Global ETD Search
Search theses and dissertations gathered from participating repositories worldwide. Every result links back to the library that holds it. No account is needed.
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Showing 1 to 17 of 17 for “"Seasonal forecasting"”.
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Model evaluation for seasonal forecasting over southern Africa
… broader effort of institutions toward improving seasonal forecasts over southern Africa. The primary objective is to understand where global models show shortcomings in their simulations, and how this impacts on their seasonal forecast skill. It is proposed that the skill of a model in simulating …
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Efficient Seasonal Forecasting of Application Demand with ELF
… patterns. Previous research on classification, forecasting, trending, and pattern recognition in storage workloads have concluded that there is no universally best predictor for all workload patterns. In addition, these researched methods and their comparisons focus more heavily on accuracy …
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General Circulation Model Regional Predictions Using MOS techniques: Seasonal Forecasting
… used to provide more accurate and coherent seasonal forecasts. However, they still show some limitations. Model Output Statistics (MOS) approaches may improve performance if observed and forecast values are available for a long record. This study investigates the skills of a MOS approach on …
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The uptake and utility of seasonal forecasting products for commercial maize farmers in South Africa
Includes abstract. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 178-191).
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Model development for seasonal forecasting of hydro lake inflows in the Upper Waitaki Basin, New Zealand
… management of the hydro resource. Improved seasonal rainfall and inflow forecasts will result in the better management of the water used in hydro generation on a seasonal basis. Seasonal rainfall forecasting has been the focus of much international research in recent years, but seasonal …
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Exploring winter rainfall in western South Africa : connections, influences and the potential for statistical seasonal forecasting
… to develop statistical forecast models for SWC seasonal rainfall, which served as an initial assessment of the potential for statistical seasonal forecasting of SWC rainfall.
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Evaluating the impact of oceanic/atmospheric teleconnections on historical wildfires in West Virginia (1939--2006)
… variability has the potential to greatly improve seasonal forecasting capabilities. Despite the complexity inherent in local fire regimes, regional fire activity often oscillates in phase with year-to-year climatic variability. This climate-fire connection raises the possibility that historical …
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AI-informed model analogs for subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction
Subseasonal-to-seasonal forecasting is crucial for public health, disaster preparedness, and agriculture, and yet it remains a particularly challenging timescale to predict. We explore the use of an interpretable AI-informed model analog forecasting approach, previously employed on longer …
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Long-range statistical forecasting of Korean summer precipitation
We examined long-range statistical forecasting methods for Korean summer precipitation (KSP). We reviewed existing literature on the East Asian summer monsoon to develop a background on current KSP research and on the relationship of KSP to climate variations. Second, we explored interannual …
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Investigating the relationships between wheat-specific rainfall characteristics, large-scale modes of climate variability and wheat yields in the Swartland region, South Africa
… and to make sound economic decisions. Seasonal forecasting has the potential to provide wheat producers with invaluable information regarding the climatic conditions. However, due to the complex nature of the atmospheric dynamics associated with winter rainfall in South Africa, seasonal …
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Climatic trends and soil moisture feedbacks over Zimbabwe
… are essential for improved short-term and seasonal forecasting and will aid the generation of plausible climate change impact predictions.
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The use of traditional weather forecasting by agro-pastoralists of different social groups in Bobirwa sub-district, Botswana
… informing farming decisions. Traditional weather forecasting is often a major planning tool used to inform agro-pastoralists’ decision making and has been handed from one generation to another. For instance, local knowledge indicators are used to determine onset of rainfall and quality of the …
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Advancing Climate Science with Machine Learning
… for fulfilling all needs in understanding and forecasting climate behaviors, which leaves open opportunities for interdisciplinary climate studies. In the past decades, machine learning (ML), especially deep learning, has achieved remarkable strides in wide-ranging applications. The emergence …
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Integration of seasonal forecast information and crop models to enhance decision making in small-scale farming systems of South Africa
… decisions under such conditions. Integrated seasonal forecast information and crop models have been used as a tool that enhances decision making in some countries. Utilization of such an approach in South Africa can enhance decision making in climate variability management. The study …
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Impacts of ENSO on coastal South African sea surface temperatures
… is well documented and provides skill in the seasonal forecast of rainfall but little is known of the impact of ENSO on the ocean surrounding South Africa. The aim of this study is to assess the impact of ENSO on sea surface temperatures around the coast of South Africa and to calculate SST …
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Extratropical impacts on Atlantic tropical cyclone activity: Rossby wave breaking and remote controls
DSpace SAF Submission Ingestion Package generated from Vireo submission #12040 on 2018-08-31 at 17:17:05
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Spatiotemporal Distribution of Siberian Wildfires and Impacts from Meteorological and Climatic Factors
… of wildfire occurrence, fuel type, and seasonal fire regime, Siberia was divided into three subregions, namely Western Siberia (WS), Eastern Siberia (ES), and the Far East (FE). Among them, WS (West Siberia) exhibits active spring wildfires, primarily concentrated in April–May. The rapid …