tender offers during 1998-2004Q2. We test the market efficiency hypothesis, and after accounting for transaction costs, we find that our risk arbitrage strategies generate annual risk-adjusted …
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Risk arbitrage in emerging markets
Risk arbitrage is one of the investment strategies commonly employed by hedge funds and financial investment firms. In essence, it constitutes a bet on whether a merger deal is consummated. Several academic studies have found that risk arbitrage trading strategies are able to generate sustainable …
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