Global ETD Search
Search theses and dissertations gathered from participating repositories worldwide. Every result links back to the library that holds it. No account is needed.
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Showing 1 to 20 of 167 for “"expected value"”.
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Relationship of the expected value of exploration investment to government policy and private strategy, The
Includes bibliographical references (pages 87-94).
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The curve through the expected values of order statistics with special reference to problems in nonparametric tests of hypotheses
The expected value ot the s<sup>th</sup> largest ot n ranked variates from a population with probability density f(x) occurs often in the statistical literature and especially in the theory of nonparametric statistics. A new expression for this value will be obtained tor any underlying density f(x) …
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Stochastic Assignment with Expiration
… and aim to develop algorithms that achieve large expected overall values from the matchings. A decision maker (DM) must balance obtaining a matching reward now and keeping enough possibilities for the future with possible expirations. Since this problem is intractable, we first provide a compact …
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Self-Regulation and Adolescent Decision-Making
… risk-taking and rational decision-making (i.e., expected value sensitivity). 150 early adolescents between the ages of 10 and 15 participated (Mean age 13.0, 53% female). The study also assessed regulation and reactivity tendencies with both behavioral and self-report measures. Minimal …
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An Estimation Problem of Large Claims on Actuarial Decisions
… number of claims follows a Poisson process. The expected value of the total claim amount is determined by calculating the product of the expected value of a random sample of claims and the expected value of the number of claims. These expected values are calculated by assuming the claim amounts …
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Fission Multiplicity Distribution Sampling in MCNP6 Criticality Calculations
… neutron transport equation, the k-effective eigenvalue is related to the average number of neutrons emitted in fission of the system. It can be shown that if the average number of neutrons emitted in fission and the average neutron energy spectrum is conserved, the criticality of a system remains …
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An integrated social cognitive model for the prediction of physical activity participation: Preliminary development and validation
… (2) perceived capability, (3) expected value, (4) affect or emotion, and (5) past behavior or habit. The proposed model tentatively hypothesized that physical activity is determined by behavioral expectation. It was further postulated that expectation is determined by affect, …
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Approximation algorithms for stochastic scheduling problems
… is a set of jobs, each with an associated value, processing time, and deadline. We would like to schedule these jobs on a set of machines over time. In our stochastic setting, the processing time of each job is random, known in advance only as a probability distribution (and we make no …
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Strategic insight and age-related goal-neglect influence risky decision-making
… risky prospects even when these may have higher expected value than safer alternatives. We investigated whether explicit strategy instruction and practice can decrease prepotent RA, and whether aging impacts the efficacy of such an intervention. Participants performed a paired lottery task with …
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Generalized Probabilistic Bowling Distributions
… For each distribution, we give results for the expected value and standard deviation of each frame's score, the expected value of the game’s final score, and the correlation coefficient between the score of the first and second roll of a single frame. Furthermore, we shall generalize the results …
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Analytic Evaluation of the Expectation and Variance of Different Performance Measures of a Schedule under Processing Time Variability
… the work reported has dealt with optimizing the expected value of the performance measure. By focusing only on the expected value and ignoring the variance of the measure used, the scheduling problem becomes purely deterministic and the significant ramifications of schedule variability are …
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A Method to Improve the Sustainment of Systems Based on Probability and Consequences
… decisions based on the minimization of the expected value of current and future costs. This differs from current methods which tend to base decisions not on the expected value of costs, but on the expected inventory demand found through projections using data which is often inaccurate.</p> …
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Life Annuities under Random Rates of Interest.
<p>We begin by examining the accumulated value functions of some annuities-certain. We then investigate the accumulated value of these annuities where the interest is a random variable under some restrictions. Calculations are derived for the expected value and the variance of these accumulated …
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Facing reality : design and management of flexible engineering systems
… and development strategies for maximizing the expected value of engineering systems. Specifically, the approach deals with the fact that it is generally computationally impractical to explore all the possible ways a system might be developed and operated, given the large number of possible …
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A statistical approach to predicting snowfall using the SPF
… that particular identifier with respect to the expected value (the mean). The intensity of the snowfall over an area is estimated by calculating the SPF's overall deviation from some expected value, where any given SPF value can estimate a snowfall value. The framework for the SPF is explained …
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Specific optimal control using stochastic approximation
… set of constant parameters which minimizes the expected value with respect to the initial state of a suitably chosen performance index. The method of stochastic approximation is proposed as a means of solution; however, it is shown that the theory of stochastic approximation as it now exists …
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An investigation into the association between accounting variables and stock market returns: the Mexican case
… abnormal return. Hypothesis Two H : The expected value of the abnormal return is equal to zero. Hypothesis Three H : The expected value of the" cumulative" abnormal return is equal to zero. The interpretation of the results indicate that accounting numbers, specifically EPS and cash flow …
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A Stochastic Analog to the Richardson's Arms Race Model
… through the method of birth-death processes. The expected value of the model is explored and shown to be analogous to the original deterministic arms race model. The numerical method of randomization is then expanded and applied to the stochastic model. A comparison is then made between outcomes …
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A Dynamic Programming Analysis of Optimal Farmland Investment Decisions: An Application to Central Illinois High-Quality Farmland
… programming model's objective is to maximize the expected value of after-tax wealth. Its decision variable is the number of acres to purchase or sell at the beginning of each year.
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Improving the economic evaluation of flood risk management studies
… the economic evaluation of FRM studies is to use expected annual damages (or life loss) as the primary decision criterion. Reliance on the expected value can lead to poor FRM investment decisions because it conceals extremes by equating flood events of different magnitudes and probabilities of …
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