Global ETD Search
Search theses and dissertations gathered from participating repositories worldwide. Every result links back to the library that holds it. No account is needed.
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Showing 1 to 5 of 5 for “"Objective Probability"”.
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A Study of Evolutionary Contingency: Characterisation, Mechanisms, and Evidence
… of evolutionary contingency as non-trivial objective probability that overcomes the shortcomings of some previous proposals. According to this `outcome-based' account, contingency claims are probabilistic statements about an evolutionary outcome's objective probability of evolution. But …
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Hindsight Bias and Choice: Understanding Hindsight Bias and Perceived Control
… p. 311) as "an expectancy of a personal success probability inappropriately higher than the objective probability would warrant." Some authors believe that the tendency to engage in illusions of control when making decisions results from a need to control which is salutary to mental health, …
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Methods for Rigorous Uncertainty Quantification with Application to a Mars Atmosphere Model
… Mars lander missions motivate the use of the objective probability bounds approach, as opposed to the subjectivist theories which dominate uncertainty quantification in many research communities. An expanded formalism for Dempster-Shafer structures is introduced, allowing for the …
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Essays on econometric modeling of subjective perceptions of risks in environment and human health
… individual perceptions of risk involved: the objective probability, the Savage subjective probability, and the subjective distributions of probability. Each of these three types of risk specifications is covered in one of the three essays. The first essay addresses the problem of empirical …
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Expectations in Financial Markets
… Damme 1993, Morris & Shin 1998), we derive the probability of a self-fulfilling fire sale and extend the model to include a central bank providing a market backstop. The central bank can choose the quantity of assets it is willing to purchase and the discount (relative to the bond return) that …