Global ETD Search
Search theses and dissertations gathered from participating repositories worldwide. Every result links back to the library that holds it. No account is needed.
Results
Showing 1 to 18 of 18 for “"Uncertainty Risk"”.
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Information risk, uncertainty risk and asset prices
… a new mechanism to generate time variation in uncertainty from the information channel, where rational agents' beliefs from Bayesian learning features time-varying uncertainty in a stochastic imperfect information environment. Information uncertainty provides considerable explanatory power for …
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Uncertainty, Risk and the (in)Applicability of the Precautionary Principle: Reassessing the Scope of Precaution and Prevention in International Environmental Law
… made in formal scientific discourse between risk and uncertainty. While this technical distinction is fundamental to defining the proper scope of the principle’s application, the thesis finds that much of the existing legal discourse has either overlooked or marginalised the risk/uncertainty …
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Essays on the Role of Informed Trading in Stock Markets
… stock because they perceive a new information uncertainty risk when short-sale constraints are binding and informed trading is absent. Stock prices become less informative when short-sale constraints keep informed investors out of the market. The less informative prices create a new information …
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Essays in Financial Econometrics
… resulting in what we will call the common ``uncertainty'' factors. This underlying uncertainty factor is correlated with the individual and common liquidity and volatility factors as well as returns. I find that the underlying uncertainty risk factor is significantly priced in the cross …
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Econometric models of Western Canada crop acreage demand and yield response under risk and uncertainty
… by employing duality models and allowing risk aversion. Econometric results are presented for a four-crop model using level and first differenced data. Estimates for models incorporating risk aversion generally have more significant coefficients for expected revenues or expected prices …
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Risk management of building project budgets.
… concerned with the development of a conceptual risk management model, to be used by quantity surveyors, during the establishment of initial budgets for building construction projects.The thesis is introduced with a discussion about the problem and challenge of accurate budgeting in the UK …
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Passing through the ages : later-life housing decision-making
… futures - the study reveals how people navigate uncertainty, risk, and threat in housing choices. It shows that later-life housing decisions are deeply relational yet often fraught with instability and shadowed by the fears of the fourth age. In order to manage the threats to third age …
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Decision theory process for making a mitigation decision on harmonic resonance in power systems
… assist decision makers on making a decision when uncertainty, risk and certainty situations-exist, is reviewed in this thesis. To understand the application of decision theory, worked examples are included to improve understanding and to provide a foundation for the new work introduced. The …
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A Discrete Choice Mean Variance (EV) Cost Model to Measure Impact of Household Risk from Drinking Water Pipe Corrosion
… payout of different assets with respect to uncertainty where portfolios with higher risk demand higher expected returns from an individual. This thesis adapts this framework to a cost setting where decision makers are evaluating alternative physical assets that carry lifetime cost …
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An episode in United States foreign trade : silver and gold, Santa Fe and St. Louis (1820-1840)
… the Revolution and the Civil War was attended by uncertainty, risk, and experimentation. The United States was exceedingly poor in specie, had almost no liquid capital, and its international credit rating was not well established. The United States currency system was based on paper money in …
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The effects of life history strategy and uncertainty on a probability-based approach to managing the risk of overfishing
… The P* methodology aims to manage the risk of overfishing explicitly, but choice of P* alone does not provide sufficient information on all of the risks associated with a control rule—both the probability of overfishing and the severity of overfishing. Rather, the ramifications of P* …
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Advanced Ordered Weighted Averaging Methods in Robust Optimization
In decision-making under uncertainty, robust optimization is a critical tool across various fields, providing solutions that perform effectively across a range of scenarios where precise probabilities are unavailable or unreliable. Traditional approaches, such as min-max and min-max regret, focus …
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Floodplain Risk Analysis Using Flood Probability and Annual Exceedance Probability Maps
… the effects of natural variability and model uncertainty on the extents of computed floodplain boundaries. The first approach represents the floodplain boundary as a spatial map of flood probabilities -- with values between 0 and 100%. Instead of representing the floodplain boundary at a …
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Model complexity and risk aversion in decision analysis
… more complex than merited. Yet, decision makers’ risk preferences are often ignored without considering the effect on recommendations. Additionally, modelers do not always understand the difference between preferences toward deterministic outcomes and risk preferences or the impact of modeling …
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A Framework for Integrating Value and Uncertainty in the Sustainable Options Analysis in Real Estate Investment
… value implications, as well as substantial risk and uncertainty that current methods do not simultaneously incorporate in their assessment process. Through a combined quantitative and qualitative approach, this research creates a new systematic assessment process to consider both cost and …
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An investigation into the treatment of uncertainty and risk in roadmapping: a framework and a practical process
… concerned with providing an understanding of how uncertainty and risk are manifested in roadmapping in this application, and with developing and testing a roadmapping process that supports appropriate treatment of uncertainty and risk. Roadmapping is an approach to early-stage innovation planning, …
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Essays in International and Monetary Economics
… with a particular focus on the role of uncertainty and risk in driving the strategies of economic agents. They explore the interplay between individual behaviors and macroeconomic trends by leveraging micro data to answer macroeconomic questions. The first chapter explores the drivers of …
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Risk Allocation, Decision Rights, and Adaptive Lifecycle Project Management Practices in Public-Private Partnership Highway Contracts in Australia, the Philippines, and India
… infrastructure where private finance is put at risk throughout the contract's duration. By bundling these key tasks in the hands of the private sector, PPPs are expected to address certain limitations of traditional delivery approaches by capitalizing on private sector expertise and …