Global ETD Search
Search theses and dissertations gathered from participating repositories worldwide. Every result links back to the library that holds it. No account is needed.
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Showing 1 to 20 of 1035 for “"Forecasts"”.
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Exchange rate forecasts and forecasting
… others. It also shows that the dispersion of forecasts helps to explain turnover in the foreign exchange futures market. The notion that the best predictive model of the exchange rate is a random walk has stood the test of time. In chapter three we evaluate the forecasts of our panellists …
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Verification of River Stage Forecasts
Little verification of hydrologic forecasts has been conducted to date, and therefore little is known about the skill of hydrologic forecasts. This dissertation presents a verification study of river stage forecasts with lead-times up to three days for sixteen locations in the United States for a …
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CEO Extraversion and Management Earnings Forecasts
… trait (Cain 2012), on management earnings forecasts. An extraverted individual is characterized as being energetic, talkative, assertive, decisive and sociable (Wilt and Revelle 2009). I examine whether and how CEO extraversion influences the likelihood of issuing management earnings …
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Operationalizing demand forecasts in the warehouse
… of demand. For the distribution center, accurate forecasts will help managers to accordingly plan operational activities. In the present thesis, we evaluate the plausibility of leveraging the SKU level forecast to predict equivalent operational activities in the warehouse. Through literature …
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Are long-term earnings targets forecasts?
… conflicts are low and traditional management forecasts are not available. To my knowledge, this analysis is the first to document a forecasting role for the long-term targets used in earnings-based compensation plans.
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The impact of judgment on statistical forecasts
The thesis will aim to empirically assess how judgment impacts a statistical forecast in a spare parts supply chain.The thesis will investigate what impact judgment has on forecast accuracy that is, does it improve the statistical forecast. If so, is there specific types of demand series, spare …
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Income Classification Shifting and Financial Analysts’ Forecasts
… analysts revise their future quarterly earnings forecasts by half as much for classification shifters than for non-classification shifters, suggesting analysts recognize that income classification shifters’ core earnings are less likely to persist into the future. However, I also find that …
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Analysis of uncertainty in hydrometeorological ensemble forecasts
… To evaluate the performance of these ensemble forecasts, we chose to study streamflow sites within Sonoma County, California, a rain-dominated region which includes the Russian, Navarro, and Napa Valley River basins. The uncertainty in the downscaled GEFS precipitation and the NWM forced with …
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Valuing climate forecasts for midwestern grain producers
Restriction data tranferred 2014-07-01T11:26:25-05:00 Original Data Group with Access UIUC Users [automated] Release Date: none Reason: ETDs are only available to UIUC Users without author permission
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Effect of litigation risk on management forecasts
I examine the link between changes in the disclosure behavior of firms and changes in ex ante litigation risk as proxied by changes in the firms' director and officer insurance premiums. I find evidence that there is a negative link between the voluntary disclosure of bad news and ex ante …
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Futures-Based Forecasts of U.S. Crop Prices
… and create a need for reliable price forecasts. Research discussed in this paper aims to find different approaches to forecast crop cash prices based on the prices of related futures contracts. Corn, soybeans, soft red winter wheat, and cotton are the focus of this research. Since …
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Social Networks in New Product Forecasts and Marketing
… on other consumers in preference-based market forecasts. This study analyzes these aspects for a representative sample of the German mobile phone market. It finds that assigning higher weights to the preferences of influentials significantly increases forecast accuracy. Other chapters of this …
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Development of grassland modelling techniques with weather forecasts
… modelling. First, the accuracy of weather forecasts is assessed and improved using bias correction methods at twenty-five Irish locations for weather variables that influence grass growth. For the first time, soil temperature observations measured at six depths are verified and bias …
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Plant-process model corn yield forecasts for Iowa
… model and examine how effective these forecasts might be in improving corn yield forecasts made at the state and crop reporting district level in Iowa. This study was conducted in light of recent budget cuts by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) and elimination of the …
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Using Neural Networks to Provide Local Weather Forecasts
… whether ANNs are capable of producing accurate forecasts of relevant weather variables from small-scale, imperfect datasets. Also, there is not a significant amount of research focusing on the forecasting performance of neural networks applied to weather datasets that have been temporally …
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Eliciting and Aggregating Forecasts When Information is Shared
… the wisdom of crowds---combining many individual forecasts to obtain an aggregate estimate---can be an effective technique for improving forecast accuracy. When individual forecasts are drawn from independent and identical information sources, a simple average provides the optimal crowd forecast. …
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