Global ETD Search
Search theses and dissertations gathered from participating repositories worldwide. Every result links back to the library that holds it. No account is needed.
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Showing 1 to 7 of 7 for “"Election Forecasting"”.
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The role of polls for election forecasting in German state elections
German state elections are in focus of this work due to the decreasing importance of the "catch all parties" and rise of the AfD in 2013. As small parties like the AfD first reached the 5% threshold in state parliaments (e.g. in the Saxony state election 2014), state elections can be used as …
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Database updates using interactive Pan and Zoom visualizations
… an NBA timeline visualization, an election forecasting visualization, and a scatter plot visualization of NBA game scores. We report the update performance statistics for each of the demo visualizations and provide an evaluation of changes to the Kyrix specification language.
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Automated Vocabulary Building for Characterizing and Forecasting Elections using Social Media Analytics
… as a surrogate data source for many important forecasting problems. Strong correlations have been observed between Twitter indicators and real-world trends spanning elections, stock markets, book sales, and flu outbreaks. A key ingredient to all methods that use Twitter for forecasting is to …
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Predicting Presidential Elections: An Evaluation of Forecasting
… two decades, a surge of interest in the area of forecasting has produced a number of statistical models available for predicting the winners of U.S. presidential elections. While historically the domain of individuals outside the scholarly community - such as political strategists, pollsters, and …
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Developing methods for understanding the nature of voting patterns and party competition in Britain
… method and later its application to UK general elections from 1983 onwards. The second section uses aggregate data gathered for the elections to the Greater London Authority in order to understand the patterns of electoral support across the capital, particularly support for minor parties. A …
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Elections Have Consequences: Moral Value Foundations Ensure Gridlock through the Ballot Box
<p>In the midst of unprecedented partisan polarization in the voting public and congressional gridlock in Washington, research in moral psychology has implicated reliance on differing moral value foundations between liberals and conservatives as a determinant of partisan divides. While Moral …
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Essays on Election
… levels. The first chapter focuses on judicial elections in Houston, while the last two chapters forecast the 2024 national election. This first chapter examines whether changes in local crime rates influence voter behavior in partisan judicial elections. Using precinct-level crime and election …