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Showing 1 to 12 of 12 for “"Rapid intensification"”.

  1. Study on the Intensity and Track Prediction of Typhoon Yagi (2024) Based on Ensemble Kalman Filter Assimilation of Satellite and Radar Data

    … still faces challenges, especially in simulating rapid intensification. This study investigates the impact of assimilating satellite and radar data using the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) on the prediction of Typhoon Yagi (2024). Based on the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model and the …

    helsinki Repository record for Study on the Intensity and Track Prediction of Typhoon Yagi (2024) Based on Ensemble Kalman Filter Assimilation of Satellite and Radar Data (opens in a new tab)

  2. Secondary Eyewall Formation as a Response to Evolving Tropical Cyclone Wind Structure

    … cyclone's wind field in two contexts: (1) rapid intensification of the primary eyewall (Chapter 2) and (2) an expansion of the outer wind field (Chapter 3). The second chapter of the thesis demonstrates that in both an idealized hurricane intensity model (the Coupled Hurricane Intensity …

    mit Repository record for Secondary Eyewall Formation as a Response to Evolving Tropical Cyclone Wind Structure (opens in a new tab)

  3. An Ensemble Numerical Modeling Study of Alantic Basin Hurricane Intensification

    Rapid intensification of tropical cyclones is an active area of research in the atmospheric sciences due to the difficulty of forecasting cyclone intensity and the unclear mechanism by which a hurricane my undergo explosive deepening. Ensemble numerical modeling studies of six tropical cyclones …

    washington Repository record for An Ensemble Numerical Modeling Study of Alantic Basin Hurricane Intensification (opens in a new tab)

  4. Storm mergers and their role in tornado genesis during the 2011 Joplin storm

    … result in local conditions more favorable for rapid intensification of vertical vorticity at the surface than found in the surrounding environment. Following the work of Lemon (1976) and Lee et al. (2006), this study uses high-resolution WRF simulations to simulate and understand the …

    uiuc Repository record for Storm mergers and their role in tornado genesis during the 2011 Joplin storm (opens in a new tab)

  5. Diurnal analysis of intensity trends in Atlantic tropical cyclones

    … We obtain a mid to late morning maximum in rapid intensification (RI) events over warm water. No discernible trend exists for land-filling TCs, even after using the decay model of Kaplan and DeMaria (1995) to find diurnal departures from mean decay rates. We also calculate theoretical TC …

    mit Repository record for Diurnal analysis of intensity trends in Atlantic tropical cyclones (opens in a new tab)

  6. Atlantic tropical cyclone formation: Pre-genesis evolution of tropical easterly waves and impacts of the middle to upper tropospheric dry air

    … about one day prior to genesis, along with the rapid intensification of vorticity. The composites derived from the ERA-Interim reanalysis reveal higher specific humidity and equivalent potential temperature near the center of the wave critical layer, especially in the middle troposphere within …

    uiuc Repository record for Atlantic tropical cyclone formation: Pre-genesis evolution of tropical easterly waves and impacts of the middle to upper tropospheric dry air (opens in a new tab)

  7. Convective structure and its evolution in tropical cyclones as observed by passive microwave sensors in relation to intensity change

    … a glimpse into tropical cyclone development and intensification over systems’ life cycles. In particular, passive microwave observations have the potential to depict crucial precursors of rapid intensification (RI; defined as a wind increase of 30 kt/24 hr). A dataset with a common resolution of …

    uiuc Repository record for Convective structure and its evolution in tropical cyclones as observed by passive microwave sensors in relation to intensity change (opens in a new tab)

  8. The role of inner-core and boundary layer dynamics on tropical cyclone structure and intensification

    … dynamical processes involved with the incipient, rapidly intensifying, and eyewall replacement stages. A simplified, axisymmetric, one-layer, analytical model of tropical cyclone intensification is developed. Rather than formulating the model with the gradient balance approximation, the model uses …

    colostate Repository record for The role of inner-core and boundary layer dynamics on tropical cyclone structure and intensification (opens in a new tab)

  9. Uncertainty Quantification in Earth System Models Using Polynomial Chaos Expansions

    … simulation time span. Statistical analysis of rapid intensification (RI) process suggests that storms with enhanced initial intensity and counter-clockwise rotation perturbations are more likely to undergo a RI process. In addition, the RI process seems mostly sensitive to the mean wind …

    duke Repository record for Uncertainty Quantification in Earth System Models Using Polynomial Chaos Expansions (opens in a new tab)

  10. Characterization of the role of precipitation in tropical cyclone intensification

    … meteorology community. A host of widely varying intensification paradigms have been put forth in recent decades associated with various dynamic or thermodynamic mechanisms. The one constant across these mechanisms is the role of the secondary circulation in terms of intensifying the vortex …

    uiuc Repository record for Characterization of the role of precipitation in tropical cyclone intensification (opens in a new tab)

  11. Upper ocean variability and tropical cyclones in the South West Indian Ocean

    … cyclones are investigated. It is shown that rapid cyclone intensification is influenced by large Tdy values, thick barrier layers and the presence of anticyclonic eddies. Both BLT and Tdy fields are modulated by the westward propagation of Rossby waves, which are often associated with ENSO. …

    cape-town Repository record for Upper ocean variability and tropical cyclones in the South West Indian Ocean (opens in a new tab)