Global ETD Search
Search theses and dissertations gathered from participating repositories worldwide. Every result links back to the library that holds it. No account is needed.
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Showing 1 to 20 of 36 for “"Counterfactual analysis"”.
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A reverse counterfactual analysis of causation
Lewis’s counterfactual analysis of causation starts with the claim that c causes e if ~ C > ~ E, where c and e are events, C and E are the propositions that c and e respectively occur, ~ is negation and > is the counterfactual conditional. The purpose of my project is to provide a counterfactual …
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Counterfactuals Without Causation, Probabilistic Counterfactuals and the Counterfactual Analysis of Causation
… those currently working on the semantics of counterfactuals that the correct treatment of counterfactuals (whatever it is) must invoke causal independence in order to rule a particular set of seemingly true counterfactuals – including a famous one called Morgenbesser's Coin (MC) – true. But …
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Early identification of individuals who may fail to reach employment
… of NEET outcomes. A constructed counterfactual analysis is developed which has wider application in the identification of multicollinearity within empirical research.
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Counterfactual Prescriptions Via Hierarchical ML For Missed Chemotherapy Appointment Prevention
… with weighted F1-scores of 0.57 and 0.54. Counterfactual analysis identifies modifiable scheduling factors—such as appointment timing and provider consistency—while showing that standard interventions like reminders are less effective than previously reported. These findings underscore the …
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Using a counterfactual process to identify the applicability of emerging technology
… the criminal elements. This thesis examines how counterfactual analysis might assist law enforcement organizations to successfully implement emerging technologies into society. A counterfactual thought experiment was conducted using a historical event in which the applicability of an emerging …
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Three essays on earnings and earnings inequality in Hong Kong: 1991-2011
… between immigrants and natives. By conducting a counterfactual analysis, I find that a significant portion of the changes in earnings inequality is due to the changes in observed individual characteristics and the changes in return to skills. Over time, the gender earnings gap widened especially …
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Impacts of airports on the quality of life of surrounding communities
… Airport using both spatial and regression analysis methods at different spatial resolutions with data collected from statistical authorities and social media. Low spatial resolution analysis found a beneficial impact of proximity to Heathrow Airport for economic conditions, accessibility & …
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Essays on political boundaries
… behaviour of municipalities. The method enables counterfactual analysis, which in the Japanese case shows that the national government could increase welfare via a counter-intuitive policy involving transfers to richer municipalities conditional on their participation in a merger. In the second …
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Organizing coercion in authoritarian Chile
… after each of the two major shifts, alongside counterfactual analysis and tests of the competing available explanations, reveal that the regime in each case grappled with organizing coercion as a discrete problem of governance. In 1974 the regime created a powerful secret police to better …
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Essays in energy and environmental markets
… the Spanish electricity market. I then perform a counterfactual analysis in which the original mechanism is compared to one in which complex bids are not allowed. I find that, while firms do exercise market power through complex bids, the positive coordination benefits of complex bidding dominate. …
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The effect of remittances on household income inequality in South Africa
… Dynamics Survey (NIDS), the paper will take the analysis one step further by constructing a counterfactual that allows to compare current inequality levels to levels that would have prevailed had migration not taken place. For the construction of this counterfactual, conditional difference in …
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Multi-Modal Transit Time Prediction for E-Commerce Fulfillment Optimization and Carbon Emissions Reduction
… beyond the current state accuracy of 45%. A counterfactual analysis is conducted to assess the impact of improved transit time estimates on key fulfillment metrics. On a one month sample, the model enables improved fulfillment decisions; namely ones that are associated with a 4.5% decrease in …
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Examining the Preparatory Function of Counterfactual Thinking: Evidence on Content, Benefits, and Evaluation of Forgone Outcomes
… the prevailing perspective on the function of counterfactual thinking, posits that the primary purpose of this form of mental simulation is to prepare individuals for the future. However, recent findings have presented challenges to this dominant view. The debate on this topic has recently …
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Violence, Causality, and the Emergence of Mexico's General Law on Forced Disappearance
… that might otherwise go unseen. Through counterfactual analysis, this paper demonstrates that the event is a proximate rather than ultimate cause of the General Law on Disappearance. Punctuated by Ayotzinapa, this milestone legislation is the hard-earned achievement of civil society and …
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Environmental resistance and Aboriginal development : a comparative study of mining ventures in the United States and Canada
… science research techniques such as deviant case analysis, process tracing, congruence procedures and counterfactual analysis to study four instances of mining development (cases involving both the prevalence and non-prevalence of environmental resistance in each of the two countries). After using …
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The Dynamics of Violent Escalation and De-escalation: Explaining Change in Islamist Strategies in Egypt and Indonesia
… and organizational dynamics.</p> <p>The analysis relies on process-tracing and counterfactual analysis to examine four case studies from Egypt and Indonesia: the Muslim Brotherhood, Al-Gama'a Al-Islamiyyah, the Darul Islam, and al-Jama'a al-Islamiyyah. The empirical investigation finds …
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The impact of the EU's Common Agricultural Policy on the structure of demand for shipping transport of grain
… transport of grain. This work also undertakes counterfactual analysis to investigate the impact of possible liberalisation of CAP on the structure of demand for shipping transport of grain. The econometric version of the theoretical model is used to simulate a number of alternative policy …
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Modelling longitudinal data on respiratory infections to inform health policy
… employing phenomenological models to estimate a counterfactual, i.e. what what would have happened in the absence of a contributing factor or intervention. We apply these methods to different types of studies, to address specific gaps in the literature. S. pneumoniae is the leading cause of …
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Skill composition, firm innovation and economic performance: Three essays
… components and estimating their value. In a counterfactual analysis, I demonstrate an ex-ante evaluation of a proportional R&D subsidy policy and quantify the increase in R&D investment rates and productivity following a reduction in the cost of R&D. These findings apply to …
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Essays in industrial organization
… as the smartphone penetration rate increases. A counterfactual analysis confirms that observed price changes are consistent with theoretical models of pricing, given the structurally estimated parameters. The second chapter studies consumer decisions at gasoline pumps, using a detailed …
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