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Showing 1 to 3 of 3 for “"backtest overfitting"”.
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A reproducible approach to equity backtesting
… subset of the decisions made in a particular backtest workflow are released, which limits reproducability. Data collection and cleaning, parameter setting, algorithm development and report generation are often done with manual point-and-click tools which do not log user actions. This problem …
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Online Non-linear Prediction of Financial Time Series Patterns
… based initializations. The validity of the FNN backtest results are shown under a rigorous assessment of backtest overfitting using both Combinatorially Symmetrical Cross Validation and Probabilistic and Deflated Sharpe Ratios. Results are further used to develop a view on the phenomenology of …
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Systematic asset allocation using flexible views for South African markets
… The framework displays low probability of backtest overfitting and the out-of-sample net returns and Sharpe ratio point estimates of the HS-FP model outperforms the benchmark models. However, the results are inconsistent when training windows are varied, the Sharpe ratio is seen to be …