Global ETD Search
Search theses and dissertations gathered from participating repositories worldwide. Every result links back to the library that holds it. No account is needed.
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Showing 1 to 4 of 4 for “"Proper scoring rules"”.
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Proper scoring rules : properties and applications
Proper and strictly proper scoring rules provide a rigorous method for evaluating the accuracy of a probabilistic forecast while encouraging honesty. In this dissertation, we develop new proper and strictly proper scoring rules. We introduce additive and strongly additive scoring rules that can be …
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Mechanism design for eliciting costly observations in next generation citizen sensor networks
… of novel twostage mechanisms, based on strictly proper scoring rules. We focus on strictly proper scoring rules, as they have been used in the past as a method of eliciting truthful reporting of predictions in various forecasting scenarios (most notably in weather forecasting). By using payments …
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Essays in information elicitation and market design
… decisions in biased crowds,"" I study decision rules for finding the true answer to a binary question using the opinions of biased agents. Taking majority rule as a baseline, I study peer-prediction decision rules, which ask agents to predict the opinions of others in addition to providing their …