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Showing 1 to 20 of 125 for “"polls"”.
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The politics of public opinion: Polls, pollsters and presidents
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The role of polls for election forecasting in German state elections
… institutes. Despite occurring errors in polls like measurement or sampling errors - which are also discussed in this work - forecasting is made with aggregate models depending on short term polling data. Irregular polling data have to be customized to generate daily data to apply …
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Collective Memory of the War In Iraq: An Analysis of Letters to the Editor and Public Opinion Polls, 2003-2008
… of letters to the editor and public opinion polls, seeking to tie these representations of opinion to the concept of collective memory. With a three-pronged grounded theory approach, two working hypotheses and two research questions guided the research process. The first stage involved a …
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Interactive Voice Response Polling in Election Campaigns
… Previous studies have shown that IVR polls conducted immediately before elections are generally accurate, but have raised questions as to their validity in other contexts. This study examines whether IVR polls generate measurably different levels of candidate support when compared to …
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The Optimal Weighting of Pre-Election Polling Data
Pre-election polls are used to test the political landscape and predict election results. The relative weights for the state-level data from the 2006 U.S. senatorial races are considered based on the date on which the polls were conducted. Long- and short-memory weight functions are developed to …
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Trending in the Right Direction: Using Google Trends Data as a Measure of Public Opinion During a Presidential Election
… the 2016 presidential election, public opinion polls consistently showed a lead in the popular vote and Electoral College for Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump. Following Trump's surprise victory, the political pundits and public at large began to question the accuracy of modern public opinion …
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The pulse of expectations: The evolution of news making in United States presidential campaigns
… and the recent proliferation of public opinion polls. I argue that with the combination of heightened day-to-day coverage of campaigns (made easy by satellite technology) and the new omnipresence of poll data, campaign coverage has largely degenerated into a day-to-day series of contests, with …
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Polling and political behavior : explaining inaccuracy in Italian polling
The use of polls during election campaigns has become increasingly commonplace, its main purpose being to predict elections results. Some literature highlights evidence that pre-electoral polls increase their predictive accuracy as the time between the interview and Election Day decreases. …
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Reflections of Revolution: Le Figaro, Le Monde, and Public Opinion in France during the Algerian Conflict (1954-1962)
… Using these newspapers, as well as Gallup polls recorded at the time, this study explores correlations of what was reported in newspapers and how French public opinion evolved during the course of the war. These two major sources of information are shown to have given contradictory …
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Social network effects on information aggregation
… aggregation: vanilla opinion poll, opinion polls where sociometric data is inferred from the population's own perception of social connectivity, opinion polls where sociometric data is obtained independent of the populations beliefs and data aggregation using market mechanisms. On comparing …
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Voter apathy: why does it exist and what can be done to overcome it?
… would motivate these stakeholders to go to the polls.</p> <p>The population of this study consisted of the direct stakeholders in the annual school elections of the Washington Township School District. A disc containing a listing of the individuals who voted in the April 15, 2003, school …
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Securitization and Refugee Resettlement Policy: Using Social Media to Understand Public Attitudes
… refugees and asylum-seekers expressed in opinion polls compares with that expressed through commentary on news articles posted by Cable News Network (CNN) on social media. Using a study of 2,022 Facebook comments regarding the plight of Syrian child Omran Daqneesh during the 2016 United States …
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Computational Aspects of Approval Voting and Declared-Strategy Voting
… We propose such a theory.</p> <p>Approval-rating polls already serve an important role in assaying the views of an electorate on some subject of interest. Sites such as Rotten Tomatoes and Metacritic.com collect and display the results of approval-rating polls for movies and games. Moreover, sites …
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Essays on Regional Recessions, Spatial Interactions and Forecasting
… a unique data set of daily political opinion polls in the United Kingdom from 2010 to 2015. This work explores the forecasting capabilities of the recently developed fractionally cointegrated vector auto-regressive (FCVAR) model. The results show that the FCVAR model delivers superior forecast …
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A ranking model for two women's team sports
… in terms of quality of performance. These polls generally are referred to as "Top Twenty Polls." Questionnaires were designed and mailed to the coaches and selection committee members associated with the two study sports: basketball and field hockey. Respondents were to rate a series of …
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The Military, War and National Integration: Symbolic Treatment of the Military and War for Purposes of National Integration in Indian Mass Media
… government press releases and public opinion polls.
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An automated system to detect flash floods and alert at-risk communities
… river basin, Honduras. An Atmel microcontroller polls a series of sensors in the river, logging all data for later hydrological analysis and modeling. A high-power APRS radio is used to alert a central monitoring facility of impending floods. Careful component choices and power management allows …
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Bill of Rights for the Homeless Act : a policy analysis
… a homelessness management strategy. Smartphone polls were conducted before and after presentations with key stakeholders to gauge opinions of the recommended homelessness management policy. Polls address the policy's perceived impact on the health outcomes of homeless individuals because of the …
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